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  来源:燕梳师院

  自去年丁向群上任董事长后,中国人保在高管团队建设上持续发力,近日再次迎来“银行系”高管田耕的加入。回顾去年的成绩单,两大核心板块却呈现截然不同的发展轨迹,寿险业务稳中承压,财险转型阵痛犹存。

  01

  再迎“银行系”高管

  近日,据内部人士获悉,工商银行浙江省分行行长田耕已出任中国人保集团党委委员,按照一般选聘路径,他将出任公司副总裁一职。

  田耕也拥有深厚的银行业背景。2011年,田耕开始担任工商银行漯河分行行长,开启了他的职业历程。2013年3月,他被调至河南省分行,担任行长助理。同年晚些时候,田耕又被派往江苏省分行,出任行长助理兼营业部总经理等职务,并于一年后晋升为副行长。经过四年的深耕细作,田耕于2021年6月被任命为河北省分行行长。

  在河北省任职期间,田耕为促进当地经济发展做出了重要贡献。自2023年5月“机器人AI贷”推出以来,工行河北省分行为园区内有融资需求的小微企业累计授信达8000万元,实际融资额达到6000万元。通过与省发改委合作设立专门针对“双碳”目标的贷款项目,以及在雄安新区设立低碳转型基金,截至2023年末,该分行绿色贷款余额已突破1200亿元,增幅超过40%。由于加大了对健康产业、养老产业的支持力度,截至2023年末,康养产业贷款余额达到了130亿元。

  在河北工作数年后,田耕于2024年8月转任浙江省分行行长。仅过了大约十个月的时间,田耕便迈出了职业生涯中的重要一步,转向保险行业,加入中国人保集团,完成了从“银行人”向“保险人”的跨行转变。

  当然,正式任职资格还需监管部的一纸获批文书。

  02

  寿财分化

  2024年,对于中国人保而言,在高管更迭频繁与合规争议频发的背景下,依然交出了一份“稳中有进”的答卷。

  根据2024年年报摘要,截至2024年末,集团实现营业总收入6220亿元,同比增长12.5%;实现保险服务收入5377.09亿元,同比增长6.7%;净利润578.2亿元,同比增长83.8%;归母净利润428.69亿元,同比增长88.2%。

 图源:2024年年报摘要

  从财险和寿险两大核心板块而言,弊端稍显。2024年,子公司人保财险实现保险服务收入4852.23亿元,同比增长6.1%;原保险保费收入5380.55亿元,同比增长4.3%;净利润创历史新高,实现252.29亿元,大幅增长31.55%。

  隐忧的一方面,市场份额有所缩水。人保财险的市场份额从2021年的32.8%滑落至2024年的31.8%,显示出竞争加剧和行业“报行合一”政策导致传统业务承压。截至2024年末,车险实现保险服务收入2947.01亿元,同比增长4.5%。尽管实现了增长,但增速放缓,较上一年同期下降0.8%。

  另一方面,综合成本率抬头,承保利润连续下滑。2024年,人保财险综合成本率达98.5%,同比上升0.9个百分点。2024年,是自然灾害频发的一年,严重灾害导致赔付成本大幅增加,使得负债成本上升,综合赔付率达到了72.7%,同比增长了2.3个百分点。

  毫无疑问,随着新能源汽车市场的迅猛发展,势必会成为财险领域的兵家必争之地。最新数据显示,2024年,新能源车险保费收入同比增长58.7%。但行业普遍面临“保一辆亏一辆”的困境,综合成本率虽下降但仍未实现全面盈利。

  作为财险“一哥”,人保财险会如何应对?中国人保党委委员、副总裁,兼任人保财险党委书记、总裁于泽透露,人保财险推出的“人保分”有效提升了新能源车的定价准确性。为共同促进新能源车险的发展,计划在2025年将此工具打包为标准定价产品,免费提供给国内中小保险公司使用,助力保险行业绿色转型。

  2024年,面对预定利率下调和“报行合一”政策的双重压力,人身险市场逆水行舟,总保险同比增长6.1%。而人保寿险和人保健康,作为中国人保的核心主力,依然可圈可点。其中,人保寿险实现原保险保费收入1060.04亿元,同比增长5.3%;保险服务收入496.01亿元,同比增长13.2%。

  新业务价值方面,继续保持增长态势。截至2024年末,人保寿险实现新业务价值50亿元,可比口径下同比增长114.2%;人保健康实现新业务价值65.13亿元,可比口径下同比增长143.6%。

  从各渠道来看,人保寿险在个人保险渠道实现512.47亿元的保费收入,同比增长6.8%;银保渠道方面,实现511.56亿元,同比增长4.3%;团体保险渠道贡献了36.01亿元的保费收入,同比微增0.6%。值得注意的是,其保费增长主要依赖于续期保费的增长,而趸交型产品以及长期首年保费则遭遇了滑坡。

