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　　4月19日电(记者甘甜)美国的关税政策导致部分国家和地区民众对与美国进行合作、开展贸易，失去了基本信心，一个脱离于美国的全球贸易体系可能会更早地得以建立，中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院研究员、东南亚研究中心主任许利平日前对表示。

　　近期，美国一系列滥施关税的错误做法，遭到国际社会的普遍反对。对此，许利平在接受采访时表示，美国挥舞“关税大棒”，不仅动摇美国国债安全性，也将对美元地位造成严峻挑战，美国的关税政策正对自身产生反噬作用。

　　德意志银行也警告，贸易冲突已经对美元造成伤害，美元正面临信心危机。高盛集团还预计，由于“关税风暴”可能阻碍经济增长、重燃通胀并推高失业率，未来12个月，美国经济出现衰退的概率升至35%。

　　在此背景下，许利平指出，亚洲国家包括中国和东南亚国家应当专注于区域内的供应链、产业链合作，包括加强在《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)框架下的合作。

　　“特别是在关税和非关税壁垒方面，开展更多工作，挖掘区域内投资贸易潜力，未来进一步减少对美贸易依赖。我认为，这是一大趋势。”许利平说。

　　许利平表示，目前来看，越南、马来西亚和柬埔寨等国存在一定共识，即反对单边主义、贸易保护主义，维护全球自由贸易体系，符合各国共同利益，“下一步，关键是要进一步提升双方的投资和贸易自由化水平，真正地让亚洲地区持续成为全球经济增长引擎”。

　　此外，许利平进一步指出，除了美国之外的跨区域贸易正在迎来一个新的契机，多国也应当更多地开展本币结算，加强跨区域协同合作，释放更多贸易投资合作潜力。

　　“未来，如果美国继续挥舞‘关税大棒’，那么，一个脱离于美国的全球贸易体系可能会更早地建立，这对于美国来说，将是一场噩梦。”许利平在采访最后强调。(完)

　　近期一则新闻引发热议：一名女生从喉咙痛就诊到去世仅10分钟，元凶正是急性会厌炎。这究竟是怎样一种疾病？为何如此凶险？普通人如何识别“致命信号”？对此，记者采访到成都医学院第一附属医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科主任王轶为大家解读。(记者何浠成都报道)

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