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交易者的敌人,只有傲慢的自己

对交易来说,当你觉得交易很简单的时候,说明需要你把它看得更复杂一点,当你觉得交易很复杂的时候,说明需要你把他看的简单一点,市场也不存在绝对的难易,而在于交易者怎么看待这个市场,你越是觉得容易,就越是容易忽视它的难度。

交易本是一场对失败很敏感的游戏,而不是交易者可以轻易征服获得快感的自留地,亏损总是会在不经意间不请自到。

无论你怎么做都不可能取得绝对的胜率优势,没有谁可以一直保持准确的预测,行情的随机波动有一部分肯定会在意料之内,而有一部分也肯定会在意料之外,交易者若是希望可以取得持续的成功,首先需要做得到的就是一个谦逊的自己,至于是意料之外的行情,还是意料之内的行情往往并不由得自己,市场有他自己的节奏。

我们不要把失败归结于行情不好,我们也不要把成功当作是自己凌驾于其他人之上的能力

既然我们想要在股市市场中长期生存,使用股市技术面以及股市基本面获得超越凡人的收益水平,那我们就要把自己变得非常的低调而善良

在这种低调而善良的环境下,我们才可以发挥出作为人类最大的主观能动性。

主力洗盘洗的是什么?

主力洗盘的目的主要有以下三个:

迫使低价买入的散户出局,减轻股价上升时的压力。

提高市场中散户的平均持股成本,以使主力能在高位出货时顺利脱身。

主力通过洗盘时的高抛低吸,降低持仓成本。

洗盘和出货的七大区别:

1、跌幅不同

洗盘跌幅不大,一般不跌破10日线,即使跌破也会尾盘拉回来。跌得太深,廉价筹码会被散户捡走,不利于后市拉升,主力出货的目的是将手中股票出尽,不会管均线是否跌破。

2、选择时机不同

洗盘大部分选择在大盘波动或个股利空时进行,出货则选择在大盘上涨或个股有利好消息时。

3、阶段不同

洗盘发生在第一波上涨之后,股价处于相对低位。出货发生在两次以上拉升之后,股价处于相对高位。

4、目的不同

洗盘的目的是赶走获利盘,吸引跟风盘,使散户换手,提高散户持仓成本。主力的持仓是不动的,出货的目的是为了抛出手中筹码,股价重心下移。

5、与之前的上涨情况不同

洗盘前的上涨过程中很少有跳空缺口,即使有,大部分都会回补,出货前上涨过程中的跳空缺口比较多,主力做最后一搏,所以缺口大部分都不会补。

6、出现的次数不同

洗盘可以出现多次,洗完之后会有上涨,成交量在洗盘过程中萎缩,如果在洗盘两次之后的震荡就要小心,股价再次出现回落其出货概率更大。

7、回调速度不同

洗盘回调速度快、时间短,其目的是快速震出获利盘。出货回调速度慢、时间长,其目的是不知不觉地出货。

堆量挖坑

堆量挖坑是庄家惯用的一种手法,我们通过实践我们发现许多牛股在拉升前成交量会出现这种形态,下面会通过两个案例让来分析这种形态。

技术要点:

1、成交量形态要同股价形态结合看,一般股价在底部出现堆量之后,股价会随量上升。

2、如果该主力进行堆量后发现市场抛压大,其股价往往会出现回调动作,特别是在底部的股票。但是一般在堆量之后股价出现强势调整,后市强势上扬的机会较大。

3、底部“堆量”股回调后往往会成为市场热点股,所以这类股票一般会有一些拥有一些未被市场挖掘的热点。

4、买点的最佳点:经过进过充分调整后股价再次异动。

连续温和放量上攻,缩量洗盘后突破颈线拉升。

庄家以三个一字板后放量吸筹,又近一个月的洗盘,洗去不坚定分子,懂技术的人就轻易不抛牛股的。

该票几乎都是沿着五日线上攻,阳量大于阴量,依据量能可进行高抛低吸。依然不要忘记不要轻易抛牛股。以五日线作为生命线就可以了。

堆量形态小结:

