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专题:2024资本市场盘点

  来源:华尔街见闻

  周一,华尔街启动了一笔大规模的40亿美元的垃圾债券销售,用于资助QXO公司收购BeaconRoofingSupply的交易。分析称,此时的发行时机意义非凡,因为4月迄今对于风险市场来说极为艰难;这不仅是一笔债务交易,更是一次市场压力测试——测试投资者是否已准备好翻篇,重新支持高风险、大规模的交易。

  周一,由摩根士丹利和高盛牵头的银行财团启动了一笔40亿美元的垃圾债券销售,用于资助QXO公司收购BeaconRoofingSupply的交易。市场高度关注这笔交易,因为这笔垃圾债销售正值美国总统特朗普引发全球市场动荡之际,无疑成为了对市场的最新考验。

  这笔交易包括20亿美元的杠杆贷款,是自3月27日以来市场上首个超大型交易;另外20亿美元为为期七年的垃圾债券销售,是自特朗普近三周前宣布“对等关税”以来,规模最大的与并购相关的融资项目。

  据知情人士透露,贷款承诺将于几天后到期,因此投资者只有很短的时间来考虑此次发行。如果贷款机构无法找到债务买家,他们就有可能使用自有现金为交易融资,这种情况在最近的动荡中已经在其他交易中出现过。

  周一,特朗普对美联储主席鲍威尔的言语攻击再次引发市场轰动,避险情绪再度高涨,美国股债汇三杀。

  分析称,此时的发行时机意义非凡。整个4月对于风险市场来说极为艰难:仅有一笔高收益债券完成定价,多笔交易被撤回,几家银行被迫持有超过24亿美元的“悬空”债务(即未能成功分销的债务)。信贷利差扩大至近两年来的最高水平。

  在上述背景下,QXO此番融资堪称一场大胆的赌注。这不仅是一笔债务交易,更是一次市场压力测试——测试投资者是否已准备好翻篇,重新支持高风险、大规模的交易。

  QXO在上月宣布的这项价值110亿美元的Beacon收购案,是近年来建筑材料行业规模最大的一起交易之一。目前并购进入冲刺阶段,预计将在本月底前完成。如果这笔债务融资顺利完成,不仅将推动该并购交易落地,还可能重新开启一批此前搁置的交易,预示着最严重的信贷冻结期或许已经过去。

  风险提示及免责条款

  市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  本报记者 李乔宇

  近期,全球首场人形机器人半程马拉松比赛成功举行,“天工Ultra”机器人以2小时40分42秒的成绩冲线夺得冠军,其背后的北京人形机器人创新中心有限公司亦引发全球瞩目。

  当前,越来越多的企业布局具身智能赛道。据《证券日报》记者了解,三大通信运营商都对具身智能有所布局。

  三大运营商集体入场

  今年年初,中国移动成立中国移动具身智能产业创新中心(以下简称“具身智能产业创新中心”),对标位于上海的国家地方共建人形机器人创新中心以及北京人形机器人创新中心有限公司。

  据悉,具身智能产业创新中心将积极布局机器人领域,着力推进具身智能在泛家庭场景应用,聚焦核心技术攻坚,构建全栈式机器人能力图谱。公开信息显示,该创新中心将以推动中国移动成为全球最大的机器人运营商为目标,利用中国移动在网络、算力、模型、数据、信息服务方面的资源禀赋,聚焦机器人大脑技术攻关,加速推进具身智能的商业化进展。

  中国移动智慧家庭运营中心技术管理经理赵永生告诉《证券日报》记者,截至目前,中国移动已开通基站总数超686万个,覆盖超过10亿移动业务客户,为全球最大的移动通信运营商。未来,中国移动还将凭借自身的技术优势、网络覆盖以及遍布全国的渠道和运维团队,从全球最大的移动通信运营商迈向全球最大的机器人运营商。

  “预计今年6月份或7月份,我们自主研发的家用机器人四足狗会小批量进行运营试销售;同时,我们近期发布的迎宾导览机器人已经在广州试点运营。”赵永生对记者透露。

  中国电信相关负责人告诉《证券日报》记者,目前中国电信人工智能研究院(TeleAI)正在加速智传网(AI Flow)的布局和研究。智传网能够通过家族式同源模型协同将“端—边—云—网”高效串联,例如在制造业等实体经济领域,安排机器狗负责安全巡检,机械臂执行高精度的物料传输,异构机器人完成复杂装配等。

  中国联通旗下的物联网平台联通格物则打造了泛在连接与多网络制式智能适配、机器人多协议适配、多模态感知数据融合分析、端云训推协同的机器人设备智能升级,以及机器人智能体构建和共性能力开放共享等核心能力体系。

  市场规模有望持续提升

  今年,具身智能首次被写入《政府工作报告》。2025年《政府工作报告》提出,建立未来产业投入增长机制,培育生物制造、量子科技、具身智能、6G等未来产业。

  根据头豹研究报告,2023年,中国具身智能市场规模已经达到4186亿元。随着大模型技术突破,具身智能市场规模有望持续提升,2027年市场规模预计达到6328亿元。

  在赵永生看来,具身智能产业已经具备了进一步发展的基础。一方面,人形机器人可助力解决老龄化、劳动力短缺等问题,提高生产效率;另一方面,近年来人工智能大模型持续实现突破,多个语言视觉多模态大模型已经具备了较强能力。

  “在此背景下,亟须一个能够与人类物理世界有效交互的载体,承载大模型的能力,目前只有人形机器人具备这个潜质。”赵永生表示。

  《证券日报》记者多方采访了解到,部分具身智能企业仍对人形机器人如何实现商业化感到困惑。对此,一级市场投资人、青年投资家俱乐部副理事长宋晓飞告诉《证券日报》记者,人形机器人正步入应用深水区。随着硬件成本持续优化与人工智能深度赋能,行业从实验验证迈向实用探索。同时,头部企业的入局将加速技术迭代与场景适配。

  浙商证券机械国防首席分析师王华君对《证券日报》记者表示,人形机器人的商业化本质是技术成熟度、经济可行性与社会接受度的三重博弈。短期内,人形机器人将聚焦物流分拣、高危救援等场景的垂直技术适配验证与落地可行性测算;中长期则将依托AI算力跃迁与仿生材料革新重构产业链路。中国企业有望利用制造业纵深优势,在核心部件国产化与场景数据积累上构建差异化优势。

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