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欧洲码日本码中国码,带你领略那些令人心动的超凡角色与冒险!
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  美国的盟友近期相继就关税问题与白宫接触。16日,美国与日本的关税谈判在华盛顿开启。在欧洲方面,美国总统特朗普17日与到访的意大利总理梅洛尼举行会谈。

  美日谈判结束后,特朗普宣称取得“重大进展”,但路透社表示,美日双方除了同意再次会面外,几乎没有取得进展。根据计划,日美财长将于24日在华盛顿继续会谈。

  日本首相拒绝全盘接受白宫的要求

  日本首相石破茂21日表示,日本不会为达成关税协议而全盘接受美国的要求。他明确排除了“以降低对日本农产品保护水平换取汽车关税豁免”的可能性。石破茂同时表示,日本政府不会在与美国的贸易谈判中纳入安全议题。

  日美两国的首次接触可以说是“无果而终”。那么,美日之间的博弈还会如何发展?

  对外经济贸易大学教授崔凡:美日之间的谈判存在几个可能性:

  第一,他们达成的协议完全符合世贸组织的规定。日本向美国降税了以后,同时按照最后国非歧视原则,也向其他世界各国降税,或者日美之间达成一个自由贸易协定,这些都是符合世贸组织的规定的。

  第二,打点擦边球,达成一个类似于2019年的日美贸易协定。在之前的协定里,日本对美国农产品关税有所降低,但是其他国家也没向世贸组织提出异议,这个协议是有一定争议的。

  第三,有可能直接与世贸组织的非歧视原则发生冲突,比如,接受美国的一些施压。

  我想就这几种情况,第二种情况的可能性最大,对于其他情况,我们现在也在观察。所以我觉得下一步日本进行谈判要在世贸组织的规则上跟美国去谈判,要坚守世贸组织规则。因为如果这个规则完全打破了,今后美国向世界各国来施压的话,那么其他国家就没有这样的规则体系可以依赖了。

  意总理访美美欧贸易僵局仍将持续

  在欧洲方面,美国总统特朗普17日与到访的意大利总理梅洛尼举行会谈。梅洛尼表示自己可以成为美欧沟通的桥梁。然而,美联社指出梅洛尼在会晤中没能改变特朗普在关税问题上的想法。总体而言,美欧之间的谈判进展也不大,双方处于一个僵局状态。

  那么,这种僵持会持续多久?欧洲内部对贸易战的立场是“铁板一块”吗?

  中国国际问题研究院美国研究所副所长张腾军:梅洛尼对美国的访问,应该是特朗普政府对欧洲加征对等关税之后首位到访的欧洲领导人,显然外界给予了更多的关注。

  从梅洛尼本人来讲,她希望能够扮演美欧之间桥梁的角色,能够推动达成某种形式的贸易协议,但从目前来看,美欧之间的贸易分歧仍然巨大

  对欧洲的方面来说,他们要的无非有三个方面:一是取消对等关税;二是他们希望维护欧盟整体的统一立场;第三,他们不希望单方面对美国让步。

  而美国方面要的与欧洲方面显然不一致。特朗普政府其实更想要的是,首先,欧盟方面要完全取消对美国的关税;第二,美国还要持续对欧盟加征关税,直到扭转所谓的贸易逆差,实现贸易平衡。

  所以对美国来说,它其实是既要又要的状态,而这些立场对于欧盟来说也难以接受,所以双方的立场和分歧目前仍然巨大。虽然特朗普政府现在对欧盟方面的加征关税正处在一个暂缓的阶段,但是基于双方巨大的分歧,双方的争端和博弈其实是刚刚开始很难有实质性的进展

  而对欧盟方面来说,我想欧盟内部本身在这个问题上也并不是“铁板一块”,对于梅洛尼所发挥的作用也是持某种质疑的态度。 欧洲码日本码中国码,带你领略那些令人心动的超凡角色与冒险!的相关文章 甲亢哥邀请卤鹅大叔去美国的相关文章
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