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保山市(腾冲市、龙陵县、施甸县、隆阳区、昌宁县)

  随着A股上市公司2025年一季报和2024年年报密集披露,社保基金、QFII等最新投资情况浮出水面。数据显示,截至4月24日午间,今年一季度末社保基金现身约120家公司的前十大流通股东名单,新进买入或加仓60余只股票,减仓30余只;同期,QFII现身近120家公司的前十大流通股东名单,新进买入或加仓90余只个股,减仓20余只。

  从行业来看,社保基金青睐的标的主要分布在电气设备、信息技术、医药、消费等方向;QFII看好标的主要集中在信息技术、工业机械、消费、医药等方向。

  值得注意的是,社保基金与QFII虽然在行业选择方面存在一些共同之处,但在微观选股上却有明显不同。社保基金对估值要求更高,选择的公司大多处于历史估值的底部区间;而QFII买入的股票通常估值弹性更大,不少标的在今年一季度内股价快速上涨。

  社保“抄底”医药等板块

  从社保基金持股占流通股比例来看,一季度增幅较大的有安靠智电、钧达股份、恒辉安防、毕得医药、三维化学、新雷能、绝味食品(维权)、上能电气、盟科药业、泽璟制药等,涉及电力设备、创新药、日常消费等板块。

  其中,毕得医药在今年一季度不仅获得全国社保基金一一八组合的买入,知名基金经理葛兰管理的中欧医疗创新、赵蓓管理的工银瑞信前沿医疗也同步买入。同期,泽璟制药获社保基金四二零组合、工银瑞信前沿医疗、中欧医疗健康、广发医疗保健买入或增持;盟科药业则获全国社保基金五零一组合大笔买入。

  除了医药板块,消费板块也是社保基金今年一季度买入或加仓的重点方向,涉及公司有绝味食品、甘源食品、九华旅游、小商品城、盐津铺子、千禾味业、妙可蓝多、承德露露等。在科技成长方向,社保基金一季度买入或加仓蓝思科技、聚飞光电、英维克、博硕科技、亿联网络等。

  值得一提的是,部分上市公司出现了社保基金与QFII同步现身前十大流通股东名单的情况。例如,截至一季度末,恒辉安防前十大流通股东名单同时出现了全国社保基金五零三组合、摩根士丹利国际、瑞银的身影,三者均为新进买入。宝丰能源则同时获得阿布达比投资局和全国社保基金一零九组合的青睐。鹭燕医药、中国西电、维宏股份等也有社保基金与QFII同步买入或加仓。

  QFII频频入局强势股

  中国证券报记者注意到,在多只一季度最大涨幅超100%的个股背后,均出现了QFII大量买入的现象。

  据不完全统计,今年一季度,双林股份、优刻得、方正电机(维权)、海兰信、新柴股份、江天化学等公司均一度走出股价翻倍行情,相关公司一季度末的前十大流通股东名单上出现了高盛、摩根士丹利国际、摩根大通证券、瑞银、巴克莱银行等QFII的身影。

  例如,汽车零部件厂商双林股份今年一季度股价涨幅超110%,该公司2024年年报和2025年一季报表现亮眼。截至今年一季度末,瑞银集团持仓307.72万股,新进入公司前十大流通股东名单。

  deepseek概念股优刻得也是市场瞩目的“翻倍股”之一。截至今年一季度末,摩根大通证券新进前十大流通股东名单,持有208.92万股。

  此外,一季度大涨的宇环数控、阳光乳业、晓鸣股份、瑜欣电子、领湃科技、岩山科技、江南奕帆、强瑞技术等多家公司,均在今年以来获QFII买入。整体来说,一季度QFII的配置对象主要集中在与科技创新相关的信息技术、高端制造板块;与内需相关的消费板块;有色和资源类个股。

  外资看好中国资产韧性

  在全球股市震荡的背景下,多家外资机构发声看好中国市场韧性,认为中国资产价值重估逻辑依然存在。

  4月23日,富兰克林邓普顿新兴市场股票团队投资经理YiPingLiao在接受中国证券报记者采访时表示,中国A股对外资的依赖度显著低于亚洲其他市场,这一结构性特征增强了A股市场的韧性。中国股市仍可以自下而上发掘优质投资机会,目前主要看好内需导向型中资股及对美业务敞口有限的创新领军企业。

  路博迈集团在近日发布的二季度股票市场展望中表示:“海外投资者在中国股票资产的持仓比例仍相对较低,且中国经济和企业业绩出现惊喜的可能性相对较高,我们对中国市场的观点为超配。”

  摩根士丹利中国首席经济学家邢自强表示,外部因素的不确定性反而凸显中国经济与政策环境的稳定性,全球经济将进入“东稳西荡”。中国的产业链整合能力在全球范围内几乎没有对手,全球投资者会重新审视中国资产的投资机会。

  贝莱德首席中国经济学家宋宇表示,中国资产重估的逻辑依然存在。宏观政策更加灵活有力,更有利于民企发展及科技创新。展望未来,内需相关行业(如消费、基建、房地产)和科技创新领域(如半导体、人工智能)有望持续受益于政策支持。

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