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新浪合作平台光大期货开户安全快捷有保障

  4月25日庄园牧场公布年报及一季报,2024年公司实现总营业收入8.9亿元,同比减少6.87%;实现归母净利润-1.66亿元,同比减少104%。

  一季度实现总营业收入2.1亿元,同比减少6.61%;实现归母净利润-0.26亿元,亏损有所减少。

  一季度营收下滑亏损收窄现金流显著改善

  庄园牧场主营构成以液体乳及乳制品为主,市场需求变化和成本上升导致业绩下滑,2024年业绩下滑主要受原奶价格下行导致的生物资产减值、市场竞争加剧引发的销售费用激增以及西北核心市场持续萎缩的叠加影响。公司通过优化产品结构和市场策略,部分缓解了整体营收下滑的压力。

  2025年一季度业绩下滑主要由于公司优化存货管理,减少采购,导致销售规模有所收缩。尽管营收下降,但亏损较上年同期亏损减少41.85%,显示公司在成本控制和费用管理方面取得了一定成效。

  从现金流角度看,一季度经营活动产生的现金流量净额为16,027,899.83元,同比增长99.60%,主要得益于支付的增值税减少和预收货款增加。此外,投资活动和筹资活动的现金流量也有所改善,特别是筹资活动产生的现金流量净额为33,467,528.12元,同比增长22.68%,表明公司在融资方面取得了积极进展。

  未来展望:全产业链深耕与产品矩阵升级

  庄园牧场的破局关键在于三大方向:一是深化全产业链优势,依托河西走廊30万亩优质牧草基地,持续推出富硒奶、有机奶等高端产品,提升原奶自给率与产品附加值;二是优化定价策略,针对西北消费力推出“性价比+地域特色”产品组合,例如常温版浆水酸奶,平衡价格与品质;三是探索B端市场,借鉴伊利与海底捞合作模式,开发餐饮专用乳制品,规避与全国性品牌的直接竞争。

  转型挑战:区域乳业的突围困境

  庄园牧场的困境折射出区域乳企在行业变革期的典型挑战:一方面,全国性品牌凭借规模效应与资本优势下沉渗透,压缩区域品牌生存空间;另一方面,低温产品的高成本与区域消费力错配,导致差异化战略难以落地。尽管公司在2024年尝试推出性价比更高的常温酸奶产品,并优化渠道结构,但受制于供应链短板与品牌力局限,转型成效尚未显现。

  在西北乳业市场从“蓝海”转为“红海”的当下,庄园牧场若不能快速破解定价策略、并购后遗症及债务压力三大难题,其“西北乳王”的地位或将面临更严峻挑战。对于区域乳企而言,如何在全国化竞争与本土深耕之间找到平衡,如何精准匹配区域消费特性打造产品矩阵,正成为穿越行业周期的关键命题。

  (注:本文系AI工具辅助创作完成,不构成投资建议。)

  出品:新浪财经上市公司研究院

  作者:新消费主张/cici

  4月22日,嘉亨家化股份有限公司(以下简称“嘉亨家化”)交出上市以来最差财报。2024年,公司营业收入为9.23亿元,同比下降9.13%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润亏损2370万元,同比下降159.00%;扣非净利润亏损2684万元,同比下降169.76%。

  嘉亨家化业绩出现如此大的滑坡,主要与国内日化护肤市场需求不及预期有关。下游需求惨淡,公司化妆品销售额为4.55亿元,同比下降15.63%;塑料包装容器销售额为3.8亿元,同比下降2.82%。

  同时,这也导致了嘉亨家化出现了较低的产能利用率,湖州基地投产反倒成为负担,致使多个产线出现大批产能浪费,如化妆品实际产能利用率仅为32.76%;家庭护理产品实际产能利用率仅为26.25%。嘉亨家化如此低的产能利用率,自然会引发一系列连锁问题,对企业的经营造成一定的负面影响,部分负面影响公司2024年财报中已初步显现。

  营收过于依赖前五大客户下游需求疲软拖累业绩、化妆品销售额下降

  嘉亨家化主要从事日化产品OEM/ODM及塑料包装容器的研发设计、生产,具备化妆品和家庭护理产品的研发、配制、灌装及塑料包装容器设计、制造的一体化综合服务能力。2024年,嘉亨家化交出上市后最差的一份成绩单,业绩双降、归母净利润扭亏,共实现营业收入9.23亿元,同比下降9.13%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润亏损2370万元,同比下降159.00%。

