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  ◎记者朱妍

  数据显示,3月23日至4月23日,机构调研次数高达3.1万次,环比增幅为49%,达到今年以来相对较高的水平。业绩有支撑的领域备受机构瞩目,科技成长方向随着市场回暖而重获关注。

  Choice数据显示,近一个月,基金公司、证券公司调研数量最多,均超8500次。其中,共有52家机构的调研次数过百,多家基金公司的调研次数环比增长显著,比如汇丰晋信基金调研131次,环比增幅超过160%,天弘基金增幅也达到87%。

  业内人士认为,财报季是上市公司经营状况的集中展示期,机构通过调研可直接与公司管理层沟通,准确核实财务数据、了解业务详情,从而更准确地分析公司在行业内的竞争力变化与业绩表现,挖掘出被低估或有高成长潜力的投资机会。不仅如此,近期受到外部扰动等因素影响,A股市场在一度调整后重新企稳,不少机构趁此机会加大“翻石头”的力度。

  近一个月内,接受机构调研的上市公司达到664家,主板公司被调研的次数环比增幅最大,达到86%。93家上市公司接受机构调研逾百次,且不少业绩出彩的公司被重点调研。

  比如被调研逾百次的同飞股份,公司一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润达到6190万元,同比增长1104.89%。博时基金、富国基金、广发基金等多家知名基金公司对其进行了调研,对公司在储能、医疗器械、数据中心等领域的拓展情况较为关注。

  仕佳光子一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润同比增幅超过1000%。4月21日,公司接待了易方达基金、鹏华基金、兴业基金等机构的调研,当日公司股价以20%幅度涨停。

  从近一个月机构调研的上市公司来看,七成公司一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润实现同比正增长,其中,思特威、科陆电子、银禧科技等公司一季度业绩同比增幅较大。

  具体行业方面,科技板块无疑是近期各大机构最为关注的方向。数据显示,电子设备制造近一个月被机构调研逾2100次,生物医药、计算机软件、电子元件、半导体等行业紧随其后,调研热度均超千次。其中,立讯精密、蓝思科技、澜起科技、三花智控等科技类公司受到调研的次数较多,分别达到499次、397次、380次和364次。

  【相关阅读】银行股热度持续攀升去年四季度业绩改善“强势出圈”  

  银行股“王者归来”!政策拖地,定向注资,资金涌入,低估值银行股要逆袭成“香饽饽”?

  重仓银行业,对多只龙头股持仓超50亿元  

  随着上市公司年报密集披露,社保基金2024年末重仓股及2024年四季度持仓变动情况浮出水面。Wind数据显示,截至4月24日中国证券报记者发稿时,已有3049家上市公司披露2024年年报,其中有372家上市公司的前十大流通股东中出现了社保基金的身影;2024年四季度,社保基金新进成为92只个股的前十大流通股东,对106只个股的持股数量增加。

  行业方面,社保基金对银行行业持仓市值超过2300亿元,对非银金融行业持仓市值超过500亿元,对有色金属、机械设备、基础化工、电子行业持仓市值均超过100亿元。

  分析人士认为,以社保基金等为代表的中长期资金持续加大入市力度,市场内在稳定性将不断提升,2025年会有更多的增量资金进入A股市场。

  持仓农业银行市值超1200亿元

  4月24日,南京化纤、新宏泰、长白山等多家上市公司披露2024年年报。Wind数据显示,截至4月24日记者发稿时,共计3049家A股上市公司已披露2024年年报。在已披露年报的上市公司中,有372家上市公司的前十大流通股东中出现了社保基金的身影,合计持股数量达538.34亿股,持股市值为4150.69亿元(以2024年末收盘价计算)。

  从社保基金持仓市值排名看,社保基金对农业银行的持仓市值达1256.02亿元,高居第一;对工商银行、中国人保的持仓市值分居第二、第三位,分别达853.35亿元、427.15亿元。此外,社保基金对交通银行、方正证券、国信证券、比亚迪、传音控股的持仓市值均超30亿元,分别达241.27亿元、90.77亿元、51.15亿元、31.38亿元、31.19亿元。

  在372只社保基金重仓股中,社保基金对92只个股在2024年四季度新进前十大流通股东。社保基金在2024年四季度新进比亚迪前十大流通股东,中国海油前十大流通股东中社保基金持仓市值超过15亿元,万华化学、顺丰控股、安徽合力、中国人寿等多只股票前十大流通股东中社保基金持仓市值均超5亿元。

  从持股增加数量情况看,Wind数据显示,在372只社保基金重仓股中,社保基金2024年四季度对106只股票持股数量增加。具体来看,持股数量增加股数居首的中国铝业获社保基金加仓4977.50万股,华侨城A获社保基金加仓超4000万股,新兴铸管、广联达、山东黄金、中国巨石、东方雨虹均获社保基金加仓超2000万股。

  从市场表现情况来看,截至4月24日,社保基金重仓的农业银行、工商银行今年以来分别累计上涨7.13%、6.84%,近日股价连创历史新高。

  持仓银行行业市值最高

  从行业板块持仓情况来看,Wind数据显示,在372只社保基金重仓股中,2024年末,社保基金对银行、非银金融、有色金属行业持仓市值居前,分别为2372.38亿元、575.11亿元、139.02亿元。此外,社保基金对机械设备、基础化工、电子行业的持仓市值均超过100亿元。

