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  周一(4月21日),算力+应用携手反弹,创业板人工智能指数涨近3%斩获三连阳,成份股大面积飘红。AI算力方面,奥飞数据领涨5.67%,铜牛信息、新易盛、博创科技、网宿科技、润泽科技等多股涨超4%;AI应用方面,汉得信息大涨超14%,易点天下涨超5%。

  热门ETF方面,全市场首只的创业板人工智能ETF华宝(159363)全天单边上扬,场内价格收涨2.91%,成功站上10日均线,斩获日线三连阳!全天成交额达9260万元,环比放量超三成!

  时间拉长看,从3月中旬以来,由于受到交易拥挤、短期涨幅过大、面临4月业绩期等多重因素影响,以AI为代表的科技股持续调整。眼下,上述因素的制约作用正在减弱,创业板人工智能指数已由4月9日低点反弹逾10%。科技龙头股的一季报业绩无疑起到提振作用,经历一季报验证,高景气的科技细分赛道后市或重拾升势。

  例如,国内光模块龙头中际旭创4月20日披露的一季报显示,公司一季度实现营业收入66.74亿元,同比增长37.82%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润15.83亿元,同比增长56.83%。机构分析指出,该公司充分受益于AI算力基础设施建设,业绩符合预期。

  国盛证券认为,目前光模块等行业估值已充分包含关税相关风险,关税落地后风险有望释放。叠加接下来各光模块与其他算力产业链相关企业财报落地,绩优股有望率先获得资金青睐。光模块等行业需求高增情况下,有望出现龙头领衔修复估值、二三线企业紧随其后的情况。

  该机构进一步指出,目前AI应用已处于突破阶段,多模态、Agent等驱动下需求上扬、产业景气度高涨迅速进行,短期来看,持仓比例的暂时性下调有避险需要。但长期来看,只要AI叙事逻辑未发生根本性动摇,产业发展仍会按照规律持续进行,由此带来的光模块行业景气度终将回归,应重视回调机会。综上,继续看好国产算力产业链。

  把握AI修复机会,建议重点关注全市场首只创业板人工智能ETF华宝(159363)及场外联接(A类023407、C类023408)。资料显示,创业板人工智能ETF华宝(159363)被动跟踪创业板人工智能指数,一键布局算力硬件+算力软件+AI应用三件套,高效地捕捉AI主题行情,“光模块”龙头含量高,充分享受全球AI产业链红利。

  数据来源:沪深交易所等。注:“全市场首只”是指首只跟踪创业板人工智能指数的ETF。

  风险提示:创业板人工智能ETF华宝被动跟踪创业板人工智能指数,该指数基日为2018.12.28,发布日期为2024.7.11。创业板人工智能指数2020-2024年年度涨跌幅分别为:20.1%、17.57%、-34.52%、47.83%、38.44%,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的本基金风险等级为R4-中高风险,适宜积极型(C4)及以上的投资者,适当性匹配意见请以销售机构为准。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资须谨慎。

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