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  4月23日电据法新社报道,当地时间22日,世界卫生组织总干事谭徳塞表示,由于美国拒绝支付相关会费及其他援助的削减导致数亿美元的预算缺口,该组织将不得不裁员和重组。

  据报道,当天,谭徳塞在向世卫组织会员国作预算简报时称,“美国拒绝支付2024和2025年评定会费,加上其他一些国家削减了官方发展援助,意味着我们在2026至2027双年度将面临5.6亿至6.5亿美元的薪资缺口。”

  “援助的突然下降导致我们出现了巨大的预算缺口,我们别无选择,只能缩减工作范围和人员规模。”谭徳塞说道。

  报道称,谭徳塞并未透露裁员的具体人数,该组织在全球拥有8000多名员工。

  中新社北京4月23日电 中国国家发改委23日发文称,美“对等关税”标榜以缩小贸易逆差、增加财政收入、实现“制造业回流”为目标,但相关政策逻辑漏洞百出、背离经济规律,实质上是零和思维下的贸易霸凌行径,结果更是损人害己。

  国家发改委这篇文章表示,美“对等关税”作为典型的保护主义手段,势必将推高贸易成本,阻碍自由贸易,降低世界经济运行效率。美国生产成本高企,贸然扩大制造业规模并不符合比较优势理论,客观上也难以实现。根据有关数据,当前美国制造业劳动力成本约为35美元/小时,远高于世界平均水平。违背经济规律逆势推动“制造业回流”必然注定失败。

  文章指出,美“对等关税”将限制全球贸易,导致市场分割,阻碍扩大生产和规模效应的发挥。根据世界贸易组织预测,若美国恢复实施“对等关税”,叠加贸易保护政策扩散的影响,2025年全球商品贸易量将下降1.5%;国际货币基金组织最新预测,2025、2026年全球GDP增速分别为2.8%、3.0%,受美国系列关税政策等因素影响,较此前预测分别下降0.5、0.3个百分点。

  此外,“对等关税”还将破坏现有产业分工体系,阻滞产业链供应链顺畅运转,推高企业生产成本。文章援引美国相关机构测算称,苹果公司即使仅将10%供应链转回美国也需消耗3年时间,且在美国生产的苹果手机价格将是原来的3倍以上。美政府本想通过高额关税迫使制造业回流美国,结果却损害自身产业发展,是典型的搬起石头砸自己的脚。

  文章还指出,美“对等关税”人为提高进口商品价格,扭曲资源配置,破坏市场结构,降低经济潜在增速,导致社会福利无谓损失。高盛最新报告预测,2025年美通胀将大幅攀升至3.5%,经济将零增长甚至衰退,美国陷入滞胀的风险明显加大。美国前财政部长耶伦表示,美国关税政策导致美普通家庭年均支出增加近4000美元,美国消费者成为这场“关税战”的最大输家。(完)

  加快推动人工智能发展,是国资央企发挥功能使命,抢抓战略机遇,培育新质生产力,推进高质量发展的必然要求。

  在第30个世界读书日到来之际,国务院国资委新闻中心在新华书店(总店)举行了以“AI赋能新型工业化:探索工业发展的未来路径”为主题的小新书院世界读书日特别活动。在当前加快推进新型工业化、人工智能发展方兴未艾的背景下,出席嘉宾围绕人工智能的革命性影响、国资央企功能定位、人工智能赋能产业转型升级等话题展开热烈交流,分享真知灼见,共话人工智能时代国资央企的新使命新担当。

  

  接下来

  小新就为大家带来世界读书日特别活动

  干货满满的分享

  

  小新书院世界读书日特别活动由财经评论员刘戈主持

PART.01

AI的革命性影响与发展趋势

  人工智能是推进新型工业化的重要途径。当前,人工智能已经从大语言模型发展到多模态大模型,并进一步向具身智能的方向演进,其革命性影响引起了社会的广泛关注。

  

  全国政协委员、中国财政科学研究院高级研究员刘尚希在主题分享时表示,当下,人工智能的发展已经超越了工业化的逻辑。在工业化时代,所有权是排他性所有权,可以称之为绝对所有权。“数据在使用中具有非竞争性、非排斥性,而且,数据的使用是越用越多的,作为关键生产要素的数据,具有很强的渗透性,会渗透到传统的生产要素中,也会渗透到各行各业。”刘尚希说。他认为,应该充分认识数字化、数字革命给人类生存发展带来的深刻影响,这种影响不仅仅是几个行业,而是全方位的影响。

  面对人工智能的革命性影响,中国应如何应对?

  

  全国政协委员、中国社科院经济研究所研究员黄群慧认为应把握两个重点。一是人工智能的基础设施建设。从新质生产力的发展来看,算力是大国博弈的关键。“‘十五五’期间,我们要考虑如何把算力基础设施建设与区域算力布局结合起来。”在黄群慧看来,我国发展人工智能的第二个重点是“智能母工厂”。企业在国内保留智能母工厂,将先进制造、工艺、工序、人才培养、核心研发等重要的能力都放在智能母工厂,然后企业可以通过复制智能母工厂的形式走向世界各地。

  2024年1月,国家数据局等部委联合印发《“数据要素×”三年行动计划(2024—2026年)》,旨在充分发挥数据要素乘数效应,赋能经济社会发展。

  

  北京邮电大学人工智能学院兼职教授张闯也同样表达了数据的重要意义。他表示,过去20年我们只是刚刚拉开了信息社会的帷幕。信息社会的本质是产生了大量的数据,甚至把我们的世界重新用数据进行了刻画,但真正的未来是基于数据的人工智能。“数据要素的开发利用,为人工智能的发展提供了坚实的土壤。”张闯说。

