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转自:四川在线

四川在线记者彭瑀珩

4月16日上午,现货黄金价格快速拉升,强势突破3290美元/盎司关口。截至发稿时,现货黄金一度达到3291.6美元/盎司,日内涨幅扩大至1.58%,再创历史新高。

在国际金价持续走高的带动下,国内金饰价格也迅速攀升。当天,在成都市场上,周大福足金饰品价格报990元/克,周生生足金饰品价格达到每克995元,多家首饰金价格已直逼千元大关。

本月以来,黄金相关ETF也成为市场热点,均价和融资余额规模不断攀升。以黄金ETF基金为例,已连续12天获得资金净流入,累计超10亿元。此外,A股的黄金股也备受关注。今年以来,黄金板块涨幅已经达到39%。

随着黄金价格今年以来不断创下历史新高,高盛、瑞银和摩根大通等国际知名金融机构近期再度上调金价预期。瑞银将金价预测上调至3500美元/盎司,摩根大通则预测2025年央行黄金购买量将达到约850吨,并认为金价到达4000美元将“比预期来得更快”。

国贸期货分析师指出,清明假期期间,美国超预期的对等关税政策一度引发黄金流动性抛售。但随后,市场迅速从“风险厌恶”转变为“避险情绪”,投资者对美联储降息预期的交易进一步推动黄金价格重拾涨势。同时,对等关税政策致使美元信用进一步“坍塌”,引发较为剧烈的“去杠杆交易”,美国长债遭到大量抛售,美债收益率急剧飙升,美元指数持续走弱并跌破100关口。美元与美债的避险功能减弱,进一步放大了黄金的短期上涨动力,推动金价再创历史新高。

不过,投资者也需警惕短期风险。当前金价处于历史绝对高位,投资者仍需警惕金价可能出现的阶段性高位调整风险。

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