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4月18日,代糖行业“领跑者”金禾实业2024年年报及2025年第一季度业绩预告新鲜出炉。2024年,因核心产品价格下降导致公司业绩略有下滑。产品价格体系逐渐恢复正常后,金禾实业在2025年第一季度迎来了业绩的大幅增长。这一亮眼的成绩单不仅彰显了金禾实业的强大竞争力,也为其未来的发展奠定了坚实的基础。

产品涨价助力业绩大增

金禾实业是一家主要从事食品添加剂、日化香料、大宗化学品、中间体研发、生产和销售的公司,主要产品包括甜味剂、香精香料、大宗化学品、医药中间体、功能性化工品及中间体等。2024年,受核心产品三氯蔗糖和安赛蜜价格下降的影响,公司实现营业收入53.03亿元,同比减少0.15%;实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润5.57亿元,同比减少20.94%。

随着三氯蔗糖的市场价格回升,2025年第一季度,金禾实业的业绩迎来“开门红”。业绩预告显示,公司2025年第一季度预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润2.3亿元至2.5亿元,同比增长78.06%至93.54%。

对于业绩大增的原因,金禾实业表示,报告期内,公司食品添加剂产品市场供需格局趋于稳定,随着市场信心提升与价格体系修复,主要产品食品添加剂产品价格较上年同期有不同程度的上涨。同时,公司依托产业链优势持续推进生产技术与工艺优化,有效提升生产效率并压降成本,提升了公司产品毛利率水平。

对于未来产品价格走向及业绩预期,金禾实业相关工作人员告诉记者:“公司食品添加剂行业格局逐步趋于稳定,产品价格体系恢复正常,价格呈现较好的提升。未来行业内供需环境仍然保持稳定的话,业绩应该能够恢复正常水平。”

群益证券研究员分析称,2024年年中行业甜味剂价格触底,但厂商集中挺价,三氯蔗糖、甲、乙基麦芽酚涨价逐步落地。具体来看,2024年8月起,行业内多家企业进行多次挺价,三氯蔗糖价格从10万元/吨的低点涨至2024年年底24万元/吨,2025年第一季度其价格继续上涨至25万元/吨。甲基麦芽酚和乙基麦芽酚的价格自2024年4月的低点6万元/吨和5.7万元/吨分别上涨至年末10万元/吨和7.8万元/吨,2025年第一季度分别为10万元/吨和8万元/吨。公司另一核心产品安赛蜜的价格在2024年9月触底,目前价格自低点3.4万元/吨提升至3.8万元/吨,2025年第一季度安赛蜜均价为3.72万元/吨。目前来看,甜味剂价格仍在持续反弹,预计后续安赛蜜等其他产品的价格也复制三氯蔗糖等产品的涨价路径,实现公司利润的进一步修复。

用创新挖掘更多可能

目前,全球健康消费趋势的深化正持续重塑甜味剂行业格局,消费者对低糖理念的认同推动甜味剂需求进入新阶段。人工合成甜味剂凭借其稳定的物化特性与高性价比优势,在食品工业中保持基础性地位。在全球范围内,甜味剂市场规模持续增长。根据《全球甜味剂市场趋势与展望报告(2024-2029)》,预计未来几年天然甜味剂市场将保持15%以上的年增长率。《中国甜味剂市场深度分析报告(2024年版)》显示,中国作为全球最大的食品消费市场之一,对甜味剂的需求也在不断攀升,国内市场规模已突破百亿元大关。

面对全球甜味剂市场规模的持续增长,金禾实业也在通过不断挖掘自身潜能助力其进一步提升市场份额。上述工作人员向《大众证券报》记者表示:“一方面,公司继续巩固现有高倍甜味剂市场份额,同时开发新兴市场,2024年度公司稳固了东南亚市场布局,开拓了非洲市场,提升公司在这两个新兴市场的份额和渗透率;另一方面,公司通过推进合成生物学项目研发,进一步降低葡萄糖基甜菊糖苷的成本,同时利用该产品作为甜味香料的品类优势,开拓新的应用场景。公司正在利用合成生物学平台,积极开展天然高倍甜味剂产品的研发和成本的优化,提升公司在天然甜味剂市场的布局。”

