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  来源:极目新闻记者张皓

  4月21日,极目新闻记者从多个渠道证实,57岁的游牧于昨日突发心梗离世,其此前曾在双汇、雨润、春都等多个集团担任过总裁一职。

  受访者提供

  公开资料显示,游牧,1967年生人,曾在漯河市商管委工作,2001年进入双汇,从业务员起步,2007年成为公司总经理。2010年至2013年期间,双汇创造了史上“黄金增长期”,营收规模跨过300亿元、400亿元大关。2015年,游牧上任双汇发展总裁一职后,开始进行从高温肉制品向低温肉制品的转型,2018年卸任。

游牧(图源:大河报)

  21日下午,其在双汇工作的老同事刘金涛告诉极目新闻记者,上午,他突然收到一条游牧发来的微信消息,很诧异,因为有很多年没有联系了,点开一看是一条讣告,还以为是游牧有长辈去世了,仔细一看感到十分震惊,原来是游牧本人去世了,是他的两个孝女发来的讣告。他当即打电话向其他朋友核实,得知游牧是因突发心梗离世,昨天下午送到医院没有抢救过来。

  “祝游牧一路走好,能在天堂安息。这对我们所有人都是一个警醒。”刘金涛说,他在双汇集团工作了很多年,其中5年和游牧有交集,游牧时任总经理,他是副总经理,双方都是经常出差,工作都很累。他身体不好先离的职,后来游牧也从双汇离职,但他又在社会上做了许多工作,没有很好地休息。

受访者社交账号

  公开报道显示,游牧曾担任双汇发展总裁,因种种原因于2018年8月离职。之后,他曾以深圳市宝能投资集团高级副总裁的身份出现在大众视野。2020年8月2日,雨润控股集团董事长祝义才签署发布《关于游牧同志的任命决定》,正式任命游牧担任雨润肉类产业集团董事兼总裁一职。此前,该职位由祝义才之女、雨润肉类产业集团董事长祝媛兼任。两年后,游牧又辞去江苏雨润肉类产业集团有限公司总裁一职。2023年,游牧加盟春都食品,任洛阳春都食品集团总裁。

  “游牧早就不在我们公司了。”21日下午,春都食品集团有知情人士告诉极目新闻记者:“不过,游牧去世的消息属实,才50多岁,确实令人惋惜!”

  一段时间以来,特朗普总统一直在考虑解雇美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔。但如果真的这么做了,谁会接替他呢?

  据接近政府的人士透露,最热门的人选是前美联储理事凯文・沃什。在2008年金融危机的混乱时期,他曾担任前美联储主席本・伯南克与华尔街的联络人。

  最近,沃什明确表达了他的观点,即美联储在玩弄政治——这一观点经常得到特朗普的呼应。

  在特朗普就职前不久,沃什于1月在《华尔街曰报》上发表了一篇专栏文章,他预测美联储会试图将高通胀归咎于特朗普,并表示他认为,关税政策带来的任何通胀影响,其程度可能都小于放松监管和削减开支所带来的通缩影响。

  “在我担任美联储理事期间,我们会忽略一次性的价格变化。”他说。这种关于央行应如何应对关税的观点,最近也得到了财政部长斯科特・贝森特的认同。

  特朗普在2月和3月曾与沃什谈及接替鲍威尔的事宜,但沃什建议总统在鲍威尔2026年5月任期结束之前不要采取任何此类行动。

  目前仍不清楚希望鲍威尔降息的特朗普是否会采取行动。据接近政府的人士称,特朗普对鲍威尔的表现不满已有一段时间了,他认为这位央行行长在拜登总统任期内对高通胀的反应太慢。

  特朗普的长期顾问史蒂夫・摩尔表示,每次他去见总统时,特朗普都会向他抱怨,称自己的一个错误就是提名鲍威尔担任美联储主席。

  摩尔说,特朗普解雇鲍威尔的可能性略低于50%,但他坚持认为总统应该有权解雇鲍威尔。

  摩尔称,鲍威尔上周三发表的言论很愚蠢。当时,这位美联储主席表示,在考虑任何利率调整之前,央行将“等待更明确的情况”,并警告称特朗普的关税可能会导致“更高的通胀和更缓慢的增长”。

  “他居然还假装自己在政治上是独立的,这太离谱了。”摩尔说,“那完全是党派性的咆哮。”

  2017年,美国总统唐纳德・特朗普在白宫玫瑰园的一次新闻发布活动中,看着他提名的美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔走上讲台。(照片由德鲁・安格雷尔/盖蒂图片社拍摄)・德鲁・安格雷尔通过盖蒂图片社

  摩尔表示,除了沃什之外,其他可能的人选还包括国家经济委员会主任凯文・哈塞特、里根时代的经济学家亚瑟・拉弗,以及经济学家兼电视主播拉里・库德洛(他曾在特朗普第一任期内担任国家经济委员会主任)。

  上周五,当一名记者问哈塞特解雇鲍威尔是否是一个选项时,他说:“总统和他的团队将继续研究这个问题。”

  据报道,曾建议特朗普不要过早解雇鲍威尔的一位官员是财政部长贝森特。他上周表示,政府将在“今年秋天的某个时候”开始面试接替鲍威尔的候选人。他还表示,美联储的“货币政策是一个必须得到维护的珍宝”。

  在接近政府的人士中,另一个可能接替鲍威尔的人选是美联储理事克里斯・沃勒,他是在特朗普第一任期内被任命的。

  沃勒的观点可能更符合特朗普总统的心意。在最近的一次演讲中,沃勒表示,他认为央行可能需要降息以防止经济衰退,并预测如果关税保持高位,经济增长可能会“放缓至爬行状态”。

  他预计今年通胀可能会飙升至近5%,即使在这种情况下也有理由放松货币政策,原因是与关税相关的通胀飙升实际上可能是“暂时的”,这将使沃勒能够“忽略它”。

  这位美联储理事预计,对经济增长和就业的影响可能会更持久。

  2024年的美联储理事克里斯托弗・沃勒。路透社/布伦丹・麦克德米德/资料照片・路透社/路透社

  “我已经能听到人们的怒吼了,认为鉴于2021年和2022年发生的事情,这肯定是个错误。”上周,他在圣路易斯发表演讲时指出,他指的是在新冠疫情期间,政策制定者错误地预测通胀将是暂时的那段时期。

  “但仅仅因为这一招曾经不管用,并不意味着你就永远不能再这么想了。”

  解雇鲍威尔是否能经受住法律挑战,这是另一个未知的问题。

  法律规定,美联储理事会的每位成员任期为14年,“除非总统因正当理由提前将其免职”。该法规没有任何专门针对美联储主席的条款。

  问题是,到底什么才算是“正当理由”。法律中的措辞显然比特朗普政府内阁官员和其他成员的规定更具限制性,这些人通常被描述为“受总统意愿支配”任职。

  TD考恩公司的分析师贾勒特・塞伯格表示,他认为总统似乎越来越接近为解雇美联储理事会中的民主党人找到理由。

  他说,总统最近决定解雇美国国家信用社管理局的两名民主党人,“这告诉我,特朗普团队认为,即使国会让金融监管机构的理事会保持两党平衡,他们也拥有绝对权力,不让民主党人进入这些理事会”。

  特朗普上周在椭圆形办公室告诉记者,他有权解雇鲍威尔,而鲍威尔实际上是特朗普在2018年任命的。

  “如果我想让他走人,他很快就会离开,相信我。”

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