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退伍的老公小说,揭示其背后的独特魅力与无限可能!
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退伍的老公小说,揭示其背后的独特魅力与无限可能!

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在耐克(NKE.US)管理层正试图扭转这家全球最大运动服装公司面临的颓势之际,该公司迎来了一位新的高级战略主管。一份内部备忘录显示,在耐克工作了14年的“老将”JenniferHartley已被任命为首席战略官,并在耐克的高级领导团队中占有一席之地。耐克的一名公司代表证实,她将于本周开始担任该职位。

此举正值耐克首席执行官ElliottHill寻求带来耐克卷土重来之际,该公司在过去一年的销售表现疲软。耐克首席财务官MattFriend在备忘录中表示,JenniferHartley将致力于“制定、推动和实现耐克的战略议程”。

耐克前首席战略和转型官DanielHeaf于今年早些时候离职。此前,耐克管理层决定取消他的职位,其负责的团队也被并入了财务部门。

ElliottHill在去年9月复出,成为耐克的新任首席执行官。ElliottHill上任后,迅速提出“WinNow”战略,开始进行一系列的转型改革,通过快速行动重塑品牌竞争力,聚焦核心运动领域,同时优化运营效率,重新激活市场增长,以应对市场竞争加剧和消费环境的变化。

耐克在3月底迎来了其“换帅”后的首个完整财季的业绩公布。正如此前各大券商分析师和市场机构的预测,转型周期中的耐克在营收、净利润和毛利率上,与去年同期相比依旧呈现的是下降趋势。不过,ElliottHill在财报电话会议上表示:“我们对过去90天内的果断行动和取得的进展感到自豪,我们达到了预期,但是我们并不满足于此,我们还会做得更好。”

  汇通财经APP讯——高盛的全球外汇、利率和新兴市场主管KamakshyaTrivedi表示,美元已进入持续的长期下跌阶段,随着美债与美国股市一起下跌,外国投资者正在重估美元计价资产的风险回报他周二表示:“我认为美元的弱势还会进一步,我认为这会持续下去,而且会加深。”

  Trivedi表示,到目前为止,美元兑欧元的跌幅最大,但日元可能是下一个受益者。他说:“我认为,如果你开始看到一些数据开始走弱,那么你可能会看到日元也会重新行动起来。迄今为止,这些数据实际上相当有韧性。这是典型的超级安全港,我认为,如果美国劳动力市场数据也开始出现问题,我们可能很快就会回到130多的低点。”

  他补充说:“我认为这将告诉你,是欧元还是日元将成引领,但我认为美元疲软将持续下去。”

  当被问及这是否意味着美元的下跌是一种永久性的状态时,Trivedi认为这更像是一种长期的下跌。他说:“我认为这里发生了一些根本性的变化。”

  他表示:“首先发生变化的是美国经济前景,我认为经济衰退的风险非常大。我认为人们,尤其是外国投资者,正在重估美国资产、美元资产的前景。我认为股票也是如此,因为它们与收益和经济息息相关。但我认为相关性的拆解尤其重要。如果你是美债的外国投资者,它的吸引力很大一部分是它提供给你的对冲价值。当美股下跌时,这些资产本应上涨。如果它们不打算在这个时候这样做,我想这真的会成为人们关注的问题。我更担心的是,在这种情况下,外国投资者会重估美国资产的风险和回报。”

  随后,Trivedi被问及,持续的金价涨势是否也预示着市场将持续脱离美元。周二上午,现货金价经通胀调整后创下每盎司3500美元以上的历史新高。

  他说:“我认为黄金肯定在告诉你这一点,而且一段时间以来它一直在告诉你。你已经看到央行大举买入黄金,这是需求的一大来源。我认为这是在告诉你,人们希望将美元资产分散到更广泛的避险资产中,我认为黄金就是其中之一。”Trivedi补充说道:“其中一个挑战是没有明显的替代选择,这就是为什么我认为现在放弃美元作为避险资产还为时过早。这一直是一个挑战,现在仍然是一个挑战。我们仍然认为,美元在全球贸易流动中的主导地位将持续一段时间,但这并不意味着,如果配置的边际美元开始寻找更多元化的资产组合,而不仅仅是主要的美元资产,你就不会看到美元弱势持续下去。这就是我们所预期的。”

  4月14日,高盛上调其对金价的年终预测,从此前年底的3300美元上调至3700美元,理由是央行需求强于预期,以及衰退风险加剧推动ETF资金流入增加。

  该投资银行表示,预计央行需求平均每月80吨,高于此前预测的70吨,远高于2022年前每月17吨的基线。它还指出,受衰退担忧的推动,黄金ETF资金流入激增。高盛的经济学家目前认为,未来12个月美国经济衰退的可能性为45%。

  高盛估计,如果央行平均每月购金100吨,到2025年底金价可能达到每盎司3810美元。在ETF方面,如果经济衰退发生,ETF资金流入可能会回到疫情的水平,到年底支持金价涨至3880美元。

  4月7日,高盛的分析师对投资者表示,金价的任何回调都应被视为进场机会,他们继续建议做多黄金,认为这是他们“对大宗商品最坚定的看法”。

  高盛的分析师当时在一份报告中写道:“我们维持金价年底预估为每盎司3300美元,预估区间为3250至3520美元,主要反映投资者头寸面临上行风险。我们继续认为,相对于我们的预估,风险倾向于上行。”对黄金的进一步支撑将来自于新兴市场央行的结构性需求,以及由于衰退担忧和美联储降息流入ETF的资金增加。

  他们还指出,黄金和其他贵金属被免于新关税,他们预计特朗普政府未来不会对它们征收关税。

  黄金仍是该行预期的突出资产,该行认为宏观经济风险和相对较少的投资者头寸为进一步上涨奠定了基础。分析师们表示:“我们认为,这以及黄金市场的其他潜在下跌,是投资者做多黄金的一个机会。”

  美元指数日线图来源:易汇通北京时间4月23日11:18美元指数报99.20。

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