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海贼王784情报:XboxOne X vs Xbox Series X,究竟哪款主机更适合你?
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  全球股市集体暴涨。

  贸易紧张局势缓和的乐观预期推动全球股市大涨,美股开盘后,中国资产全线暴涨,纳斯达克中国金龙指数一度大涨超5%;美股三大指数亦集体大涨,纳指大涨超4%;欧股直线拉升,法国CAC40指数、德国DAX指数均涨超3%。

  消息面上,美国总统特朗普周二表示,美国目前对自中国进口商品的关税过高,预计税率将大幅降低。他还表示,自己无意解雇美联储主席鲍威尔。华尔街分析称,这番表态显著缓解了市场担忧情绪,做多资金重返股票市场。

  就在刚刚,美国财长贝森特就金融体系状况发表讲话时表示,“针对特朗普宣布的关税措施,已有超过100个国家联系我方。”他还表示,特朗普政府希望与IMF和世界银行合作。特朗普主张的“美国优先”并不意味着“美国单独”。美国仍然拥有关于强势美元的政策。

  全线暴涨

  北京时间4月23日晚间,美股开盘后,中国资产全线暴涨,纳斯达克中国金龙指数一度大涨超5%,截至发稿,涨幅仍超4.4%,三倍做多富时中国ETF、两倍做多中国互联网股票ETF均大涨超7%,中国海外互联网ETF涨超4%。

  热门中概股中,小马智行大涨超23%,小鹏汽车、小牛电动、好未来涨超8%,老虎证券、霸王茶姬、富途控股涨超6%,阿里巴巴、拼多多、爱奇艺、贝壳涨超5%,腾讯音乐、唯品会涨超4%。

  美股三大指数亦集体暴涨,截至发稿,纳指大涨4.25%,标普500指数大涨3.25%,道指涨2.75%。

  美股大型科技股全线反攻,特斯拉暴涨超8%,亚马逊大涨7%,Meta涨超5%,英伟达、博通、台积电ADR涨超4%,苹果、微软、谷歌、涨超3%。

  与此同时,欧股直线拉升,法国CAC40指数日内大涨3%,德国DAX指数大涨3.47%,欧洲斯托克50指数大涨3.14%。

  消息面上,美国总统特朗普周二表示,美国目前对自中国进口商品的关税过高,预计税率将大幅降低。此外,他还表示,自己无意解雇美联储主席鲍威尔,但美联储应该降低利率。

  此外,美国财长贝森特4月22日在一场闭门的投资者会议上表示,关税僵局不可持续,预计将在不久的将来,形势将有所缓和。

  华尔街分析称,这番表态显著缓解了市场担忧情绪,做多资金重返市场。据美媒最新报道,特朗普选择不解雇鲍威尔是出于美国财长贝森特和美国商务部长卢特尼克提出的担忧。

  国际知名投行巴克莱在最新的报告中表示,过高的估值和对贸易战的紧张情绪打压了科技股今年的表现,但仍有理由大举押注遭受重创的科技股。

  巴克莱分析师解释称,科技股往往是熊市复苏中表现最好的板块,在触底后的12个月内平均实现了两位数的增长。

  “一旦熊市低点形成,科技股往往成为各板块中的明显赢家,在接下来的一年里,平均超额回报率将达到30%以上。”他们写道。

  宏观数据方面,北京时间23日晚间,标普全球公布的数据显示,美国4月Markit制造业PMI初值50.7,意外录得扩张,好于市场原本预期的陷入收缩,服务业和综合PMI初值则低于预期,不过仍均处于扩张区间。有分析称,在市场剧烈动荡以及关税不确定性下,美国经济放缓的担忧笼罩市场,这份PMI数据备受市场关注。刚刚出炉的PMI数据缓解了市场的担忧情绪。

  高盛CEO最新发声

  美东时间4月22日,高盛CEO大卫·所罗门表示,特朗普政府应该开始达成一些贸易协议,并向投资者展示它们是如何运作的,这将对美股市场有益。

  所罗门当天在一档节目中表示:“我确定的一件事是,如果你能制定一个路线图,并清楚地了解我们的前进方向和期望的结果是什么,信心(归来)将提振美国股市。”

  所罗门解释称,在短期内,金融市场往往会反应过度,因为投资者需要时间来消化宏观经济的变化,比如美国所谓的“对等关税”。

  投资者对不确定性的程度和变化的速度感到担忧,所罗门表示:“我们所处的宏观环境与几个月前截然不同。”

  在上述采访中,所罗门使用“不确定性”这个词超过5次。他说,此前在特朗普胜选但未正式就职时,人们还对降低监管的前景持乐观态度。

  他说:“但现在我们进入新政府几个月了,政策并没有变得更加确定,我们实际上有一种更大的不确定性,这对资产价格和市场产生了重大影响。”

  “市场正在寻求根据这些政策最终会是什么样子,以及这些政策最终将如何实施的不确定性来重新定价,因此,这导致了资金流动的重大变化。”他补充说。

  这并非所罗门第一次对特朗普领导下的“不确定性”发出警告。他上周也指出,由于美国对外贸易战的不确定性,以及美国企业CEO们对于前路的规划迷茫,美国经济衰退的风险已经“有所增加”。

  英国央行首席经济学家HuwPill对过去危机中将量化宽松政策作为“大锤”使用的做法提出质疑,此前其一位同事建议央行未来应采取更具针对性和审慎的政策。

  Pill周三在利兹大学商学院发表讲话时还表示,政策制定者对近期的市场波动保持高度警惕,并准备在必要时调整政策以逆转量化宽松。

  在量化宽松政策高峰期,英国央行持有主要为政府债券的8,950亿英镑(合1.2万亿美元)资产,旨在通过压低借贷成本支持经济。包括前行长默文·金在内的批评者认为,这些购债操作推高了通胀、加剧了不平等,并给纳税人带来了巨大成本。 

  周三公布的借款数据显示,财政部已经支出860亿英镑来弥补英国央行缩减资产规模过程中产生的损失,其中仅在2024-25年期间支出360亿英镑。

  Pill表示,针对未来可能对经济和金融稳定构成威胁的风险,采取更具针对性的措施“切除肿瘤”是有必要的。“我们是扮演手术刀还是大锤的角色,我认为这将成为一个非常重要的问题,”他说。

  这些评论表明英国央行正在考虑在未来危机中使用量化宽松时更加审慎,这主要是在其资产负债表在金融危机至疫情期间的十余年间大幅膨胀引发广泛关注的背景下。这与英国央行利率制定者MeganGreene周二在接受彭博新闻社采访时发表的言论相呼应,她表示量化宽松可以规模更小、更具针对性的方式使用。

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