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  最近,市场出现了一个明显的风格转化——权重股修整,题材股全面爆发,短期超跌反弹的科技赛道强势回归,算力、AI、机器人等轮番上涨。

  这里想重点聊一下算力,算力是近期一个爆发力强势的科技细分题材,从最近国际形势下的自主可控逻辑、头部公司业绩表现、最新斩获订单等角度来看,算力题材都来到了一个重要拐点。值得一提的是,知名牛散章建平也罕见出手,近38亿重仓布局了一只算力概念股。

  算力龙头业绩超预期

  持续了一段时间的权重股行情正在被题材股的发力打破,这个现象在4月21日尤为明显,当天,创业板、深证指数均上涨超1%,前期超跌的科技等细分领域多迎来强势反弹。

  作为市场人气赛道,科技股的反弹,意味着市场风险偏好的回暖,在市场保持“稳稳的幸福”下,本身具有高弹性的科技题材股或正在迎来新一轮的较佳关注时机。

  进一步来看,最近科技赛道中有几个细分赛道的表现比较受关注,如半导体,4月22日,立昂微(盘中“10cm”涨停)、东微半导、纳芯微等多只标的出现强势上涨。半导体的投资逻辑近期已有多次重点分析,提及的不少相关公司也在近期走出了不错的行情。

  还有一个是算力,算力板块的表现属于超跌反弹,4月9日以来已累计上涨了近10%。4月21日,一众概念股收出涨停,艾布鲁收出“20cm”涨停,大位科技、润建股份等均收出“10cm”涨停。

  算力板块的反弹与多个因素相关,近期的年报、一季报是一个重要的催化因素。观察发现,最近多家业绩表现不错的头部公司都受到了资金的重点关注。以寒武纪为例,据其4月18日发布的今年一季报显示,实现归母净利润3.55亿元,同比扭亏为盈。寒武纪是AI算力芯片头部公司,公司股价长期走“慢牛”行情,近期开启新一轮反弹,4月9日~4月21日累计上涨了超过20%。

  除了寒武纪,还有不少算力以及相关产业链公司收获业绩与股价“双击”。如仕佳光子,4月21日收出“20cm”涨停,公司一季报实现净利润9319.44万元,同比增长达10倍;胜宏科技4月21日披露称,一季度实现净利润9.21亿元,同比增幅为339.22%。胜宏科技股价也在近期走出了强于板块的修复行情。

  另外,还有其他多家算力股披露一季报业绩且实现增长(见表1)。

  对于算力以及细分产业链的投资机会,本栏目特约嘉宾边惠宗即进行了长期跟踪,如其最新在4月21日的《边看边涨》中即深度分析了算力、细分方向以及相关头部公司的投资逻辑。其表示,目前AI算力是一季报最强细分,涉及AI芯片、光通信(为算力提供高速传输基础)、端侧SOC(系统级芯片,为算力集成中枢)、IDC(互联网数据中心,算力物理载体),AI算力接下来应该会迎来系统性修复。

  那么,算力的行情延续性会持续多久?哪些产业链环节以及头部公司具有更大的投资机会?

  频频斩获订单

  有公司累计额超60亿

  算力,泛指计算能力,即数据的处理能力,AI大模型与智能体的爆发式增长极大带动了算力的需求。算力板块的上涨包括长期以及短期等多个驱动因素,如除了上文提到的业绩催化,至少还包括AI需求带动、大厂算力开支增加、当前不确定的外部环境催动国产替代逻辑升温等。

  在算力需求持续增长的趋势下,算力以及产业链公司的业绩利好正在加速兑现,展望未来,其还有大额订单的加持。

  最近,有多家公司宣布签订算力以及相关订单,订单金额多以1亿元为“起步价”,有公司则超过60亿元。另外值得一提的是,受订单利好的刺激,很多公司股价开启强势反弹模式。

  4月18日、4月21日,海南华铁股价连续2天均出现了近6%的强势上涨,4月9日以来连续反弹,至今累计上涨近20%。公司股价反弹或与算力订单等加持有关,据公司4月21日披露的财报数据显示,2025年一季报实现净利润1.91亿元,同比增长21.72%。截至2025年3月末,公司累计签订算力服务金额已达66.7亿元。

  曾在3月4日,海南华铁曾宣布签订了一项合同总金额为36.9亿元的算力服务协议,受此刺激,公司股价在此之后的3个交易日(3月5日~3月7日)均连续收出“10cm”涨停。

  通过深度梳理发现,近期有很多公司都有中标算力订单、签订算力服务合同等相关动作。其中,有一家为知名投资人刘益谦的重点布局标的,持仓市值超过一个“小目标”。另外结合股价来看,这些有签订算力订单的相关公司也多在近期放量上涨,部分走出长线慢牛行情,一些更是确立了加速反转趋势,目前共17家公司入选。

