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  随着投资者聚焦欧洲央行货币宽松前景,欧洲国债上涨,顶住了美国国债收益率周一飙升带来的压力。交易员加大对欧洲央行降息幅度的押注,预计2025年还会再降息70个基点。

  欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德向CNBC表示,欧洲央行几乎已经实现将通胀率降至2%的目标,但在当前经济形势日益动荡的背景下,仍需保持灵活机变。

  管理委员会成员PeterKazimir称,欧洲央行将在未来几个月实现通胀目标;而其同事OlliRehn表示,美国关税将在短期内推动欧元区通胀下行,但总体影响将是“温和的”。

  彭博报道称法国总统马克龙正在考虑最早今年秋季解散议会并提前选举的可能性之后,法国债券一开始收窄涨幅。

  之后这一趋势消退,10年期法国国债相对于德国国债收益率的溢价收盘时基本持平。

  英国国债收益率曲线随美国国债扭曲陡化。

  英国央行最鹰派的决策委员之一MeganGreene表示,特朗普的全球关税浪潮更可能对英国物价构成下行压力,而非推动通胀上升。

  市场

  德国10年期国债收益率跌3个基点,至2.44%;

  德债期货涨23点,至131.94;

  意大利10年期国债收益率跌4个基点,至3.61%;

  意大利与德国国债利差收窄1个基点,至约117个基点;

  法国10年期国债收益率跌3个基点,至3.22%;

  10年期英国国债收益率跌2个基点,至4.55%。

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