通过以上案例我们了解到如何根据堆量挖坑的形态来寻找牛股,牛股并不多,所以需要我们投资者下点工夫去寻找,如果找到形态相似的但还没有涨的,说明此时这头牛刚刚露出了牛角,投资者需要关注,一旦形态形成突破,立即介入,获取收益。

区分主力洗盘跟出货,判别短线卖点

所有个股在波动的过程中都会形成顶部,特别是短线个股形成顶部的机会更多。逃避中线的顶部比较简单,因为它们顶部横盘震荡的时间都会很长,但逃短线顶部却是所有投资者都很头疼的事情了,因为短线顶部的时间非常短,并且一旦形成顶部股价就会出现连续的下跌,一旦卖完了,股价转眼间就跌了下来。

怎么判别短线的卖点:

股价之所以形成短线走势,就是因为盘中没有中线资金进行运作,短线资金的资金量往往较少,因此持仓的程度并不高,一旦有了上涨空间主力就会进行出货。又由于主力持仓量不高,所以出货可以以很快的速度来完成。由于短线主力的持仓量并不高,所以进行短线操作买点要按分时图的变化形成来确定,同时利用分时图的量能配合来确定短线主力的出货,在分时图中会有非常明显的波动规律。

高考出货是最常见的短线主力的出货方式。主力要出货必然要有足够的空间进行震荡,否则没有太大的空间主力的主动性抛盘一旦涌出,股价便会快速下跌,从而也会影响到主力的成本。因此短线主力要决定在某天出货的时候,往往会做出一个高开的开盘价。股价的高开,就为主力在当天出货提供了很大的震荡空间,因此短线主力出货的时候常见的形态往往是:一根大阳线,第二天高开出货。

如果没有大阳线就没有办法吸引人气,所以在短线主力出货的时候,提前收出一根大阳线是必不可少的,这样做不但可以吸引来足够的人气,而且还可以为主力创造出更多的盈利!大阳线的出现为也主力的出货提供了很好的震荡空间,所以短线个股形成顶部往往都会出现较为惹眼的涨幅。

通过大阳线吸引来了人气,在主力出货的时候成交量就会暴露主力的意图。短线主力的操作往往都是非常直接的。拉高股价便会快速上涨,同样,如果出货又会肆无忌惮。因此,短线个股在出货的时候,除了会高开以外,还会放出巨大的成交量,开盘的巨量就是主力大肆出货的标志。

主力喜欢把股价做成大幅高开的走势,一是为了加大出货时股价震荡的空间,二是为了延长出货的时间,最主要的就是希望通过高开吸引来更多的人气!短线个股出货之前往往都会收出实体较大的阳线,较大的涨幅会引来很多投资者的关注,第二天再来一个高开又会让很多投资者认为股价还会继续上涨,从而积极的入场买进,这也是为什么股价开盘以后会出现巨量的原因。

成交量的形态暴露了问题,同时成交量的数量也暴露了问题,股价开盘以后就是巨量成交,这种巨量开盘就是短线资金撤离的经典走势之一!由于主力手中的股票本身就是很少,所以一旦出现巨量,随着主力手中股票的减少,成交量自然也越来越少。

股价大幅高开,实际上为主力的出货提供了震荡的空间,主力可以从容的出货,就算股价会有波动也不会影响到主力的利润。巨大的成交量为主力出货提供了很好的出局机会!面对众多的追涨买盘,哪个主力不想赶快卖掉手中的股票呢?因此大幅高开、巨量成交和成交量的萎缩向投资者表明了主力出局的真相。

短线的顶部离不了成交量的异常放大与量价背离的现象出现,一旦股价无法保持前几日的持续上涨走势,投资者就应当及时卖出。短线主力持仓量很小,进的快,出的更快,一旦出完了货,股价便会出现连续的下跌,如果不想被套住,投资者一旦在盘中发现股价有见顶迹象,就应当及时的出局回避风险!

