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4月25日,周五亚盘,现货黄金交投于3361.70附近,市场消化了关于关税缓和的情绪,美元疲软和逢低买盘推动提振金价,市场注意力仍集中在贸易关系的最新进展上;当前美联储陷入双重考验:既要警惕关税引发的通胀幽灵,又需防范经济失速风险。官员们选择“以静制动”,实为等待更明确信号。正如沃勒所言:“现在最大的挑战是,如何在数据混沌中分清‘暂时波动’与‘真实趋势’。”这场关税与政策的拉锯战,或许要到下半年才能见分晓。由于美联储未释放近期降息信号,市场对激进宽松的预期减弱,短期内美元可能获得支撑。展望后市,黄金市场很可能进入高位震荡阶段。

  本周黄金走势跌宕起伏,开盘在3332.9一线,目前为止高点3500美元,低点3260美元,周一暴涨100美元,周二早盘延续冲高至3500高点后回落,周二周三暴跌近240美元,周四波动放缓,日内整体保持在3367-3288内震荡,今日周线收官,周线将会争夺阴阳十字K线的收盘,短线较为激烈,从周四的整理来看,没有进一步的走低,也是给今天周线收官留空间和悬念。若周线收低,下周则有望进一步调整。留意本周周K线的收盘强弱转换。

  日线级别,此次行情下跌刺破10日均线反弹,昨日美盘行情回落低点3306刚好也靠近10日均线附近,由此可见,10日均线支撑的有效性成为今日行情的关键,短线可依托10日均线继续看震荡反弹,若今日上涨突破企稳5日均线,那么这波调整也就结束了,行情再次回归强势之中,若10日线失守则行情有加速回撤3228的风险。

  短线方面,4小时级别,行情在3260有止跌企稳迹象,目前K线在均线之上,但没有站稳在布林中轨之上不是极强状态,中轨之下仍然可以高空看调整,向下回落则关注3315以及3306昨晚低点附近反手多看反弹,短线3306-3356区间操作,重点关注欧盘强弱再布局美盘。具体操作点位以江沐洋临盘提示为准。

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