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汉风1276起点|探寻他们不为人知的冒险历程
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汉风1276起点|探寻他们不为人知的冒险历程

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  美联储宣布不会降息,美股大跌。

  当地时间4月16日,美股三大股指低开低走,尾盘跌幅扩大。截至收盘,道指跌1.73%,报39669.39点;标普500指数跌2.24%,报5275.70点;纳指跌3.07%,报16307.16点。

  大型科技股全线下跌,万得美国科技七巨头指数跌4.07%,英伟达跌逾6%,特斯拉跌逾4%,苹果、Meta、微软集体跌逾3%,亚马逊跌逾2%,谷歌跌逾1%。

  美股芯片股遭遇重挫。费城半导体指数跌4.1%,超威半导体、阿斯麦双双跌超7%,格芯、科天半导体均跌超5%,台积电、英特尔跌超3%。

  热门中概股普跌,纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌2.72%,阿里巴巴跌4.93%,京东跌5.64%,小鹏汽车跌5.55%,哔哩哔哩跌3.52%,腾讯音乐跌3.60%,理想汽车跌3.03%,哔哩哔哩跌3.52%,拼多多跌1.83%。

  大宗商品方面,黄金续创历史新高。COMEX黄金期货涨3.62%,报3357.70美元/盎司,创历史新高;现货黄金盘中突破3350美元关口,最高报3357.92美元/盎司。

  消息面上,据央视新闻报道,当地时间4月16日,据《华盛顿邮报》报道,美联储主席鲍威尔就美总统特朗普贸易政策的通胀效应发出了强烈警告。鲍威尔表示,特朗普的关税政策“极有可能”刺激通胀暂时上升,并警告称这些影响可能会持续很长时间。

  鲍威尔在讲话中指出,特朗普关税政策潜在影响的不确定性正在升高,虽然可以预见到通胀将上升且经济增长将放缓,但目前还不清楚美联储需要在哪些方面投入更多精力。

  “我们可能会面临一种具有挑战性的局面,即双重使命目标之间出现冲突,”鲍威尔表示。“如果发生这种情况,我们将考虑经济距离每个目标还有多远,以及这些差距预计在多长时间内才能缩小。”

  在演讲结束后的问答环节中,鲍威尔表示:“关税很可能会在今年余下时间让我们离目标更远。”

  鲍威尔认为,关税几乎肯定会导致通胀暂时上升,通胀效应也可能更为持久。能否避免这种结果,取决于关税影响的规模、其传导至价格所需的时间,以及是否能维持长期通胀预期的稳定。

  鲍威尔还谈到了近期剧烈波动的美国股市。他说,市场希望美联储出手平息波动的预期可能是错误的。他表示,市场正在消化当前的形势,市场正在应对大量的不确定性,而这意味着波动性。鉴于关税政策正在发生巨大变化,市场会遇到困难是可以理解的。他补充道:“短期内,你可能会继续看到市场的波动性。”

  鲍威尔并未透露美联储下一步利率政策方向,但他强调:“目前,我们最好等待更清晰的形势,然后再考虑调整我们的政策立场。”

  有“美联储传声筒”之称的华尔街日报记者NickTimiraos评论称,鲍威尔传递了令人沮丧的信号。在提到等待形势更明确再考虑调整政策时,他引用了芝加哥当地人的对世事变幻莫测的认可,也体现了这点。

  Timiraos指出,为了设法缓和贸易战对经济的打击,美联储可能要面临是降通胀还是保经济的艰难取舍。

  HorizonInvestments投资组合管理主管ZacharyHill表示:“标普500指数如今比以往任何时候都更依赖科技板块。”他指出,科技股对市场走势的影响既能推高指数,也能放大跌幅,在上周主导了反弹,但这周又反向演绎。

  澎湃新闻记者孙铭蔚

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