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专题:卡游赴港IPO:曾侵权“奥特曼”败诉2024年营收过百亿

  来源:阿尔法工场研究院

  导语:若重要IP授权到期,将会对公司业绩造成不小的冲击。

  卡游有限公司在港交所递交的招股书,为其冲击资本市场拉开序幕。联席保荐人为摩根士丹利、中金公司、摩根大通等。

  卡游作为中国领先的泛娱乐产品公司,主营业务围绕基于IP开发的实体产品展开,玩具尤其是集换式卡牌是核心产品,并逐步拓展至人偶、徽章、文具等多元品类。其商业模式依托于多元化的产品体验、引人入胜的趣味互动运营和稳健的生产能力这三大核心竞争力。

  通过构建多元产品组合,满足不同消费者需求;举办TCG活动等方式增强消费者互动;在生产上紧跟前沿工艺,保障产品质量与供应效率。

  凭借这些优势,卡游在市场中占据显著地位,按2024年商品交易总额计,在泛娱乐产品行业、泛娱乐玩具行业、泛娱乐玩具行业集换式卡牌领域以及泛娱乐文具行业均排名第一。

  从财务数据来看,卡游业绩波动明显。2022年至2024年,公司收入分别为人民币41.31亿元、26.62亿元和100.57亿元,呈现先降后升态势;净利润方面,2022年净亏损2.96亿元,2023年净利润为4.495亿元,2024年又出现12.415亿元的净亏损。

  这种业绩波动反映出公司业务受市场环境、产品需求变化等多种因素影响。

  卡游在港股市场的前景存在机遇与挑战。其优势在于强大的品牌影响力,已成为中国广受欢迎的泛娱乐品牌,拥有多元化且高质量的IP矩阵,能持续推出受市场欢迎的产品。

  市场机遇方面,中国泛娱乐产品行业发展迅速,2019-2024年市场规模复合年增长率达13.6%,预计2024-2029年将以14.0%的速度继续增长,卡游有望凭借行业地位和产品优势分得更大市场份额。

  然而,卡游也面临诸多风险。从市场竞争看,泛娱乐行业竞争激烈,国内外企业众多,新进入者不断增加,若卡游不能持续创新、提升竞争力,市场份额可能被挤压。

  在IP运营上,虽然公司目前拥有丰富的IP资源,但IP的受欢迎程度和认可存在不确定性,且IP授权面临到期续约风险,一旦出现问题,将影响产品开发与销售。

  财务方面,尽管营收增长显著,但净利润波动大,且过去存在流动负债净额情况,未来能否保持盈利和良好的资金状况存在不确定性。

  卡游过往的发展历程见证了其在产品创新上的努力,如推出多个原创IP产品系列,举办大量TCG活动提升品牌知名度。行业研究报告也指出,中国泛娱乐市场潜力巨大,但竞争格局复杂,企业需不断提升综合实力。

  互联网上对于卡游上市的讨论也较为热烈,部分投资者看好其行业地位和发展潜力,也有投资者对其业绩波动和竞争风险表示担忧。总体而言,卡游在港股市场的表现值得期待,但投资者需密切关注其面临的风险因素,谨慎做出投资决策。

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