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财联社4月22日讯(记者曹韵仪)最新数据披露情况显示,2025年一季度,已有62只个股前十大流通股东出现险资身影。

同时,今年以来险资入市速度加快,截至4月22日,已有平安人寿、新华人寿、阳光人寿等6家保险公司累计举牌12次,对比2024年同期大幅跃升。据统计,2024年全年险资举牌次数达20次,而今年刚过一季度险资举牌次数已超一半。

在持续低利率环境下,市场人士对财联社记者表示,险资前期高收益资产逐步到期,高股息权益资产尤其是港股高股息资产逐步获得险资青睐。

也有机构人士坦言,保险资金是负债资金,正在筹划进一步增持买入,预计其他保险机构也会有进一步动作,入市步伐或将加快。

红利股为险资重仓现金收益率下行为主因

据Wind数据统计显示,截至4月22日,险资一季度共现身62只个股前十大流通股东,合计持股159.08亿股,合计持股市值达1634.09亿元。从险资持股行业分布来看,材料Ⅱ、技术硬件与设备、资本货物,分别有14只、12只、10只。

值得注意的是,银行股仍是险资“心头好”。在险资持股名单中,平安银行、中国联通、南京银行被持股数量居前,险资分别持有上述个股112.45亿股、31.90亿股及4.07亿股。

“目前市场上无风险利率较低,投资优质资产的股息率较高,远高于当前的无风险利率,甚至远高于一年期、三年期的定期存款利率。”独立财经评论员郭施亮对财联社记者表示,相较之下,低估值、高股息率的优质资产的投资吸引力更高,进而也提升了险资举牌投资的需求,意在进行财务投资,提升资产配置能力。

中泰证券非银金融行业首席分析师葛玉翔对财联社记者表示:“持续低利率环境,险资前期高收益资产逐步到期,高股息权益资产尤其是港股高股息资产逐步获得险资青睐。去年以来监管持续号召险资加大入市力度,并松绑了偿付能力约束。头部保险尤其是央国企公司积极性更强。”

在现金收益率下行的背景下,险资配置红利股的动力不减。华西证券非银分析师罗惠洲也指出,首先,在低利率和资产荒的背景下,险资面临潜在的“利差损”压力,通过权益投资增厚收益具有现实必要性;其次,新会计准则下,举牌后的会计计量方式变更有助于提升险企利润表的稳定性;第三,政策层面持续推动中长期资金入市,今年1月六部门联合印发的《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》明确要求提升保险资金投资A股比例,为险资举牌提供了政策支持。

耐心资本入市潮起进一步增持正在筹划中

今年以来险资入市速度加快,2025年一季度,已经有平安人寿、新华人寿、阳光人寿等6家保险公司累计举牌12次,对比2024年同期出现大幅度跃升。据统计,2024年全年年险资举牌次数达20次,而今年刚过一季度险资举牌次数已超一半。

“政策引导及考核优化下,各家保险公司都在紧盯资本市场机会。”一位保险公司股权投资部门人士对财联社记者坦言,近期行业交流也较之前更为密集,保险资金是负债资金,投资上一定会有所作为。“我们正在筹划进一步增持买入,预计其他保险机构也会有进一步动作,入市步伐或将加快”。上述人士表示。

也有寿险公司人士对财联社坦言,监管正在积极打通保险资金入市难点痛点。更响应机构建言,探索拓宽投资渠道及范围。“对于我们保险投资人士而言,当前有机遇,更应提升能力,增强把握机遇,抵御风险的内力。”

国信证券研究员孔祥指出:“保险公司通过举牌上市公司能够实现一定的会计利润平滑,降低权益工具投资的投资收益波动;但举牌也要求险企具有战略性产业眼光,一级市场和二级市场视角相结合。”

孔祥预计,未来险企将进一步增持具有高分红、高资本增值潜力、高ROE属性上市企业,匹配保险行业资产端长期、稳定的需求。

险资持续举牌优质上市公司,其中银行股仍旧备受青睐。今年以来,保险机构频频举牌上市银行。平安人寿一季度累计举牌4次,分别增持了招商银行、农业银行、邮储银行的H股股份。中信银行H股以及杭州银行也纷纷被险企举牌。此外,从最新披露的基金一季报来看,多只基金产品加大了对银行股的配置力度。

“银行股成为险资配置的重点,主要基于三方面考量:一是银行股普遍具备低估值特征,投资安全边际较高;二是银行股尤其是国有大行具有稳定的高分红特性;三是银行业经营稳健,与险资追求长期稳定收益的投资理念高度契合。”罗惠洲表示。

中泰证券也表示,对等关税背景下,银行股红利属性凸显。政策宽松加码,内需领域政策可能对零售信贷需求有提振,降准降息降低银行资金成本。此外,一季度国债收益率上行的趋势面临边际变化,银行板块高股息的性价比提升。建议积极关注银行板块配置价值。

专题:2025基金一季报:最新持仓曝光!

