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  2025年4月24日,央行发布中期借贷便利招标公告称,为保持银行体系流动性充裕,2025年4月25日(周五),将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展6000亿元MLF操作,期限为1年期。

  Wind数据显示,当月共有1000亿元MLF到期,次日操作落地后将实现5000亿元的中长期流动性净投放。操作落地后,MLF余额将为46570亿元。这也是MLF连续两个月加量续作,而且加量幅度较上月的630亿元显著放大,表明央行加大了通过MLF向市场注入中期流动性的力度。

  MLF继续加量续作或与政府债发行提速有关。按照财政部有关安排,2025年超长期特别国债于4月24日首次发行,其中20年期500亿元,中标利率为1.98%;30年期710亿元,中标利率为1.88%。值得注意的是,今年超长期特别国债集中在4月至10月发行,较去年集中在5月至11月发行,整体发行节奏提前了约一个月。

来源:财政部网站

  根据预算安排,我国今年拟发行超长期特别国债1.3万亿元,较2024年增加3000亿元。其中,8000亿元用于更大力度支持“两重”项目建设,5000亿元用于加力扩围实施“两新”政策。今年,支持消费品以旧换新的超长期特别国债规模为3000亿元,较2024年增加1500亿元。

  2025年中央金融机构注资特别国债也于4月24日启动发行,发行金额为1650亿元,发行期限为5年期,加权中标利率1.45%。

来源:财政部网站

  根据前期公布的发行安排,2025年中央金融机构注资特别国债共4只,其中2只为5年期、2只为7年期。据财政部此前介绍,2025年,财政部将发行首批特别国债5000亿元,积极支持中国银行、中国建设银行、交通银行、中国邮政储蓄银行补充核心一级资本。此次资本补充工作将按照市场化、法治化原则稳妥推进。

  曾在央行货币政策司公开市场业务处任职的中信证券首席经济学家明明告诉记者,政府债供给高峰临近,央行宽货币发力旨在维护流动性充裕。一方面,4月以来资金面相对宽松,但下周劳动节假期将至,资金可能面临一定的跨节压力。另一方面,第一批超长期特别国债和中央金融机构注资特别国债的发行已于4月24日落地,按照此前公布发行安排,5月政府债供给压力预计还会加大,料将对流动性市场形成一定扰动。央行4月放量MLF净投放,也可能是为了对冲后续政府债供给对长期流动性的压力。

  明明还称,MLF本次加大投放规模也可能是为了配合对冲买断式逆回购的到期压力。4月买断式逆回购到期规模较大,共有1.2万亿元3个月期限以及5000亿元6个月期限的买断式逆回购到期,往后仍需关注4月买断式逆回购的净投放情况。

  他还预计,结合MLF多重价位中标模式,以及本次5000亿元的宽幅净投放规模,本次MLF中标利率或相较于3月存在进一步下行的空间,有助于压降商业银行负债成本。接近央行人士也曾告诉记者,采用多重价位中标可以更好反映机构差异化的资金需求,发挥机构市场化自主定价能力,有利于降低银行负债成本,缓解净息差压力,增强金融支持实体经济的可持续性。

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