  拉长时间周期来看,嘉亨家化的业绩颓势或早已显现。2020-2024年,嘉亨家化营收分别为9.69亿元、11.61亿元、10.52亿元、10.16亿元、9.23,分别同比变动23.29%、19.89%、-9.45%、-3.41%、-9.13%;归母净利润分别0.93亿元、0.97亿元、0.70亿元、0.40亿元、-0.24亿元,分别同比变动47.51%、4.02%、-28.30%、-42.39%、-159.00%。由此可见,公司营收、归母净利润连降三年,并且公司归母净利润震荡向下至亏损。

  为何公司业绩出现如此大的滑坡,我们认为主要存在以下几点原因:(1)护肤美妆市场需求不及预期,如占公司销售额比重较大的几个客户业绩均出现了滑坡,这直接影响了公司业绩;(2)湖州嘉亨尚处于业务扩展期,产能利用率较低,但折旧摊销等固定支出有所增加且较为刚性,这也就影响了公司毛利水平。

  首先,代工厂的景气度与下游密切合作的客户景气程度亦存在较大联系。嘉亨家化的业绩高度依赖前五大客户,2024年,公司向前五大客户实现的销售额占总收入67.65%,其中面向最大客户的销售额占总收入的18.19%。从前五大客户贡献的营收状况,可以看出,嘉亨家化的客户集中度较高,若未来公司主要客户出现流失或主要客户的经营情况发生恶化,将对公司业务产生较大不利影响,或致公司业绩下滑。

(资料来源:公司公告)

  嘉亨家化主要客户包括强生、贝泰妮、上海家化等。这些客户的市场竞争力减弱或业务调整,直接导致公司订单减少。如上海家化营收已连续下降三年,其中2024年下降14%;贝泰妮的营收增速近年来也开始放缓。

  分产品来看,2024年,嘉亨家化化妆品销售额为4.55亿元,同比下降15.63%;塑料包装容器销售额为3.8亿元,同比下降2.82%。

(资料来源:公司公告)

  化妆品产线产能利用率仅32.76%产能利用率极低毛利率及资产配置效率、湖州基地成负担

  嘉亨家化曾对国内护肤市场前景寄予厚望,并在上市之际规划募集资金用于建设生产基地,旨在通过扩大产能来迎合未来的消费需求增长。然而事实却与公司预期相悖,目前,中国化妆品行业已从高速增长的增量市场进入存量竞争阶段。根据国家统计局公布的化妆品零售额及社会消费品零售总额主要数据,2024年1—12月化妆品类零售总额为4357亿元,同比下滑1.1%。

  值得一提的是,嘉亨家化主要产品的产能利用率都不高,化妆品设计产能75500吨,实际产能利用率仅为32.76%,仍有47000吨在建产能;家庭护理产品涉及产能26000吨,实际产能利用率仅为26.25%,仍有19000吨在建产能。塑料包装容器产能利用率稍高,但也仅有70.17%。

(资料来源:公司公告)

  作为代工厂,嘉亨家化如此低的产能利用率,自然会引发一系列连锁问题,对企业的经营造成一定的负面影响,部分负面影响公司2024年财报中已初步显现。

  报告期,公司固定资产为10.4亿元,较期初增长63%。固定资产的大幅增长,主要是因为在本报告期湖州嘉亨化妆品及家庭护理产品生产基地建设项目的生产厂房及设备完工验收自在建工程转入固定资产所致。

  产能利用率低下时,厂房折旧、设备维护、人工工资等固定成本需分摊到更少的产品上,导致单位成本上升,从而降低公司的盈利水平。2024年,受折旧摊销等固定支出有所增加且较为刚性,叠加营业收入下降导致公司毛利率下降4.55%。

  对于代工厂这种重资产企业,较低的产能利用率会通过收入下降、资产闲置、成本上升等多重路径拉低总资产周转率。近三年,嘉亨家化总资产周转率分别0.73,0.63,0.53,总资产周转能力趋弱。

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