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  4月16日电国新办16日举行新闻发布会,介绍2025年一季度国民经济运行情况。会上,国家统计局副局长盛来运指出要多措并举,促进价格合理回升。价格高了会影响“钱包”的支出,提高生活成本。但是价格太低了也不行,会影响企业增收增利,进而会影响收入和就业。所以,保持价格运行在合理区间至关重要。

  盛来运介绍,物价不仅关系到宏观经济的通胀水平,也关系到老百姓生活质量,对于物价的走势,他指出三点:

  第一,3月份价格的下行原因,主要还是一些商品价格季节性的回落和国际原油价格下降短期冲击的结果。一季度的居民消费价格指数CPI同比下降0.1%,3月份居民消费价格指数同比下降0.1%,降幅比2月份收窄了0.6个百分点,环比下降。分析原因,主要有三个方面:一个就是春节过后农产品消费需求季节性的回落,再加上今年是暖冬,春节过去以后气温升高,水果蔬菜这些农产品供应充裕,食品价格在回落。3月份,食品价格环比下降1.4%,对CPI环比下降的影响达到0.24个百分点,CPI总共下降0.4%,这里面有六成是由于食品价格的季节性回落带来的。第二个影响因素是春节过后出行服务回落,旅游费用和飞机票价格出现了季节性回落。3月份飞机票价格环比下降11.5%,旅游价格环比下降5.9%,这两个影响CPI下降了0.13个百分点。第三个因素主要是国际原油价格的下滑带动了国内相关产品国内汽油价格调整,汽油价格3月份环比下降了3.5%,由此影响CPI环比下降0.12个百分点。

  第二,全面准确地看待当前物价低位运行的态势。这两年,无论是居民消费价格CPI还是工业生产者出厂价格PPI都在低位运行,分析其原因,既有国内外宏观经济形势复杂变化的因素,也有中国经济处于转型发展阶段、新旧动能转换带来的影响。现在中国经济正处在消费结构升级和动能转换的关键阶段,一些传统产业、传统动能在衰减,部分产业供过于求,通过价格调整进行市场的出清。另外,新动能在成长,新的动能往往是市场稀缺的,需求旺盛,价格上行。但是,从总体上来讲,新动能所带动的价格上涨还难以对冲传统动能衰减带来的下行压力,总体上价格还处在一个低位运行的状态。比如近几年房地产持续调整,由此带动了相关的钢铁、建材价格的下行。2016-2019年,以钢铁为代表的黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业价格平均涨幅是9%左右,2000-2024年平均涨幅只有0.9%。所以,相关产业的调整会对相关产品价格带来一系列影响,要全面客观看待近期价格的低位运行,中国价格的波动运行具有明显的阶段性和结构性特点。

  第三,多措并举,促进价格合理回升。价格高了会影响“钱包”的支出,提高生活成本。但是价格太低了也不行,会影响企业增收增利,进而会影响收入和就业。所以,保持价格运行在合理区间至关重要。今年两会明确提出,要努力促进价格总水平保持在合理区间。为此,相关部门出台了一系列政策措施,促进价格的回升。一方面扩大内需,另一方面要统筹好深化供给侧结构性改革和扩大内需的关系。同时,还要规范市场秩序,改革市场价格运行机制,防止过度“内卷”。比如,要推动全国统一大市场建设,这些措施都会有利于促进价格水平的合理回归。从3月份的价格情况来看,相关政策的效果在显现,3月份居民消费价格指数CPI同比下降0.1%,相对于2月份下降0.7%,收窄了0.6个百分点;扣掉能源和食品的核心CPI3月份上涨0.5%,2月份是下降0.1%,这就显示出,随着经济的回升,总需求的回暖,再加上促进价格合理回升的政策效应将继续显现。 新闻结尾 迈开腿尝尝你的草莓汁的,娱乐资讯抢先看,别错过!的相关文章
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