  横向对比,在2024年,三渠道期缴续期保费分别同比增长了10.8%、35.6%、6.9%。相反,同期个险渠道、银保渠道、团险渠道的长险首年保费同比分别下降了0.3%、13.3%、64.3%,趸交型产品保费分别同比下降了6.9%、24.8%、70.7%。

 图源:2024年年度报告

  此外,人保寿险和人保健康在2024年的人身险市场占比仅3.8%,同比增速下降1个百分点

  03

  各板块齐头并进

  关于2025年,董事长丁向群为各家子公司明确指明了方向。人保财险作为公司的核心业务板块,需不断巩固和扩大其市场优势,致力于构建一个与经济结构优化相匹配的财产保险保障体系。目标是打造一家保障能力强大、资金雄厚、结构合理,并具备国际竞争力的全球领先财险公司。这意味着,人保财险在全球同类企业中的地位将持续提升。

  转向人身险领域,总体目标是增强其核心竞争力,尤其是在养老和健康险方面,要力争上游,塑造品牌影响力,并为社会作出更大贡献。

  针对人保寿险,重点将放在加强家庭保障功能及财富传承服务,构建一个积极应对人口老龄化的寿险保障体系。通过不断努力,成为一家价值成长显著、团队精干高效、服务质量领先且资产积累能力强的一流寿险公司,最终进入国内寿险行业的第一梯队。

  对于人保健康而言,关键在于强化健康险在民生保障中的支撑作用,构建服务于国家健康优先发展战略的保障体系。目标是成为功能全面发挥、健康管理优势明显、规模与质量均位于前列的一流健康险公司。

  在新的战略和人事调整下,中国人保能否更上一层楼?我们将持续关注。

  为深入贯彻党中央、国务院关于社会信用体系建设决策部署,落实《中共中央办公厅国务院办公厅关于健全社会信用体系的意见》,推动社会信用体系建设高质量发展,4月22日,国家发展改革委、中国人民银行组织召开社会信用体系建设部际联席会议暨工作部署会。国家发展改革委副主任李春临、中国人民银行副行长邹澜共同主持会议并讲话,国家发展改革委副秘书长肖渭明出席会议。

  会议审议通过自然资源部加入社会信用体系建设部际联席会议的申请,审议了《关于进一步完善信用修复制度的意见》和《关于加强拖欠企业账款信用监管的通知》。市场监管总局、税务总局、江苏省和广东省作了经验交流,各成员单位对下一步更好推动社会信用体系建设提出意见建议。

  会议指出,过去一年,在以习近平同志为核心的党中央坚强领导下,各成员单位和各有关方面共同努力,推动我国社会信用体系建设取得重要进展。社会信用体系基础制度不断完善,信用信息共享水平大幅提高,地方融资信用服务平台完成优化整合,信用修复协同联动机制进一步完善,信用监管助推政府管理和服务效能显著提升,征信服务实体经济和防范金融风险作用持续增强,诚信文化氛围日益浓厚。

  会议强调,要以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导,认真贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署,采取务实举措推动社会信用体系建设再上台阶,重点做好八方面工作。一是深化政务诚信建设,二是强化公共信用信息的刚性归集,三是构建全方位的信用激励政策环境,四是依法依规落实失信惩戒措施,五是完善统一的信用修复制度,六是健全以信用为基础的监管和治理机制,七是深化信用信息在金融服务中的开发利用,八是提升地方信用建设水平。

  国家发展改革委财金司、国家公共信用和地理空间信息中心、国家发展改革委营商环境发展促进中心相关负责同志,社会信用体系建设部际联席会议成员单位相关负责同志参加了会议,省级社会信用体系建设牵头部门、市场监管部门、税务部门和中国人民银行分行通过视频参会。

4月24日,GTC泽汇资本表示,近期原油价格的波动受到了多种因素的综合影响,包括供应过剩的担忧、地缘政治紧张局势以及全球需求的不确定性。尽管美国对伊朗石油的制裁等积极因素对油价提供了一定支撑,但哈萨克斯坦的高产量和OPEC+内部的紧张关系仍然对市场情绪产生了负面影响。

  GTC泽汇资本进一步认为,美国股市在贸易谈判乐观情绪的推动下大幅上涨,但原油市场却未能从中受益。相反,由于市场对全球需求的担忧以及关税政策的不确定性,油价继续下跌。此外,哈萨克斯坦拒绝遵守OPEC+的生产配额,优先考虑国家利益,这进一步加剧了市场的供应过剩担忧。

  此外,GTC泽汇资本还提到,尽管有报道称OPEC+可能会在6月加速增产,但市场对这一消息的反应相对冷淡。与此同时,美国原油库存意外增加,也对油价产生了下行压力。然而,市场对美国可能降低关税的预期,以及对伊朗石油制裁的持续,为油价提供了一定的支撑。

  GTC泽汇资本总结认为,尽管存在一些积极因素,但原油市场仍然面临着诸多不确定性。投资者在当前市场环境下需要密切关注全球需求的变化、OPEC+的生产政策以及地缘政治局势的发展,以便更好地应对市场的波动。

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