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  汇通财经APP讯——美国总统特朗普周一在TruthSocial发文,再次猛烈抨击美联储主席鲍威尔,称其为“彻底失败者”,并要求其立即降息,否则将面临经济放缓风险。此举加剧市场对美联储独立性的担忧,投资者担心货币政策将受政治干预。

  白宫经济顾问凯文·哈塞特上周五表示,总统及其团队正在研究是否有可能解雇鲍威尔。

  这番言论恰逢鲍威尔此前强调在评估政策方向时需要保持耐心,并指出在通胀前景未明朗前,不宜贸然降息。这一“观望”立场与特朗普的激进降息呼声形成鲜明对比。

  市场担忧政策失衡,美元兑主要货币持续走软

  美元在周二亚洲时段持续承压,兑瑞士法郎报0.8095,接近前一交易日创下的十年低点0.8042;兑欧元报1.1502,略低于周一所触及的2021年11月以来高点1.1573。兑日元则报140.99,距离周一所创七个月低点140.48不远。

  美元指数(DXY)最新报98.454,低于周一录得的97.923,为2022年3月以来最低水平,反映出美元整体在全球市场中失去支撑。

  澳大利亚联邦银行国际经济部主管JosephCapurso指出:“只要外界继续怀疑美联储的政策独立性,美元下行压力就不会消退。”

  贸易担忧情绪叠加,全球市场避险升温

  除政策不确定性外,贸易担忧情绪也再度升温。市场对美国与其他国家之间的紧张局势可能长期拖累全球经济表现深感不安。

  NorthStar投资管理公司首席投资官EricKuby指出:“如果特朗普试图撤换鲍威尔,将引发美元市场真正的恐慌。”

  非美货币普遍走强,澳元、英镑领涨

  风险敏感型货币方面,澳元周一一度升至四个月高点0.6436,当前维持在0.6414附近。英镑稳定在1.3376,略低于周一创下的2024年9月以来高点1.3421。

  市场普遍预计,除非美国政府调整其对美联储及国际贸易立场,否则美元将维持在弱势格局,波动性可能进一步加剧。

  编辑观点:

  当前美元面临的是罕见的“双重困境”——政治施压扰乱货币政策预期,以及国际贸易格局不稳加剧全球经济前景不确定性。

  若美联储失去政策独立性,将可能引发更大范围的资本外逃与避险需求提升,推动黄金、瑞郎等传统避险资产进一步走高。短期来看,美元指数跌破97.9将成为市场情绪的重要风向标,若失守,将可能引发新一轮结构调整。

  当下,房地产行业正处于深度调整与变革期,传统的重资产开发模式面临诸多挑战,而以“轻资产、高质量”为核心的代建业务逐渐崭露头角。

  近日,中国房地产业协会副会长王惠敏一行到远洋集团调研代建业务。王惠敏对远洋在轻资产项目服务中展现的纾困项目风险化解能力、养老服务能力、全业态服务能力等表示赞赏和认可,肯定了远洋以健康建筑体系赋能“好房子”建设,并希望远洋发挥主力军作用,积极参与行业标准编制、共享智慧经验,为代建行业高质量发展建言献策、贡献更大力量。

  从行业背景来看,随着房地产市场进入存量时代以及“房住不炒”政策的持续深入,代建模式作为一种轻资产模式,能够有效盘活存量资产、提高资源利用效率,成为推动房地产行业向新发展模式转型的重要力量。

  近年来,远洋集团在代建业务领域斩获颇丰。2025年一季度,远洋集团旗下轻资产代建平台——远洋建管成功中标多个项目,如青岛李沧区低密住宅项目、上海临港顶科商业项目、临港天宸商业项目等,还在北京、深圳、昆明等地积极拓展业务,济南观山樾等代建项目也有不俗销售表现。

  据中指研究院数据显示,1-3月远洋建管新签约代建面积约95万㎡,代建销售金额约1.8亿元。自去年以来,远洋建管相继登上各大权威机构代建综合能力榜、签约规模榜、交付规模榜、销售规模榜,轻资产服务实力得到各类委托方高度认可,行业影响力持续提升。

  分析指出,远洋集团的轻资产代建业务与国家当前的政策导向高度契合。在“保交楼稳民生”的政策背景下,远洋积极参与纾困项目,以专业的项目管理能力和风险化解能力,推动一些问题项目的顺利交付,为稳定房地产市场、保障购房者权益做出了积极贡献。同时,随着城市更新行动的推进,远洋在旧城改造和城市更新等领域的代建项目,通过拆除重建、存量盘活、社区焕新等多种方式,提升了城市的品质和活力,也符合国家对于城市高质量发展的要求。

  此外,远洋将自身的健康建筑体系融入代建项目,致力于为客户打造更健康、更舒适、更环保的居住和商业空间,在满足人们对美好生活向往的同时,也推动了绿色建筑和健康建筑的发展,也与国家的可持续发展战略相契合。

  远洋集团在轻资产代建领域的实践与发展,不仅为企业自身创造了新的增长机遇,也为房地产行业的转型和高质量发展提供了有益的借鉴和参考。

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  福耀玻璃(03606)早盘上涨4.78%,现报51.50港元,成交额8232.92万港元。

  近日,福耀玻璃发布2025年第一季度报告,营业收入99.1亿元(人民币,下同),同比增加12.16%;归母净利润20.3亿元,同比增加46.25%。主要受益收入增长较快以及汇兑收益增加。东吴证券认为,公司为全球汽车玻璃行业龙头,份额提升+单车ASP增长推动公司持续发展向上。

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