坚持只做牛回头短线战法

一、牛回头战法

1、抓到牛股的概率是0.1%,但是抓到牛回头的概率是80%。

2、抓不到牛股没关系,我们可以抓它牛回头。

3、什么是牛回头?先看一下图

图中是天赐材料2016年的一段行情走势图,标注1的位置,这是该股第一次走牛的行情,在那一波行情里面,你想做到,是比较难的,首先大盘当时的环境,以及锂电池产业的消息,业绩等等都是没有公开的,是先知先觉的主力偷偷的做起来,但是当锂电池行业爆发,上市公司业绩巨变之后,股价已经涨了一倍多。像这样的股票我们几乎每年都遇到很多,估计很多人都会感慨希望做到这样的股票,但那只是一种美好的愿望。

抓不到第一波没关系,这种牛股,大多数人都抓不到第一波,但是我们可以比较容易的抓到第二波或者第三波。图中2的位置,就是这个股票大幅上涨之后的一个深度调整,经过几个月的时间后,这个股票又来了第二波上涨行情,而且这第二波不比第一波小。那么在2和3之间就出现了一个牛回头的机会。就是图中,两个黄色圆圈发出信号的地方,这就是牛回头。

牛回头就是做牛股的第二波行情,甚至第三波行情,总之我们做的不是第一波,因为那个太难,更多的人更能把握的是做第二波。

上图万科在去年股权大战之前的走势,也走出了非常美妙的牛回头行情,第一波你跟不上没关系,可以做第二波。图中2,和3之间那个黄色圆圈里面的红色箭头就是牛回头量化信号。

这样的例子真的是太多了,几乎90%的牛股都会第二波行情,都会有牛回头走势。所以我的分析方法跟很多人不同,我不抓牛股,因为很难,没有那么高的成功率,但我可以等牛股走完,做第二波,这个成功率高,且安全,不用追涨,全都是低吸,更重要的是我们每个人都会选出已经走出来的牛股,这样每个人都可以轻松掌握这种方法。

识别牛回头的五个基本要素

1)走牛:牛回头,必须曾经是牛股,龙头,黑马,怪异的股票等,走牛越近越好。

2)充分调整:第一波行情结束后,要经历充分的调整。这个充分分两层,一个是时间够长,一个是幅度够大

3)企稳:要有一定的企稳走势或者明显的信号。

4)缩量:调整的好坏,除了空间,还有量,洗的人都走了,也就缩量了。

5)信号阳线:当大起大落之后,市场归于平静,空方最后的动力耗尽,只需要一个小阳线,就能宣告多方的反攻。

牛回头五要素中最关键的是那个充分调整。

肯定很多人都想知道充分调整,到底是什么标准,这里投研小编就把这部分教给大家。

1)正常行情下20-30天均线企稳可能性大,比如震荡市。

2)特别好的行情下,可能就是15天线企稳,比如牛市。

3)比较差的行情下60天线的企稳可能性大,比如熊市。

4)调整幅度刚好是第一波涨幅的50%位置,企稳的可能性大。

5)大龙头大黑马,一般会在15日线得到支撑企稳,开启牛回头

有了这些,我想很多人短线低吸,就明白怎么操作了吧,这是纯干货。我把最重要的部分分享给大家,聪明的你一定会学会使用的。

回头行情不一定都是涨很多。

大家在使用这个方法的时候,一定要注意,做牛回头行情,不要抱着暴涨的心理,也不要贪婪,有时候牛回头行情也就是个反弹,幅度没有那么高。运气好,碰上更牛的,也不要当成必然,反正做股票就是要先保证小幅赚钱,然后再考虑大赚,其实真正赚钱的人都是积少成多,利滚利才是投资的最核心。

(转自:A股荟萃)

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