  2025年一季度收官,A股市场结构性行情凸显,百亿规模以上的权益类基金业绩呈现显著分化。从碳中和主题的强势领涨,到消费、能源板块的持续承压,基金经理的调仓能力与行业配置策略经受考验。

  据Wind数据统计,截至2025年4月21日,权益类基金(包括普通股票型基金、偏股混合型基金、平衡混合型基金、灵活配置型基金)中,共有28只基金规模达到百亿以上。

  数据来源:Wind截止至20250421

  从一季度业绩来看,碳中和与高端制造成“胜负手”。Wind数据显示,鹏华碳中和主题A以60.26%的回报率位居榜首,而兴全趋势投资以-6.31%的回报率垫底,两者业绩差距高达66.57个百分点。

  此外,在28只基金中,24只实现了正收益,而4只出现了亏损。鹏华碳中和主题A以60.26%的收益率领先,永赢先进制造智选A以52.32%的收益率位居第二,招商优势企业A则以16.32%的收益率排名第三。

  相对而言,消费、医疗和部分传统能源主题基金的表现不佳,其中兴全趋势投资以-6.31%的收益率位列最后,银华富裕主题A以-3.2%的收益率次之,华夏能源革新A以-0.89%的收益率排在第三,安信稳健增值A则以-0.01%的收益率也进入了负收益行列。分析认为,这些显著的差异可能反映了当前市场的三个主要特点:

  一是结构性行情主导,政策与产业趋势决定胜负。业绩领跑的鹏华碳中和主题A、永赢先进制造智选A等聚焦新能源、机器人、半导体设备等“新质生产力”领域,直接受益于政策扶持,如设备更新、国产替代和产业景气度提升。而垫底基金中的兴全趋势投资、华夏能源革新A、银华富裕主题A等重仓传统金融、地产、新能源或受困于行业利空,未能跟上市场风格切换。

  “随着美国宣称对全球多数国家征收关税的举措迎来震荡,部分中国和海外的外贸型企业短期的订单面临着巨大的不确定性,全球的权益市场也同步出现了比较明显的波动。”兴全趋势投资基金经理董理在一季报中表示。

  银华富裕主题A基金经理焦巍在一季报中指出,“2025年一季度的行情承接了2024年四季度的热点,在AI和机器人的加持下科技股更加如火如荼,同期的本基金主要布局的低波红利资产则在风险偏好大幅转变的背景下表现欠佳。”

  另外,对于人工智能时代是已经开启了一轮新的经济增长的引擎?焦巍称对流行的舆论保持冷静。他表示,年初以来市场一直弥漫着投资风格周期切换的声音,舆论的主流偏向在重仓创新,放弃价值,与中国科技腾飞。这更凸显了红利投资的随波逐流之害和保持定力之难。

  华夏能源革新A基金经理杨宇指出,“在储能方面,国内取消强制配储政策出台,市场担心储能需求承压,但部分省份储能承接政策有望落地,修复悲观预期。美国储能受两次关税影响,出货节奏有所波动,但新建项目数量持续攀升,景气趋势不改。中东、拉美、欧洲、澳洲等新兴市场仍处于项目爆发期。”

  二是基金经理调仓能力成关键分水岭。如闫思倩旗下鹏华碳中和主题A通过加仓机器人核心零部件(中大力德、绿的谐波)、锂电设备(震裕科技)等高弹性标的,精准捕捉技术突破红利。

  Wind显示,鹏华碳中和主题A前十大重仓股区间涨幅大幅超过行业区间涨幅。其中,双林股份以118.16%的区间涨幅领涨,远超行业平均水平5.46%的涨幅;中大力德的表现同样引人注目,区间涨幅达126.35%,而其所属工业行业的平均涨幅仅为1.15%;五洲新春(维权)和晨裕科技也表现出色,区间涨幅分别为56.44%和129.37%,均远超其所属工业行业的平均涨幅1.15%。

  数据来源:Wind截止至20250331

  而兴全趋势投资前十大重仓股中,德赛西威和鹏鼎控股的区间涨幅分别为2.54%和-0.55%,均低于行业区间涨跌幅;中兴通讯和中国太保的区间跌幅分别为-15.30%和-5.63%,均低于信息技术和金融行业的平均涨幅4.38%和-1.49%。

  数据来源:Wind截止至20250331

  三是高波动伴随高分化,投资者需警惕尾部风险。碳中和、高端制造等主题基金短期爆发力强,但高估值可能加剧波动。

  对此,永赢先进制造智选A基金经理张璐就在一季报中对盲目跟风的投资者作出提示。他指出,面对人形机器人这一具有长期向好逻辑的板块,单纯追高或在市场波动时恐慌离场都不是最优策略。投资者在初次接触相关行业时,不妨将其纳入关注列表,深入了解和研究该行业及工具型产品的风险收益特征,基于真正看好时再做出投资决策,而不要仅仅因为热度高就跟风购买。

  银华富裕主题A基金经理焦巍也在一季报中提到,如果一个管理人永远是在市场下滑的时候追逐稳健,在市场亢奋的时段又迅速将磨难中总结的规则抛之脑后,那么拉长维度看,能够做到踏浪而行的终究是幸存者偏差,绝大部分则成为沙滩上的泡沫。

  我们对流行的舆论保持冷静:全球的人工智能时代是已经开启了一轮新的经济增长的引擎?人工智能的斯普特尼克时刻是否真的已经到来?传统的工作乃至投资模式是否已经被AI碾压?这些流行的话术正在把投资者带入新一轮沉默的螺旋。他表示,未来将在科学预期收益率的前提下寻找资产,通过长期复利而不是跟随市场热点实现预期收益。

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