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禁断の病栋-的市场趋势分析
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禁断の病栋-的市场趋势分析

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广西壮族自治区

  来源:央视新闻客户端

  当地时间21日,纽约股市三大股指收盘显著下跌,三大指数均跌超2%,再迎“黑色星期一”。当天稍早前,美国总统特朗普再次敦促美联储作出降息决定,称“如果不立即降息,美国经济将面临放缓风险”。特朗普的言论引发市场担忧美联储的独立性。美国的关税政策正在反噬自身,使国内各行业遭受冲击。

  低开低走

  美股再现“黑色星期一”

  当天,美股开盘便出现下跌。截至收盘,纽约股市三大股指显著下跌。道琼斯工业平均指数收跌971.82点,跌幅2.48%,标准普尔500指数收跌2.36%,纳斯达克综合指数收跌2.55%。

  此外,衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数21日当天下跌1.10%,在汇市尾市收于98.278,跌破99关口。

  特朗普再施压:

  美联储不降息就要面临经济放缓

  当天,美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体平台“真实社交”上发文,再次敦促美国联邦储备委员会作出降息决定。

  特朗普在帖文中宣称“美国实际上已不存在通胀,能源、食品及其他大多数商品价格下行趋势如此显著,几乎不可能引发通胀。但如果‘太迟先生’(指美联储主席鲍威尔)不立即降息,美国经济将面临放缓风险。”

  特朗普近来频繁施压鲍威尔,要求美联储立即降息,并称鲍威尔的行动总是“又迟又错”,“越早走人越好”。

  鲍威尔当地时间4月16日在芝加哥经济俱乐部发表讲话时说,“美国政府已宣布的关税上调幅度远超预期水平,这给美国经济带来的影响,包括推高通胀和抑制增长同样可能超出预期,令美联储货币政策制定面临更棘手局面。”他表示,“美联储在决定是否调整利率前,将继续观察加征关税及其他经济政策的实际影响。”

  无一幸免

  美国各行各业遭受关税冲击

  美国政府近期的关税政策使不少美国企业面临成本上涨压力。美国消费者正在承受越来越高的代价。

  玩具变成“奢侈品”

  玩具业是美国遭受关税冲击最严重的行业之一。美国玩具店店主和玩具公司负责人说,关税政策给他们带来巨大负担。

  华盛顿特区一家玩具店的店主丽塔·阿伦斯说,她们的玩具大部分进口自中国,受关税政策影响,玩具供应商早在今年3月就开始提价了。玩具店主丽塔表示,新的关税政策将导致产品涨价,最终转移到消费者身上。这也使店铺经营成了大问题。

  美国媒体指出,对中国生产的玩具加征高额关税,意味着曾经物美价廉的玩具可能变成“奢侈品”。

  美国一家玩具企业负责人乔希·斯塔普表示,公司几乎所有玩具都是在中国工厂生产的。由于高昂关税,公司已暂停从海外进货。

  美国商务部数据显示,2024年,美国进口了价值超过170亿美元的玩具,其中超过130亿美元的玩具来自中国。美国玩具协会主席兼首席执行官阿赫恩警告说,年底购物季可能会出现货物短缺的情况。

  婚礼更“贵”了

  关税政策冲击下,婚庆行业也不能幸免。面对高额进口关税,美国婚庆行业从业者忧心忡忡,他们纷纷表示,加征关税正在让从业者和消费者承受越来越高的代价。

  美国哥伦比亚广播公司报道说,在美国举办婚礼,婚纱、蜡烛和邀请函等等大部分进口自中国,酒水来自欧洲,80%的鲜花也依靠进口。一名婚礼策划师表示,即便你在你父母的后院举办婚礼,也会受到影响。

  据美国《商业内幕》网站报道,美国婚纱的平均零售价格约为每件2000美元,如果零售商将加征关税造成的额外成本转嫁给消费者,最终价格可能会上涨超过一倍。

  美国阿克西奥斯新闻网报道说,有婚庆公司曾敦促美国政府对婚纱及礼服进行关税豁免。“如果不立即考虑这一措施,美国人将丢掉生意和工作。”文章称,不少新婚夫妇可能会调整婚礼计划,甚至推迟婚礼。

  特朗普政府正面临

  国内“多重暴击”

  不只是关税,特朗普政府的移民、裁员等政策也引发民众强烈不满,美国多地掀起抗议潮。第二个任期未满百日,美国总统特朗普已深陷风暴中心。

  近日,三名民主党籍前总统罕见密集发声,虽然没有点名,但美国媒体解读说,他们都是在针对特朗普政府的政策,打破美国前总统避免公开批评现任总统的惯例。

  有历史学家认为,前总统公开严厉批评现任总统本就罕见,而这三名前总统在如此短的时间内都这么做,或许史无前例。

  与此同时,特朗普移民、关税等一系列政策引发民众强烈不满,多地掀起抗议潮。特朗普政府还面临法律层面挑战,因撤销逾千名留学生签证而遭遇集体诉讼;加利福尼亚州政府指控联邦政府违法滥施关税。

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