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  财联社4月17日讯(编辑黄君芝)美国肯塔基州州长安迪·贝希尔(AndyBeshear)对特朗普政府正在考虑的关税敲响了警钟,并称这些关税最终将使美国家庭损失数千美元。

  贝希尔在社交媒体上发布的一条消息中表示,关税将使一个普通家庭每年多支出4700美元。

  “这可能是几个月的食品杂货费,也可能是几个月的房租。如果你有私人医疗保险,那可能是你全年的免赔额。没有一个家庭能够在不受到严重影响的情况下度过难关,对于那些在月底挣扎着支付账单的人来说,这足以让你陷入困境。”他写道。

  据悉,4700美元的估算来自耶鲁大学预算实验室(TheBudgetLab)最近的一项分析。分析人士发现,就算按照特朗普目前的“最低门槛”来算,即对几乎所有进口商品额外征收10%的税,“每个家庭消费者平均损失4700美元”。

  彼得森国际经济研究所(PetersonInstituteforInternationalEconomics)提出的另一项分析估计,一个中产阶级家庭增加的成本可能更接近1700美元。但两项分析都认为,低收入家庭将受到最严重的打击。

  分析人士们还警告称,需要购买新车或智能手机等大件商品的消费者,可能会发现自己面临着巨大的价格冲击。

  美国银行估计,即使假设汽车制造商吸收了关税的部分影响,新关税也可能使汽车价格平均上涨4500美元。而在此之前,过去几年汽车价格已大幅上涨,致使一辆新车的平均价格达到了令人咋舌的4.8万美元。

  此外,如果关税维持不变,人们普遍预计苹果将提高iPhone和其他受欢迎产品的价格,因为该公司的供应链大部分集中在中国。iPhone16ProMax的价格可能会上涨29%。据瑞银(UBS)估计,这可能会将起价从1200美元提高到1550美元。

  当然,食品和衣服等日常必需品也会涨价。

  特朗普政府希望关税能把就业机会带回美国本土。政府官员也承认,关税可能会导致价格上涨。美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特(ScottBessent)上个月表示,“获得廉价商品并不是美国梦的本质。”

  经济学家担心,贸易战将大大减缓全球贸易,并可能引发经济衰退,造成更多的经济后果。

  世贸组织周三警告称,由于美国特朗普政府的关税政策冲击,今年的全球贸易增速预期已经骤然滑落至萎缩,同时还有可能跌入更深层次的深渊。

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