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宠你一生(双)BY半人间:探讨顶级在全球化背景下的传播
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  本文源自:金融界

  金融界4月25日消息 A股盘中迎来重磅利好消息,高层重磅会议再提持续稳定和活跃资本市场。

  25日下午A股尚处在交易时段,中共中央政治局会议通稿出炉。此次高层重磅会议分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作,涉及当前的货币财政政策、资本市场、楼市、外贸、消费等诸多方面。会议强调,要加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策,用好用足更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策。加快地方政府专项债券、超长期特别国债等发行使用。兜牢基层“三保”底线。适时降准降息,保持流动性充裕,加力支持实体经济。创设新的结构性货币政策工具,设立新型政策性金融工具,支持科技创新、扩大消费、稳定外贸等。强化政策取向一致性。

  值得注意的是,此次会议再次提及资本市场,强调持续稳定和活跃资本市场。上一次资本市场登上高层会议是在本月18号,据当日新闻联播报道,国务院常务会议指出,要持续稳定股市,持续推动房地产市场平稳健康发展。

  资本市场”“股市”提法多次进入中央文件

  2024年下半年以来,“资本市场”“股市”的提法多次进入中央文件,去年9月中央政治局会议提出“努力提振资本市场”,去年12月召开的中央经济工作会议和2025年的政府工作报告中均提出“稳住股市”。

  此次高层重磅会议对于资本市场定调是“持续稳定和活跃资本市场”,与今年政府工作报告提出要“稳住楼市股市”相比,多了活跃二字。

  “资本市场在经济全局中的战略地位明显提升。”中国银河证券首席经济学家、研究院院长章俊认为,股市是经济的“晴雨表”,市场稳定对于改善市场预期、提振投资者信心以及促进消费和投资至关重要,尤其在经济结构转型的关键时期,资本市场有助于引导资金向科技创新、新质生产力领域聚集,推动产业结构升级。

  近期,中国人民银行、金融监管总局、国资委等多部门密集部署,到中央汇金公司积极发挥类“平准基金”作用,再到全国社保基金理事会、国有资本运营公司、央国企集团、保险机构、上市公司“真金白银”实施增持回购,一系列稳市“组合拳”快速出手、协调发力,向市场传递了“稳住股市”的强烈信号,也彰显出我国政策工具储备充足、资本市场稳市机制持续优化、经济基本面稳中向好的信心与底气。

  华尔街纷纷看多中国资产

  此外在贸易战不断升级的时刻,华尔街纷纷看多中国资产。

  摩根士丹利日前上调明晟中国指数评级,同时认为,中国公司在人工智能领域展现出较强的竞争力,在多项最新技术突破的支撑下,科技密集型企业有望实现利润率和收益率双增长。高盛发表的研报则看好中国在数据、“云服务”以及软件和应用等领域的发展前景。路博迈基金的研报认为,中国长期的创新能力将带来更多的科技创新成果,不断增加投资机会。

  高盛也在最新的报告中表示,给予AH股“跑赢大市”评级,考虑到A股气氛更受惠于政策刺激,策略配置上较H股看高一线。高盛中国首席股票策略分析师刘劲津指出,现在海外投资者担心美国进入衰退的风险,加上多年来在美股持重仓,有分散风险的需求,受中资股估值吸引,加上憧憬内地大手笔刺激经济的政策,此消彼长下,欲将资金重投中国。高盛预计,未来12个月内,MSCI中国指数有12%的上涨空间,沪深300指数有15%的上涨空间。小盘股可能表现更佳,特别是科创50、创业板指和中证1000等指数。

  还谈及货币财政政策、楼市等

  对于货币和财政政策,此次会议强调,要加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策,用好用足更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策。加快地方政府专项债券、超长期特别国债等发行使用。兜牢基层“三保”底线。适时降准降息,保持流动性充裕,加力支持实体经济。创设新的结构性货币政策工具,设立新型政策性金融工具,支持科技创新、扩大消费、稳定外贸等。强化政策取向一致性。

  对于楼市,会议指出,要持续用力防范化解重点领域风险。继续实施地方政府一揽子化债政策,加快解决地方政府拖欠企业账款问题。加力实施城市更新行动,有力有序推进城中村和危旧房改造。加快构建房地产发展新模式,加大高品质住房供给,优化存量商品房收购政策,持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势。

  针对关税问题,会议强调,要着力保民生。对受关税影响较大的企业,提高失业保险基金稳岗返还比例。健全分层分类的社会救助体系。加强农业生产,稳定粮食等重要农产品价格。巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果同乡村振兴有效衔接。持续抓好安全生产和防灾减灾等各项工作。

  会议还指出,要不断完善稳就业稳经济的政策工具箱,既定政策早出台早见效,根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政策,加强超常规逆周期调节,全力巩固经济发展和社会稳定的基本面。

  来源:日月谭天

  【#外交部回应美方坚称中美正在谈判#】4月25日下午,外交部举行例行记者会,有记者就美方坚称中美正在谈判一事进行提问。外交部发言人郭嘉昆:昨天,我和商务部的同事已经明确回答了这个问题。中美双方并没有就关税问题进行磋商或谈判,美方不要混淆视听。

  周五日股日经225指数周五收盘上涨,在白宫软化贸易立场后,投资者追捧科技股,而且日美财政部长会谈后日元走软。日经指数连续第三个交易日上涨,收高1.9%,报37,705,74点。该指数几乎完全收复了自美国总统特朗普4月2日宣布加征关税以来的跌幅。本周上涨了0.89%。东证股价指数涨1.37%至2,628.03点,周涨幅为1.3%。

  T&D资产管理公司的高级交易员YusukeSakai说:“随着特朗普对关税计划的语气有所缓和,投资者开始关注其他因素,如企业盈利和芯片行业的前景。”Sakai说,日美两国财政部长会谈后,投资者对日元进一步上涨的担忧有所缓解。

  个股方面,电机制造商尼得科(Nidec)大涨12.48%。它成为日经指数中百分比涨幅最大的股票,因为该公司公布的季度利润高于预期,并预测全年营业利润将创历史新高。芯片相关股票东京电子和爱德万测试(Advantest)分别上涨4.24%和4.64%,对日经指数的提振作用最大。卡车制造商日野汽车下跌5%,是日经指数中表现最差股票。

  韩国综合指数周五收盘上涨1.0%,至2546.30点,造船和半导体类股领涨。该指数本周累计上涨2.5%,连续第三周收涨。外国和机构投资者为净买入者,随著首尔和华盛顿寻求在7月初前达成一揽子贸易协议,市场对美国关税的担忧有所缓解。韩华海洋股价上涨11%。存储芯片制造商SK海力士股价上涨3.4%。与此同时,移动互联网公司Kakao股价下跌3.8%,因SK电讯剥离了在该公司的股份。

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