  从社保基金持仓市值排名看,Wind数据显示,全国社会保障基金理事会2024年末持仓市值最高,达2921.27亿元;全国社保基金114组合、全国社保基金103组合持仓市值分居第二、第三位,分别为123.41亿元、106.35亿元;全国社保基金118组合、全国社保基金413组合、全国社保基金106组合紧随其后,持仓市值均超过60亿元。此外,全国社保基金101组合、全国社保基金112组合、全国社保基金113组合等持仓市值均超过50亿元。

  从社保基金持股数量看,社保基金持仓数量最高的前三只个股分别为农业银行、工商银行、中国人保,持股数量分别达235.21亿股、123.32亿股、56.06亿股。

  从市场表现情况来看,截至4月24日,社保基金第一大重仓行业银行今年以来累计上涨3.60%,走势强于上证指数,今年以来上证指数累计下跌1.63%。

  对于银行板块,中国银河证券银行业分析师张一纬表示,大行注资首期特别国债即将发行,稳步推进增资落地,有助于增强银行风险抵御能力、助力实体经济。降准降息预期增强,低利率环境延续,叠加全球政治经济环境不确定性,资金避险属性提升,银行股息率性价比凸显。市值管理深化,中长期资金力量壮大,推动银行红利价值兑现。2025年一季度经济平稳收官,基本面积极因素累积,利好银行信贷投放和资产质量,看好银行板块配置价值。

  中长期资金持续流入市场

  以社保基金为代表的中长期资金是A股市场的重要机构力量,近年来,社保基金不断加仓A股市场。

  4月8日,全国社会保障基金理事会发布公告,始终坚持长期投资、价值投资、责任投资理念,坚定看好中国资本市场发展前景,主动融入国家发展战略,近日已主动增持国内股票,近期将继续增持。在积极开展股票投资的同时实现基金安全和保值增值。

  此外,中央汇金公司、公募基金、上市公司等各类中长期资金近期也积极入市,A股市场中长期增量资金不断加大。

  在日前召开的上交所专题座谈会上,与会机构纷纷表示,社保基金、保险机构、公募基金等中长期资金持续加大入市力度,中央汇金等战略性稳市力量持续壮大,市场内在稳定性持续增强。

  “近年来国内推动增量资金入市相关政策制度也在不断完善,鼓励耐心资本加大权益投资的措施纷纷出台、不断落地。”方正证券首席经济学家燕翔表示,2025年1月《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》出台,要求公募基金持有A股流通市值未来三年每年增长10%;大型国有保险公司自2025年起每年新增保费的30%用于投资A股,对国有保险公司、社保基金、养老金等全面实施三年以上长周期考核,降低短期业绩权重。随着相关政策措施效果陆续显现,预计2025年会有更多的增量资金进入A股市场。

  瑞银证券中国股票策略分析师孟磊表示,从2025年全年的角度来看,除中央汇金等机构外,其他长线资金也将在监管部门的引导下持续稳定地进入A股市场。估算保险公司、公募基金与社保基金在2025年有望分别为中国股票市场带来10000亿元、5900亿元和1200亿元的净流入。

  (文章来源:中国证券报)

  2025年4月23日至24日,二十国集团(G20)主席国南非在美国华盛顿举行今年第二次G20财长和央行行长会议。会议主要就全球宏观经济形势和金融稳定、国际金融架构以及促进非洲增长和发展等议题进行了讨论。财政部部长蓝佛安出席会议并发言,副部长廖岷陪同参会。

  蓝佛安表示,当前世界经济增长动能不足,关税战、贸易战进一步影响经济金融稳定。中方坚定维护以世界贸易组织为核心的多边贸易体制,主张通过平等对话协商解决贸易和关税争议,也将坚定维护自身正当权益。各方应通过加强多边合作进一步完善国际经济金融体系,积极推动多边开发银行改革,有效推进国际复兴开发银行股权审议,务实完善《缓债倡议后续债务处理共同框架》实施,激励国际金融机构和私营部门为脆弱国家应对债务和流动性挑战提供更多支持。各方应为非洲发展汇聚更多资源,加强非洲机构能力建设,以数字化和绿色转型为契机为非洲经济增长注入新动能。蓝佛安还重点介绍了中国经济稳中向好态势及政策取向和中国支持非洲发展的重要举措。

  会议期间,蓝佛安分别同G20主席国南非财长戈东瓜纳、欧盟委员会经济与生产力委员东布罗夫斯基斯、巴基斯坦财长奥朗则布、德国财长库基斯、韩国经济副总理兼企划财政部部长崔相穆、印尼财长英卓华、英国财政大臣里夫斯、日本财政大臣加藤胜信和世行行长彭安杰等举行双边会见或交流,主要就宏观经济形势、G20财金渠道重点议题及双边合作等交换意见。副部长廖岷陪同参加。

  文章来源:财政部网站

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