此外,金禾实业在2024年也投入了大量资源进行研发,以推动技术创新与业务发展的深度融合。公司不仅拥有多个科技创新载体和高素质干部队伍,还构建了一体化研发平台,涵盖从前端研发到产品应用的全过程。公司通过持续的研发投入和工艺改进,在食品添加剂生产技术领域积累了丰富的经验,并开发出一系列具有国际领先水平的核心技术,如三氯蔗糖、安赛蜜等产品的生产技术,处于行业领先地位。

目前,公司正在积极探索AI技术在生产研发中的应用场景。对于相关研发的进展及预期效果,上述工作人员告诉记者:“目前,公司已与国内一重点高校达成合作方案,通过构建高通量活性筛选体系、借助蛋白质设计算法和AI模型等AI技术在合成生物学领域的应用;同时,结合公司生物合成柔性生产平台的工业化生产实践和快速验证,能够缩短新产品的开发和验证周期,加速技术成果的转化和应用。”

值得注意的是,2024年内,公司备受关注的定远二期项目取得了显著进展,年产8万吨电子级双氧水项目顺利完成建设,持续拓展氢氧化钠、氢氧化钾等湿电子系列化学品;年产1万吨新一代锂电池电解质前驱体项目已完成全部审批手续,项目建设按计划快速推进,为公司在新能源及泛半导体材料等领域的发展提供了坚实的原料保障。金禾实业表示,将持续在定远基地推进新能源材料及泛半导体材料的品类扩充及产能建设,打造“基础化工-高端材料-终端应用”的一体化产业生态,进一步丰富公司的产品结构,提升公司的综合实力。针对当下面临的机遇与挑战,金禾实业工作人员坦言:“面临主要的机遇是国产替代,挑战是客户开拓和品质认可周期相对会长一些。”

坚定地走可持续发展之路

对于行业内的“领跑者”来说,可持续发展始终是一个重要议题,亦是衡量其核心竞争力的关键指标。2024年,金禾实业紧紧围绕“绿色化学+合成生物学”双轮驱动战略,深化“美好生活”与“先进制造”两大产业布局,以“夯实基础、提质增效、创新突破”为核心,在产业链整合、生物合成平台建设、先进制造布局、市场拓展及知识产权保护等方面取得显著进展,为企业的可持续发展奠定了坚实基础。

同时,公司依托基础化工优势,正在加速向新能源、泛半导体等高端领域延伸。报告期内,公司针对泛半导体等领域“卡脖子”材料完成技术研发攻坚,顺利迈入中试放大和前期验证测试阶段,为下一步量产夯实基础,有望打破国外技术垄断。生物质能源板块,纤维素乙醇千吨级试验线已完成方案设计和论证,生物质收储规模预计突破百万吨,已与国内外产业巨头接洽合作事宜。未来公司将依托定远基地的产业链一体化优势,打造“生物质原料-绿色材料-新能源”全链条闭环,全力推进碳中和领域发展。

面向未来,不少机构表示公司业绩低点已过,并上调了盈利预测。群益证券预计公司2025年至2027年分别实现净利润8.65亿元、10.61亿元和11.92亿元。此外,华泰证券和群益证券均上调了公司目标价,分别上调至26.85元/股及28元/股。

而在发展的进程中,如何平衡好经济效益与社会效益,也是企业战略规划中需要考量的重要环节。金禾实业工作人员告诉记者:“通过绿色生产、产业链一体化、研发创新、员工关怀以及安全生产等多方面措施,平衡经济效益和社会效益,实现了可持续发展。公司注重环保投入,推动资源循环利用,加大研发创新,提升产品竞争力,同时积极履行社会责任,关注员工权益,保障安全生产,为社会创造价值。”

记者注意到,报告期内,金禾实业通过数智化安全管理,完善安全标准化体系,隐患整改率显著提升。另外,公司通过环保管理强化,开展“六查”活动,提升全员环保意识,确保合规运营。

金禾实业稳健的业绩表现和持续的技术突破,充分展现了公司在技术创新、产业链优化和市场拓展方面的强大实力。在可持续发展的道路上,金禾实业也会依旧保持强劲的韧性,以坚定的步伐迈向更高的阶梯,为业绩增长提供坚实基础,为投资者创造更大的价值,为社会做出更大的贡献。一鸣

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