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被C的走不了路-疫情反弹风险加大,公众如何应对!
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现在,中国汽车行业呈现着这样魔幻的一幕:一边赔钱卖车,一边还疯狂上新车。

官方信息显示,2025年上海车展,在4月23日至4月24日这两天媒体日,各大车企及相关参展企业举办的新闻发布会多达193场,可谓历年之最。

有据可查的是,2021年上海车展,2023年上海车展,2024年北京车展,这一数字分别为138场,150场和163场。

这还只是车展现场的。据不完全统计,今年上海车展前一周(4月14日—4月20日),各大车企和供应链企业一共举办了19场发布会。车展前两天(4月21日和4月22日),各种类型的活动超过15场。唯一不开发布会的可能就是特斯拉了。

媒体日的193场活动全部在上海国家会展中心举行,而展前的活动则散布在全国各地。一时间,人都不够用了——不光是媒体不够用,嘉宾也是不够用了。

近年来,全球车展式微。底特律车展参展商数量腰斩,法兰克福车展被迫迁址慕尼黑后仍难挽颓势,日内瓦车展更因资金问题多次停办……

但是,2025年4月的上海,春风不燥,一片祥和的背后,连主办方也经过一番争夺的上海车展颇有些末日狂欢的意味。

小鹏汽车董事长、CEO何小鹏曾在今年2月的轩辕同学课堂上做出预测,三年之内淘汰赛结束。

他认为,2025年,2026年和2027年这三个关键时期,汽车市场还存在一个反向力,“短时间内所有人都要出牌,你会看到市场上同类型的商品越来越多,这个多的情况到2027年以后就会少,因为大部分被淘汰了。”。

极越汽车没能熬到上海车展,哪吒汽车不出意外地也缺席上海车展,和他们想来来不了不一样,韩国现代起亚是根本不想来了。

现代和起亚自2002年进入中国以来首次缺席A类大型车展,北京现代、悦达起亚、捷尼赛思的退展是一个信号。韩媒给出的理由是现代起亚集团要将重心转向美国市场。

有人曾算过一笔账,2024年北京车展,奥迪展位面积约1800平方米,租赁+搭建费用大约为900万元。也就是说,稍微像样一点的展台,动辄上千万元人民币。

2024年,现代起亚集团销量排名全球第三,营业利润为14.2万亿韩元,约700亿元,说没钱参加车展那是太酸了,只不过是不想再把钱花到声音会被淹没的场子里。

和现代起亚集团做出相同战略选择的,还有一汽-大众捷达,东风日产启辰,神龙公司东风雪铁龙、东风标致,上汽通用雪佛兰,这些品牌都不会出现在上海车展。

这一次上海车展,中国品牌在数量上完全压倒合资,就连超豪华品牌都是凤毛麟角。Lotus第一次用莲花的名字参展,就发现队友不见了。玛莎拉蒂、兰博基尼和法拉利并没有出现在展位图上,莲花选择了唯一参展的知名超豪华品牌宾利。

而出现在上海车展的车企,他们的展位和每一届一样都依然暗藏玄机。

“地头蛇”上汽集团包场黄金位置的3号馆。据传,年富力强的上汽集团总裁贾健旭发出总纲领:“把上海车展变成上汽车展”。

上汽集团旗下十大品牌罕见地出现在了同一个展馆中。其中,上汽通用五菱“回归”上汽展馆比较罕见。 

车展展馆的排位,讲究不亚于山东酒局。此前,“BBA”(奔驰、宝马和奥迪的简称)周边的位置十分抢手,颇有些和谁在一起就意味着你是谁的意思。

如今,问界的对手已经不是“BBA”了。5.1号馆,问界拿下了保时捷旁边的位置。在被中国品牌对标、致敬、超越了两年后,强大如保时捷也跌落神坛,2025年第一季度,保时捷中国市场交付量大幅下降42%,至9471辆。

6.1H馆和8.1H馆,两个中国人最喜欢的数字被吉利和比亚迪分走。进入2025年,吉利展现出来势不可挡的一面,第一个月就和比亚迪争起了第一。

蔚来汽车车展仍然分了两个展台。蔚来和萤火虫放在了一起,毗邻宝马。尽管是第三品牌,但萤火虫的渠道与蔚来合并。

乐道则单飞去了6.2展馆,抢下了小米对面的位置。最近将“该省省该花花”挂在嘴边的李斌解释说:“本来是想(和蔚来品牌)放在一起的,后来算了一笔账,花钱更多。”

盈利压力下的蔚来,最近收紧钱袋子,4月19日,蔚来第三品牌萤火虫的上市发布会,蔚来用35万元的内部价租下了上海中心的牛屋。

中国品牌在上海车展占据绝对优势的内核,是市场份额已经超过60%,但极致繁荣的背后是一言难尽的极致内卷。 

不久前,有供应商对《轩辕商业评论》吐槽,某“卷王”在和供应商询价的过程中真诚发问:“你们为什么要赚钱?”

这真是一个时代性的令人啼笑皆非的问题。

大部分汽车厂家利润连年下降,供应商不以营利为目的,公关公司垫钱参展,媒体小编的辛苦费拖欠一年……熙熙攘攘的“车展盛事”之下,一时间,不知道谁在赚钱,也不知道在为何而忙。

而整个2025上海车展,场内场外,200场左右的发布会,大家都使出浑身解数,希望发出自己的最强音,但是众声喧哗的结果,或许最终一句话也听不清楚。

《轩辕商业评论》认为,这可能是中国汽车产业秩序重建的前夜。

一个未经证实的传闻是,2025上海车展,车企老板不能随便串台,雷军那种去年北京车展在各展台呼风唤雨的场景不会再有。如果是真的,这种规定是否合乎逻辑,值得商榷,但是显然,这明显也是希望恢复秩序。

还有一个广为人知的事实是,此次车展前夕,工信部以雷霆手段规范行业的智驾动作。一时间,自动、自主、智驾、高阶智驾、脱手、脱眼、接管都成为违规词。

《轩辕商业评论》了解到,为了合规,多场发布会连夜修改PPT。比如,4月18日,地平线发布智驾产品,讲了两个半小时的创始人兼CEO余凯聊嗨了,“地平线发布‘HSD城区辅助驾驶系统’,就在前一天晚上,我们的(系统)名字还叫……”

不知道这算不算“一人生病,全家吃药”,但行业秩序重建的意图还是明显的。不仅是智驾,还有动力电池的相关安全规定也在提速。

好了,2025上海车展来了,大家ENJOY!

(原文标题为《上海车展:发不出500块车马费,可是有200场发布会》,内容有部分删改)

  近日,工业和信息化部发布“关于2025年第一季度电信服务质量的通告”。通告显示,2025年第一季度,互联网信息服务投诉平台【下载黑猫投诉客户端】收到的互联网用户投诉中,服务功能类投诉占比52.7%,个人信息保护类投诉占比17.5%,客服渠道类投诉占比16.5%,其他类投诉占比13.3%。

  通告指出,在接入平台的178家互联网企业中,广东长城宽带等3家企业投诉处理及时率较低,工业和信息化部已督促相关企业妥善处理用户反映的问题。

  据悉,广东长城宽带网络服务有限公司主要被投诉的产品为“长城宽带”,投诉处理及时率为16.4%。另外两家被点名的企业是:真快乐(北京)电子商务科技有限公司,主要被投诉产品为“国美App”,上海巨人网络科技有限公司,主要被投诉产品是球球大作战。

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