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  【文/观察者网熊超然】重返白宫不到两周后,美国总统特朗普就操弄起芬太尼问题,宣布对进口自中国的商品加征了10%的关税。自那时候开始,他一边挥舞着“关税大棒”持续威胁,一边又多次单方面宣称“很快会和中方通话”。

  当地时间4月16日,美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)援引了一名美国企业高管上周的讲述。“我们致电白宫询问‘通话进展如何’,”这名不愿透露姓名的高管称,白宫方面则表示,“中方没有打来过电话。”这名高管进而说:“从一开始就显而易见的是,本届政府严重高估了关税赋予他们对中国的制约力。”

  CNBC指出,在美方不顾全球反对而执意挑起关税贸易战后,中方所展现的态度也相当强硬,未有妥协之意。迄今为止,中美双方仍未打破这一对全球经济造成严重影响的僵局。报道认为,经济和文化差异的交汇导致中美之间爆发了这场博弈较量,而仔细观察会发现,过去几年间,无论是在日常生活百态还是高精尖科技领域,中国在全球格局中的角色都已发生了深刻变化。

  一名经常往返于中美两国的资产管理公司CEO指出,许多美国人,哪怕是投资者或政策制定者,他们对中国的认知仍然停留十年前,却毫不了解在当前形势下中国所具备的战略定力。他还告诉CNBC,中国人的本色是“投我以木桃,报之以琼瑶”,但若有人想要欺凌,中国人也绝不会接受。

在白宫椭圆形办公室等待接电话的特朗普CNN资料图

  随着美方滥施关税,对华关税税率不断升高,而中方也对此予以了强硬回击。中方于4月11日再度反制,宣布将对美关税提高至125%。同时,中方强调,美方对华轮番加征畸高关税已经沦为数字游戏,在经济上已无实际意义,只会更加暴露出美方将关税工具化、武器化,搞霸凌胁迫的伎俩,并沦为笑话。如果美方继续关税数字游戏,中方将不予理会。

  资产管理公司济容投资(EsotericaCapital)的CEO刘沁东,经常往返于中美,他表示:“我认为,美国人,无论是投资者还是政策制定者,他们对中国的认知仍然停留在与十年前大致相同的水平。”他认为,中方目前并不急于和美方进行对话,或者主动发起对话。

  撰写这篇报道的CNBC记者指出,自2018年以来,中国人均可支配收入增长了38%,并回忆自己那年夏天前往中国时,如果想要喝咖啡的话,星巴克几乎是最佳选择,街上也以燃油车为主。近七年之后,如今中国街头的手工咖啡店已成常态,甚至连智能手机厂商也能开始制造电动汽车。今年1月,DeepSeek在人工智能(AI)领域取得的突破,也增强了中国人的信心,无惧美国的打压限制。

  CNBC记者坦言,尽管华尔街主要投资公司已对中美贸易紧张局势的升级作出回应,但在她观察到的一些中国经济的领域,人们依然保持着迎难而上的韧性。

  报道提到,在特朗普用“关税大棒”搅乱全球局势之际,中国的全球经贸格局也已悄然改变。

  根据CNBC对官方数据的分析,2018年至2024年期间,中国对美国的出口增长了10%,但同期中国对欧盟的出口增长了26%,对东盟的出口则激增了84%。如今,东盟已成为中国最大贸易伙伴,欧盟次之,美国退居第三。“这一变化部分源于对美贸易的转口操作,但更反映出中国商品在海外市场的持续扩张。”

  英国《金融时报》当地时间4月15日就曾分析指出,在这场针锋相对的较量中,中国握有多张王牌——日益多样化的出口市场、巨额美国国债、对关键战略矿产的掌控,以及应对危机时国家体制上的优势,这些筹码不仅能让中方经受住考验,还能在谈判中突显出自己的实力。

  美国彭博社当地时间4月14日则发文称,贸易战的确没有赢家,但在这场由特朗普发起的贸易战中,一个事实正变得愈发清晰——中国掌握的筹码可能比美方预想的更为有力,尤其当人们开始关注其反制策略之时。实际上,在中美经贸关系中,美国对中国商品深度依赖,限制进口反而成了一种自我伤害。

  “你对我好,我就会加倍对你好。这就是中国人的本色,”刘沁东对CNBC所说的这段话,如果用中国诗句来表达,那或许是——投我以木桃,报之以琼瑶。

  “但如果你想欺凌我,我们绝不会接受。我们知道这可能会给我们的经济或日常生活带来挑战,但我们已经做好了准备。”他在谈到中国人的典型心态时进一步说道。

  此前,尽管欧盟也放话称,如果谈判失败,可能针对美国的服务出口和在线广告销售发起打击,但彭博社认为,中国仍然是这场较量中“独一无二的”。迄今为止,中方的反应不仅是在关税层面发起反制,而且在事关谈判的问题上有理有据、立场坚定,并未被美方牵着鼻子走。

美国超1000种使用镓、锗、锑的武器系统中,87%的供应链依赖中国供应商美国戈维尼公司制图

  《金融时报》援引凯投宏观(CapitalEconomics)首席中国经济学家朱利安·埃文斯-普里查德(JulianEvans-Pritchard)补充称:“仅从市场反应来看,我认为眼下是美国(痛感更强)……美国正面临更大的压力,试图坐到谈判桌前进行谈判。”

  4月16日,外交部发言人林剑主持例行记者会。日本广播协会(NHK)记者就美国征收关税问题提问,美国白宫新闻秘书引述美总统特朗普的话称“球在中国那边”、“中国需要与美国达成协议,而美国不需要与中国达成协议”。中方对此有何回应?

  “这场关税战是美方发起的,中方采取必要的反制措施,是为了维护自身的正当权益和国际公平正义,完全合理合法。”林剑表示。

  林剑强调,中方的立场一直很明确,关税战、贸易战没有赢家,中方不愿打,但也不怕打。如果美方真的想通过对话谈判解决问题,就应该停止极限施压那一套,停止威胁讹诈,在平等、尊重、互惠的基础上同中方对话。

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