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昕薇在线阅读 - 深入揭秘行业法则与背后的故事
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  4月24日,上海证券交易所、深圳证券交易所、北京证券交易所公布2025年劳动节休市安排:5月1日(星期四)至5月5日(星期一)休市,5月6日(星期二)起照常开市。另外,4月27日(星期日)为周末休市。

  关税上升和美元贬值给企业本财报季的利润预期蒙上阴影,未来几个季度可能会有更多损失。

  在美元兑欧元汇率跌至三年低点、兑瑞士法郎跌至10年低点之后,欧洲公司纷纷拉响了警报。这对于正努力应对特朗普贸易政策所带来经济放缓风险的股票市场来说,又是一个令人头疼的问题。

  鉴于斯托克600指数成分股公司60%的销售额来自海外,如此大的美元贬值幅度是不受欢迎的,因为一旦兑换成欧洲本地货币,将大幅降低美国收益的价值。因此,对美国有敞口的欧洲个股都在随着美元下跌,而且许多投资者都转向侧重本地市场的公司作为替代目标。

  SAPSE是面对汇率困扰的公司之一,这家软件制造商的首席财务官告诉投资者,美元贬值对收益来说是一个中期不利因素,随着外汇对冲开始到期,明年受到的冲击将会变得显著。

  荷兰啤酒制造商喜力预计,欧元兑一系列货币走强将令今年收入减少17.2亿欧元(20亿美元)。法国医疗诊断公司BioMerieux和英国零售商WHSmithPlc也在财报中强调了汇率风险。

  “欧洲公司将不得不认识到他们的价格竞争力不能再依赖于美元走强,”LombardOdierInvestmentManagers宏观研究主管FlorianIelpo表示。

  Ielpo预计,虽然当前财报季不会反映出来4月2日宣布的关税政策的影响,但“第三季度将是风暴的中心”。

  与此同时,预测人士预计贸易战将进一步伤害美元,并可能引发美国经济衰退。这导致标普500指数今年以来已经下跌8.6%,欧洲股票市场也很大程度地收窄了涨幅。

  摩根士丹利策略师估计,欧元和其他本币兑美元每上涨5%,就会使MSCI欧洲指数的盈利增速下降1.5-2个百分点,并将汇率走势描述为“全面拖累”。

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