  章建平出手布局

  在算力股行情升温之际,多路资金也开启了大笔增仓模式,如牛散、“聪明钱”北上资金等。

  牛散的代表如章建平,其与一致行动人合力大手笔布局曾经的大牛股海利生物被市场密切关注,但近来,鲜有其身影的出现。不过,其最近却现身了,而且不出手则已,一出手就是大手笔。

  章建平相中的这只算力概念股正是寒武纪,从寒武纪最新披露的2024年年报、2025年一季报的前十大股东来看,均有章建平的身影。

  据寒武纪的2024年年报显示,章建平以533.88万股的持仓量、35.13亿元的持仓市值新进成为公司第8大股东。2025年一季报显示,章建平进一步增仓74.75万股至608.63万股,持仓市值进一步增长至接近38亿元(见表3)。

  “聪明钱”北上资金也对寒武纪进行了大笔增仓,2025年一季度,北上资金对寒武纪增仓了512.23万股至1542.53万股,截至季度末,持仓市值高达96.10亿元。

4月22日,Mhmarkets迈汇表示,特朗普政府的关税政策可能对全球油田供应链产生重大影响,导致成本上升,并促使供应链策略发生变化。Mhmarkets迈汇认为,地区性的中东和北非油田服务公司可能从这些中断中获益,因为它们拥有本地化的供应链和靠近客户的优势,能够提供更短的交货时间和有竞争力的定价。

  Mhmarkets迈汇进一步分析,由于特朗普政府对钢铁关税的调整,对石油和天然气行业影响最大的是取消了基于国家的配额和豁免,以及对某些国家实施的互惠关税,这些关税至少对一般进口商品征收10%的关税。这些新费用打乱了包括OCTG、管线、泥浆泵、钻杆和人工举升系统等关键材料的采购,导致某些类别的边际成本增加,而其他类别的溢价显著更高。

  Mhmarkets迈汇还提到,美国能源与生产公司(E&Ps)和供应商通过转向关税较低的国家如印度,增加现有国内产能,并在低税率窗口期间进行库存,以应对。在大多数情况下,如果额外成本不太可能被客户吸收,美国加权服务公司将感受到利润率的压力,促使他们越来越多地将资源投入到国际市场。

  Mhmarkets迈汇还认为,尽管全球供应商面临增加的地缘政治紧张、运输延误和跨大陆贸易冲突,但地区参与者由于靠近主要客户和能够保证最后一英里交付,可以更有效地应对这些挑战,由于他们的本地化供应链和维护操作,这在本质上比国际竞争对手分散的采购和制造网络更具弹性和灵活性。尽管全球供应商面临地缘政治紧张、运输延误和跨大陆贸易冲突的增加风险,但地区参与者由于靠近主要客户和能够保证最后一英里交付,可以更有效地应对这些挑战。

  Mhmarkets迈汇总结认为,尽管美国公司在这种情况下可能受损,但对中东和北非地区可能有利。这使得他们能够提供更短的交货时间来交付设备和服务,帮助避免可能导致非生产时间和成本超支的延误,对高价值项目和钻探活动至关重要。

  来源:山东高法

  2025年4月22日,山东省青岛市中级人民法院一审公开宣判被告人李华峰受贿、利用影响力受贿、洗钱一案,对被告人李华峰以受贿罪判处有期徒刑十一年,并处罚金人民币150万元;以利用影响力受贿罪判处有期徒刑八年,并处罚金人民币80万元;以洗钱罪判处有期徒刑一年,并处罚金人民币20万元,决定执行有期徒刑十五年,并处罚金人民币250万元。犯罪所得及孳息依法没收,上缴国库。

  法院审理查明:2013年上半年至2020年5月,被告人李华峰利用担任建行深圳市分行党委副书记、副行长等职务上的便利,为有关单位在审批贷款方面提供帮助,收受相关单位或个人给予的财物,共计折合人民币1409万余元。2021年4月至2024年1月,被告人李华峰从建行深圳市分行辞职后,利用其曾担任建行深圳市分行党委副书记、副行长职权或者地位形成的便利条件,通过其他国家工作人员职务上的行为,为请托人谋取不正当利益,非法收受他人所送财物共计人民币810万元。此外,被告人李华峰还指使他人将受贿款中的360万元通过多个账户转账后支付购房款,构成洗钱罪。

  法院审理认为,被告人李华峰身为国家工作人员,利用职务上的便利,为他人谋取利益,非法收受他人财物,数额特别巨大;离职后利用其原职权或者地位形成的便利条件,通过其他国家工作人员职务上的行为,为请托人谋取不正当利益,收受他人财物,数额特别巨大;掩饰隐瞒贿赂犯罪所得的来源和性质,其行为分别构成受贿罪、利用影响力受贿罪、洗钱罪,应予并罚。鉴于其到案后如实供述全部犯罪事实,主动交代监察机关尚未掌握的大部分受贿犯罪事实及部分利用影响力受贿犯罪事实,主动交代办案机关尚未掌握的洗钱犯罪事实,认罪悔罪,案发后积极退缴犯罪所得及孳息,依法可从轻处罚。法庭遂作出上述判决。

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