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官仙 起点:探讨网络文化中的福利姬现象
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  业绩指引不佳,英特尔重挫超6%。

  *三大股指周线收涨;

  *中长期美债收益率走低,10年期美债失守4.30%;

  *密歇根大学消费者长期通胀预期升至4.4%。

  周五美股全线周涨,投资者消化一系列企业财报,并寻找缓解贸易争端紧张局势的迹象。截至收盘,道指涨20.10点,涨幅0.05%,报40113.50点,纳指涨1.26%,报17382.94点,标普500指数涨0.74%,报5525.21点。本周道指周涨2.5%,纳指周涨6.7%,标普500指数周涨4.6%。

  市场概述

  密歇根大学当天公布的数据显示,4月消费者信心指数终值降至52.2,低于3月的57,仍为1970年代末以来的第四低水平。调查显示,消费者预计未来5到10年年均通胀率将升至4.4%,为1991年以来最高。对未来一年的通胀预期为6.5%,略低于初值6.7%,但仍为1981年以来的最高水平。

  据报道,美国总统特朗普称,接近与日本达成贸易协议。“贸易协议进展顺利。”

  最近几周,围绕贸易谈判的复杂信息增加了市场波动性。据新华社报道称,外交部发言人郭嘉昆周五在例行记者会上再次对美方声称“中美正就关税问题进行谈判”的言论作出严正回应,称中美目前并未就关税议题进行任何形式的磋商或谈判,敦促美方不要混淆视听。

  资管PrimeCapitalFinancial投资组合经理阿里森(ClaytonAllison)表示:“市场更多的是在等待,看看事情的实际进展。每个人都在试图弄清楚什么是真的。”

  机构AXSInvestments首席执行官巴苏克(GregBassuk)表示:“本周市场表现相当强劲,我们看到了一个很好的结局。本周以强劲的抛售情绪开始,但随后出现了真正的强劲反弹。这是一个相当强劲的一周,主要是由于贸易战形势有所缓和。”

  第一季度财报季已经全面展开,标普500指数中有179家公司发布了财报。根据伦交所LSEG的数据,其中73%的企业超出了预期。分析师现在预计,标普500指数1月至3月期间的总收益同比增长9.7%,比4月1日的8.0%的预期更为乐观。

  中长期美债收益率回落,10年期美债跌5.1个基点至4.3%,而2年期美债跌3.2个基点至3.8%。

  个股方面,特斯拉涨超8%,报道称该公司印度办事处正在向2016年预订Model3的客户退还预订费。

  谷歌母公司Alphabet涨1.5%,最新财报缓解了投资者对以人工智能为重点的巨额投资回报的担忧。

  明星科技股表现不俗,英伟达涨4.3%,Meta涨2.7%,亚马逊涨1.3%,微软涨1.2%。

  英特尔跌6.7%,公司第一财季营收126.7亿美元,预估123.1亿美元,不过第二财季业绩指引低于预期。

  纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌0.4%,阿里巴巴涨0.8%,百度涨1.4%,京东涨0.2%。

  国际油价小幅反弹。WTI原油近月合约涨0.37%,报63.02美元/桶,布伦特原油近月合约涨0.48%,报66.87美元/桶。

  国际金价在3300美元展开激烈争夺,纽约商品交易所4月交割的COMEX黄金期货下跌1.49%,报3282.40美元/盎司。

  美国证券交易委员会主席(SEC)保罗·阿特金斯(PaulAtkins)周五表示,加密货币行业的创新“在过去几年中受到了抑制”,急需做出改变。

  阿特金斯在美国证券交易委员会最近成立的加密货币特别工作组举行的圆桌会议上表示:“市场本身似乎表明,当前的框架急需关注。”

  在华盛顿特区美国证券交易委员会总部举行的这场半天的会议对阿特金斯来说是一个值得关注的事件。就在几周前,美国证券交易委员会正式撤销了对瑞波公司(Ripple)的长期诉讼,这标志着监管机构与加密货币行业长达四年的斗争象征性地结束。加密货币领域的领导者、监管机构和法律专家齐聚一堂,主要讨论托管问题,即数字资产的保护。

  阿特金斯团队试图为加密货币监管的新时代定下基调,力求将监管方式从对抗性转变为合作性。

  阿特金斯在会议间隙表示,他愿意对加密货币相关规则进行广泛的重新评估。

  他说:“我认为,我们有很大的操作空间。有国会的参与总是好的,如果有法规来支持我们正在做的事情,那就更好了——但我认为我们有足够的回旋余地。”

  在拜登任期动荡的四年之后,加密货币行业对唐纳德·特朗普总统11月的选举胜利至关重要,为他的竞选活动注入了资金,并支持了被视为对该行业友好的国会候选人。

  此后,特朗普总统采取了多项措施来回报该行业,签署了一项行政命令以建立战略比特币储备,并赦免了全球加密货币交易所BitMEX的三名联合创始人以及SilkRoad创始人罗斯·乌尔布里希特。

  美国证券交易委员会也纷纷效仿。今年1月,它废除了员工会计公告第121号(StaffAccountingBulletin121),这是前主席加里·根斯勒制定的一项规则,该规则将加密货币持有视为银行资产负债表上的负债,实际上阻止了机构采用加密货币。皮尔斯当时在X平台上庆祝这一撤销行动,写道:“再见,121号员工会计公告!你可不怎么让人喜欢。”

  阿特金斯周五表示,美国证券交易委员会将继续对不遵守美国规则的外国公司采取行动,必要时包括将中国公司摘牌。

  今年2月,美国证券交易委员会发布指导意见称,根据美国联邦法律,它不认为大多数模因币是证券。

  这对总统及其家庭成员来说是个大利好,他们在市场上有多个利润丰厚的加密货币项目。特朗普总统的个人模因币——$TRUMP——在1月就职典礼前刚刚宣布,目前市值约为27亿美元。该项目的网站声称,80%的代币供应由特朗普集团及相关实体持有。

  当被问及总统的行为是否损害了白宫在加密货币政策上的可信度时,阿特金斯说:“对此我无可奉告。”

  周五的圆桌会议有来自安克雷奇数字银行(AnchorageDigitalBank)、富达数字资产(FidelityDigitalAssets)、Kraken、BitGo、Exodus、Fireblocks和铜技术公司(CopperTechnologies)等公司的高管参加。他们概述了提供符合联邦证券法的加密货币托管解决方案所面临的法律和运营障碍。

  加密货币托管是指数字资产的持有方式。一些投资者更喜欢用存储在硬件钱包(即“冷存储”)中的私钥来保管自己的资产,而不是使用加密货币经纪公司的“热钱包”和其他第三方选项。

  由于缺乏明确的监管指导方针,很难知道哪些选择是合法的,这也给在一个经常发生黑客攻击的市场中提供安全保障带来了挑战。

  皮尔斯在周五的活动中表示:“监管方法应该认识到,对于某些加密资产,合格托管人之间存在差异。但对于其他资产,自我托管可能是更安全的选择。”

  美国证券交易委员会正在考虑修订其有争议的托管规则,该规则最初由根斯勒提出,加密货币行业的许多人认为该规则对基于区块链的资产不可行。该提案曾停滞不前,而周五的圆桌会议表明,各方重新有兴趣寻求妥协方案。

  然而,在投资者保护的必要性与保障去中心化资产的实际现实之间,紧张关系仍然存在。

  皮尔斯说:“委员会必须努力解决这些问题。如果我们不这样做,我们就会阻止受监管实体为其客户提供服务。”

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