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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-16.com/label.php on line 82
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  来源:华尔街见闻

  自4月2日特朗普宣布“对等关税”以来,ThredUp和SaversValueVillage——美国两家最大的公开交易二手商店——的股价分别上涨了31%和22%,同期标准普尔零售精选指数下跌了7%。

  特朗普关税政策重创美国传统零售商的同时,二手市场可能成为意外赢家。

  “二手销售是少数几个从政府全球关税政策中受益的行业,”在线寄售和二手商店ThredUp的首席战略官AlonRotem表示,“我们销售的所有商品都来自美国人的衣柜,所以我们销售的所有商品都是(对关税)免疫的。”

  自4月2日特朗普宣布“对等关税”以来,ThredUp和SaversValueVillage——美国两家最大的公开交易二手商店——的股价分别上涨了31%和22%,同期标准普尔零售精选指数下跌了7%。

  二手市场真能避开关税?

  根据耶鲁预算实验室数据,目前已经落地的特朗普关税,预计将使美国CPI上涨2.9%,这将使普通家庭每年额外支出4700美元。分析师警告,未来几个月,服装和玩具的成本可能会大幅上涨,因为美国时尚和商品行业严重依赖进口。

  这一前景下,能够避开关税的二手商迎来巨大的发展机会,BMOCapitalMarkets的零售分析师SimeonSiegel表示,二手市场已经在年轻消费者中很受欢迎,在经济衰退的情况下具有“双倍吸引力”,因为更多的潜在买家开始寻找折扣。

  点对点在线二手市场OfferUp的首席创新官KenMurphy说:

  根据CapitalOne汇编的数据,2024年美国二手市场价值约为500亿美元,比2023年增长了30%。

  Carden表示,市场的增长主要是由于购买二手商品所附带的耻辱感减少,特别是在注重可持续性的年轻人中,而不是价格动态。然而,他指出,通胀压力的再次出现可能会扩大对二手服装的接受度,并吸引更多年长和更富裕的消费者进入市场。

  芝加哥联邦储备银行总裁古尔斯比周一表示,美联储需要观望,但如果关税造成的影响没有扩散到占经济总量11%的进口之外,那么影响可能相对较小。

  “除非它跳出自身所在的11%的车道之外,否则关税对宏观经济的影响可能较小,”古尔斯比在接受采访时称,“我们不知道对供应链的影响会有多大,所以我认为我们要稳扎稳打,在跃跃欲试采取行动之前,先试着搞清楚其中的脉络。”

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