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一二三区无线乱码2021,现象深度解读
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一二三区无线乱码2021,现象深度解读

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  来源:国际金融报

  原创 陆怡雯 

  持续暴涨的黄金突发跳水了。

  4月23日,国际金价短线下挫,伦敦金现盘中一度跌破3300美元/盎司关口。国内方面,黄金T+D也大幅跳水,失守800元/克关口,跌超4%。

  与此同时,黄金概念股全线杀跌,赤峰黄金收盘大跌10%,四川黄金、湖南黄金、山东黄金、西部黄金等多股跟跌。

  受访人士认为,短期金价仍处于快速回调过程中,贸易谈判进展与美联储政策信号尚未完全明朗,建议等待企稳再做入场打算,尤其需警惕交易所保证金上调导致的杠杆交易风险。

  金价突发跳水

  4月23日,国际金价短线下挫,伦敦金现盘中一度跌破3300美元/盎司关口。截至记者发稿,伦敦金现最低触及3291.165美元/盎司。另外,COMEX黄金也大幅下挫,截至记者发稿,COMEX黄金最低触及3302.6美元/盎司。

  国内方面,黄金T+D和沪金2506期货合约也迎来大幅跳水,均失守800元/克关口,跌超4%。

  在金价大幅下挫后,黄金概念股今日也迎来回调。截至今日收盘,贵金属板块今日大跌7.48%,赤峰黄金收盘大跌10%,四川黄金、湖南黄金、山东黄金、西部黄金等多股跟跌。

  值得注意的是,今天早上,上海黄金交易所发布公告称,根据《上海黄金交易所风险控制管理办法》的有关规定,对黄金延期品种与白银延期合约交易保证金水平和涨跌停板比例进行调整。

  据公告,自2025年4月25日(星期五)收盘清算时起,Au(T+D)、mAu(T+D)、Au(T+N1)、Au(T+N2)、NYAuTN06、NYAuTN12等合约的保证金水平从12%调整为13%,下一交易日起涨跌幅度限制从11%调整为12%;Ag(T+D)合约的保证金水平从15%调整为16%,下一交易日起涨跌幅度限制从14%调整为15%。

  上海黄金交易所还强调,请各会员提高风险防范意识,做细做好风险应急预案,提示投资者做好风险防范工作,合理控制仓位,理性投资,确保市场稳定健康运行。

  避免盲目跟车

  “金价突发回调主要是因为市场避险需求骤降。”中安鼎盛投资合伙人陈伯仲向记者表示,美国对关税问题的缓和态度,提高了市场对风险资产的热度,资金逐渐从黄金转向其他各类风险资产。

  除了上述原因外,中辉期货资管部投资经理王维芒认为,金价短线急挫还有三方面因素:

  一是美元指数反弹。伴随贸易乐观情绪,美元指数上涨0.7%至近一周高位,进一步压制金价。

  二是多头获利了结。国际金价此前连续上涨,在4月22日创下3500美元/盎司的历史新高。短线投机资金在高位选择获利了结,加剧了抛售压力。

  三是监管风险提示。近期上海黄金交易所多次发布公告提示市场风险,并计划提高保证金比例和涨跌停板限制,抑制了投机情绪。

  针对此次回调,王维芒认为,短期金价仍处于快速回调过程中,贸易谈判进展与美联储政策信号尚未完全明朗,建议等待企稳再做入场打算,尤其需警惕交易所保证金上调导致的杠杆交易风险。

  明泽投资基金经理胡墨晗分析称,当前市场对特朗普政策的敏感度极高,但其表态尚未转化为实质政策调整,金价可能会形成‌区间宽幅震荡走势,需警惕言论反复引发的“多空双杀”。在当前复杂多变的市场环境下,短期内建议投资者谨慎对待,尽量规避参与不确定性行情,切勿盲目跟风投资。

  排排网财富理财师负责人孙恩祥也表示,短线需谨慎,经过大涨之后的金价,存在继续回调的可能,建议等待企稳信号,避免“抄底在半山腰”。不过,中长期来看,黄金作为抗通胀和避险资产仍具配置价值。建议结合自身风险偏好,采用逢低分批或定投方式参与,避免一次性重仓。

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