  在主题分享中,中国移动集团级首席专家孙滔聚焦网络和人工智能的重要联系。

  

  孙滔表示,在未来的6G时代,智能体将成为关键应用,智能终端、无人机、智能车、协作机器人等都将成为具有自主能力的实体。“未来这种智能体的数量会非常多,甚至能超过人的数量。”孙滔说,未来的智能体世界将催生信息通信服务产生三大变化:一是服务对象的重新定义,不再是碳基的人,而是硅基的人工智能;二是新的交互范式,智能体之间的通信是主动发起的,不需要人来做通信的连接;三是智能体之间的沟通需要数据、算力来完成,这就需要信息和网络的基础设施继续演进。

PART.02

国资央企在AI时代的使命担当

  近年来,国务院国资委坚决贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署,全力推动中央企业融入国家算力布局,与龙头民企、科研机构深化合作,一批高价值行业应用场景落地,智能算力供给能力显著提升,数据集建设稳步推进,大模型构建加速追赶,在人工智能关键领域取得系列积极进展。

  2025年2月19日,国务院国资委召开中央企业“AI+”专项行动深化部署会,总结国资央企发展人工智能进展成效,研究部署下一步重点工作。

  活动现场,围绕央企发展人工智能的新任务和新使命,与会嘉宾提出了思考和建议。

  在圆桌讨论环节,中国科协创新战略研究院创新环境研究所副研究员刘向东表示,经济学上有一个名词叫“产业工地”,就是提供一个公共的基础设施平台。“我们看到一些央企正在推动这方面的工作,比如进行大模型开源,这实际上是在为整个社会的人工智能发展搭建基础。”刘向东说。

  

  孙滔表示,在智能化时代,国家之间的竞争会产生智能基础设施的竞争,算力基础设施和通用大模型将成为新的国之重器,央企应当仁不让承担这些责任,并积极发挥作用。

  2024年底,国家数据局等部门出台了《关于促进企业数据资源开发利用的意见》,提出支持企业面向人工智能发展,开发高质量数据集。

  张闯表示,在推动人工智能+行动中,数据是重要方向。因此,央企在建设人工智能基础设施的同时,还应该考虑如何将自己的生产模式进行数据赋能,这样才能真正和基础大模型进行结合,形成自己专用场景的人工智能赋能。

PART.03

AI赋能工业的未来落地场景

  央企是国家工业化的重要力量,在人工智能时代,央企承担着推动人工智能赋能工业转型升级的重要使命,那么,如何实现人工智能应用的真正落地?

  

  刘尚希指出,在经验研究领域,人工智能大模型大大提高了效率。过去新材料研发需在物理世界不断试错,费时费力,如今大模型可快速筛选几十万种原材料进行匹配,几分钟就能完成过去几年甚至几十年的工作。汽车设计也如此,传统方式需在物理空间实验后才能投产,现在借助虚拟制造,从设计到制造时间大幅缩短,成本显著降低。

  张闯认为,关键是找到核心的应用场景。“有一个提法叫原生人工智能,意思是人工智能的推理能力是随时可以被调用的,比如生产流程的优化、生产节拍的顺序问题,需要大量的人工智能优化技术,辅助解决人类解决不了的问题。”比如,C919作为拥有完全自主知识产权的干线客机,其制造涉及全球数百家供应商,从航电系统到发动机,从机身材料到零部件加工,每个环节都需要精密配合。人工智能在大飞机的生产过程和供应链管理方面可以发挥重要的作用。

  刘向东表示,第四次工业革命,人工智能可以把单个个体的劳动技能、熟练程度整体融合到生产过程中,为我们柔性制造、敏捷制造提供机会。他同时强调,现在人工智能最大的作用还是传统制造业的改造和提升。“把传统制造业生产制造能力、制造质量、整体控制能力提升到一个新的高度,是目前人工智能真正能够很快实现的。”

  《国家工业密码》图书首发

  工业化带来了生产力的巨大提升和经济的快速发展,是一个国家强盛的关键因素。新中国成立以来,国资央企在国家工业化进程中发挥了重要的引领和支撑作用,为经济社会发展作出了积极贡献。

  2024年,国务院国资委新闻中心联合新华网、云听APP、喜马拉雅APP、机械工业出版社共同推出了《国家工业密码》——有声故事网络互动传播活动,以国有企业工业文化遗产为起点,通过声音的纽带讲述了国有企业在新中国工业体系建设过程中的独特贡献和生动故事,获评中央网信办“2024中国正能量十佳网络精品”。同名图书《国家工业密码》由国务院国资委宣传工作局、国务院国资委新闻中心联合编著,中国经济出版社出版发行。

  

  

  活动现场,国务院国资委新闻中心主任杨景百,新华书店总店党委副书记、总经理朱涛,中国移动咪咕公司党委委员、副总经理王刚共同发布了《国家工业密码》图书。杨景百代表出版方向新华书店总店、中国移动咪咕公司赠送了新书。

  

  新华社、光明日报、中国日报、工人日报、中国证券报、、中国网、环球网、科技日报、央广云听、北京日报、《国资报告》杂志等媒体对活动进行了报道。新华书店总店、中国移动咪咕公司、《国资报告》杂志为活动的特别支持单位。(《国资报告》记者原诗萌)

  保定4月23日电(徐巧明班静怡)23日,“微短剧+”创造消费新动能主题活动在河北省保定市举办,国内相关协会及高校、网络平台机构代表等齐聚一堂,围绕微短剧赋能经济发展、激发创新活力进行深入探讨。

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