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  中新社华盛顿4月22日电(记者沙晗汀)国际货币基金组织(IMF)当地时间22日发布最新一期《世界经济展望报告》,将2025年全球经济增长预期下调至2.8%,较今年1月预测值低0.5个百分点。IMF预计,2026年全球经济将增长3%,较1月预测值低0.3个百分点。

  具体来看,发达经济体今年预计将增长1.4%,明年预计将增长1.5%。美国和欧元区经济预计今年将分别增长1.8%和0.8%,明年将分别增长1.7%和1.2%。新兴市场和发展中经济体今年预计将增长3.7%,明年将增长3.9%。中国经济预计今年将增长4%,明年预计增长4%。

  报告说,在贸易紧张局势升级、金融市场经历调整的环境下,不断加剧的下行风险主导着经济前景。贸易战升级和贸易政策不确定性加剧,可能会进一步削弱短期和长期增长前景。

  报告显示,自今年1月《世界经济展望报告》更新内容发布以来,美国宣布并实施了一系列新的关税措施,其贸易伙伴也采取了反制措施。美国4月2日宣布对几乎所有进口商品征收关税,有效关税税率达到一个世纪以来的最高水平。这些措施本身就是对全球经济的一次“重大负面冲击”,随之而来的不确定性也对经济活动和前景产生了负面影响。

  报告还说,全球总体通胀的下行速度预计将略低于1月预测值,2025年通胀率将降至4.3%,2026年将降至3.6%。其中,IMF大幅上调了发达经济体的通胀率预测值,小幅下调了新兴市场和发展中经济体的通胀率预测值。

  IMF指出,在当前形势下,各国应建设性地开展工作,以推动形成稳定和可预见的贸易环境,并促进国际合作,同时解决国内的政策缺口和结构性失衡问题,这将有助于确保内部和外部经济稳定。(完) 新闻结尾 两个人一前一后进行攻击:解锁更多实用功能,快来体验全新服务!的相关文章
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