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2022GARY帅气小鲜-探究还背后的深层原因
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2022GARY帅气小鲜-探究还背后的深层原因

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热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  每经评论员杜宇

  4月17日,东杰智能(SZ300486,前收盘价:6.03元,市值:24.58亿元)公告称,因财务信息披露不准确收到深交所监管函。监管函指出,公司对部分客户应收款项减值损失计提不充分,导致相关年度报告财务信息披露不准确,时任管理层未能履行诚信勤勉义务,这暴露出公司在财务管理和信息披露方面的短板。

  尽管公司对2022年和2023年的财报进行了会计差错更正调整,但长期经营困境难以掩盖。特别是子公司东杰海登的持续商誉减值,对利润表现造成重大影响,截至2024年末,商誉仍余1.61亿元,未来仍可能影响利润。财报还显示,2024年,公司营业收入同比下降7.41%,净亏损2.57亿元,亏损额相较去年同期的2.43亿元进一步扩大。

  面对困境,东杰智能积极整改,通过子公司在美国和德国设立境外孙公司,拓展海外市场,提升国际竞争力。同时,公司完成董事会换届选举,加强了实控人对公司的管控力度。2025年一季度,公司成功实现扭亏为盈。

  市场对东杰智能的未来仍持观望态度。尽管公司在海外市场布局和管理层调整方面取得进展,然而在行业竞争加剧和市场需求波动的背景下,东杰智能能否持续保持盈利态势仍需时间检验。

  笔者认为,公司应以此为契机,全面审视财务管理和信息披露机制,加强内部监督,完善公司治理结构,确保信息披露的及时性、准确性和完整性。同时,公司应继续推进海外市场布局和业务拓展,提升核心竞争力,以实际行动重建市场信任,实现可持续发展。

4月18日,周四,欧洲央行如期下调利率25个基点,将存款机制利率从2.5%下调至2.25%。为自去年6月以来第七次下调利率。反映了全球贸易不确定下对经济增长前景的担忧。在随后召开的货币政策新闻发布会中,欧央行行长拉加德表示,经济前景笼罩在极大的不确定性中,经济下行风险有所增加。“第一季度经济可能有所增长,迫切需要让欧元区更具竞争力和韧性。”她还表示,地缘政治紧张局势仍是不确定性的主要来源。贸易干扰给物价前景增添不确定性,市场对贸易紧张局势的反应可能会对需求构成压力。大家一致决定降息25个基点,没有人赞成降息50个基点。拉加德表示,关税对通胀的影响尚不清楚。随着时间的推移,关税对价格的影响只会变得更加清晰。决心采取一切必要措施来实现2%的目标“中性利率概念只适用于没有冲击的世界,限制性评估不再有效。限制性评估不再有效。必须留意新的冲击。”到6月会议时,关税问题不会完全明确。与其他央行保持稳定、稳固的关系。

  另外,周四,美联储“三把手”、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯表示,尽管特朗普政府的新一轮关税可能推高通胀、拖累经济增长并抬升失业率,但短期内没有必要调整联邦基金利率。他说道:“我认为当前的货币政策处于良好位置,短期内没有必要调整联邦基金利率。”威廉姆斯指出,经济前景存在相当大的不确定性。他重申了自己的观点,认为特朗普关税至少在目前推高了物价,他预计美国今年的GDP增速可能低于1%,失业率也将从当前的4.2%上升至4.5%至5%区间。不过他强调:“这并不是衰退,只是比过去几年增长更慢的经济表现。”尽管威廉姆斯没有明确预测通胀将上升多少,但他确认关税将在今年对物价形成上行压力,当务之急是防止关税引发的物价上涨演变为持续性通胀:“我们必须确保这些一次性的物价上涨不会演变为长期性的高通胀。”“我们的目标是将通胀率稳定控制在2%,并实现持续性。”

  今日没有需要特别关注的数据,今日为耶稣受难日多交易所休市,市场交投料将较为清淡。

  美元指数

  美元指数昨日震荡上行,日线小幅收涨,现汇价交投于99.40附近。除空头回补和99.00关口附近所形成的技术面买盘对汇价构成了一定的支撑外,时段内美国公布的经济数据表现良好也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。此外,欧洲央行如期降息和美联储官员发表的乐观言论也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。今日关注99.80附近的压力情况,下方支撑在99.00附近。

  欧元/美元

  欧元昨日震荡下行,日线小幅收跌,现汇价交投于1.1380附近。除获利回吐和1.1400关口附近所形成的技术面卖盘对汇价构成了一定的打压外,时段内欧洲央行如期降息25个基点,欧央行行长拉加德释放鸽派信号也是施压欧元回落的重要因素。此外,美元指数止跌反弹也对汇价构成了一定的打压。今日关注1.1450附近的压力情况,下方支撑在1.1300附近。

  英镑/美元

  英镑昨日震荡盘整,日线小幅收涨,现汇价交投于1.3280附近。除英国央行的降息预期降温持续对汇价构成有力的支撑外,美联储的降息预期挥之不去也持续对汇价构成支撑。不过,1.3300关口附近所形成的技术面买盘和美元指数在空头回补和良好经济数据的支撑下反弹限制了汇价的上升空间。今日关注1.3350附近的压力情况,下方支撑在1.3200附近。

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