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渣攻的白月光被我掰弯了:导致我狠狠撞向了窗户,令人感到意外和不悦。
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渣攻的白月光被我掰弯了:导致我狠狠撞向了窗户,令人感到意外和不悦。

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治疗多动症仿制药获批,立方制药(003020.SZ)股价实现三连板。

消息面上,立方制药14日晚间公告称,近日,公司收到国家药品监督管理局核准签发的盐酸哌甲酯缓释片《药品注册证书》。

公告显示,盐酸哌甲酯缓释片属于第一类精神药品,临床主要用于治疗注意缺陷多动障碍(AttentionDeficitHyperactivityDisorder,ADHD),也就是俗称的多动症。

“截至目前,除本公司产品外,该产品在中国境内仅有一家进口药品批准文号,暂无其他企业进入临床研究或注册申报阶段。”立方制药在公告中介绍称。

南财快讯记者以投资者身份致电立方制药,工作人员表示,目前的政策来讲一般是不会进入集采。至于销售计划,该人员表示,销售部门那边会有,证券部目前未有相关信息。

此外,近年来,盐酸哌甲酯缓释片在国内市场的需求持续快速增长。

根据药智数据库统计,2023年国内样本医院的销售额约为3.5亿元人民币,2024年前三季度销售额进一步增长至约4.3亿元人民币。

米内网数据也显示,盐酸哌甲酯缓释片已被纳入国家医保乙类目录,近年来在中国城市公立医院、县级公立医院、城市社区中心以及乡镇卫生院(简称中国公立医疗机构)终端的销售额逐年上涨,2023年突破4亿元,2024上半年以约39%的增速继续增长。

  今日,A股主要指数小幅震荡,截至收盘,三大指数涨跌不一,沪指涨0.13%报3280点,为连续第8个交易日上涨,深证成指跌0.16%,报9759点,创业板指涨0.09%报1908点。全天成交约1万亿元,较前一交易日继续缩量超千亿,全市场超3100股上涨。

  盘面上,行业出现分化。其中,地产、建材、消费等内需类板块涨幅居前,汽车、有色等相关板块出现回调。

  今日,COMEX黄金期货价格再创历史新高,最高触及3071点后回落。国内金价方面,沪金主力合约也创出了796元/克的历史新高。究其原因,中长期来看,对于政治、经济、通胀等多方面风险事件的担忧和对货币超发美元体系的不信任共同对黄金价格形成支撑。黄金基金ETF(518800)受到投资者追捧,近60交易日流入近72亿元。具体操作上来看,趋势并未结束,已持仓的投资者可以等待更加清晰的右侧止盈信号;但屡创新高的同时波动加剧的风险不断累积,必须提醒支撑黄金上涨的核心逻辑需要较长的投资久期来匹配,未持有的投资者并不建议盲目追高,回踩后逐步建仓则更为妥当。

  短期来看,中东、俄乌局势存在不小的扰动,地缘政治风险叠加对美国经济的担忧,市场避险情绪高企,为金价带来一定支撑。近期,中东战场局势展现出了一定的不确定性,停火的反复和特朗普围绕加沙地区的一系列发言均对局势的稳定产生了较大的不利影响。而俄乌战场方面,虽美俄重启外交接触,俄乌冲突有望进入谈判的新阶段,但根源仍在于战争巨大的经济和政治代价迫使各方考虑停战的必要性和可能性,因此,后续仍需关注各方利益诉求。短期内停战的落地效力仍需观察,“边打边谈”、“打打谈谈”或成为常态。此外,美国经济前景也难言乐观,市场对是否衰退以及衰退斜率的判断仍然存在分歧。地缘政治局势的紧张叠加对美国经济衰退的担忧,市场避险情绪导致黄金价格易涨难跌。

  长期来看,美元信用体系出现松动,作为历史悠久传统货币的黄金存在坚实逻辑支撑。近期关税引起的市场波动中,美国十年期国债收益率出现较大幅度波动。从美国国债收益率的大幅波动来看,其作为全球资产定价之锚的稳定性被打破,反映出投资者对美国经济前景以及美元资产安全性的担忧。

  无独有偶,近日,美元指数大幅走弱,创下约三年来新低。这一定程度上展现出美元在国际货币市场上吸引力的下降。众多投资者纷纷将资金从美元资产撤离,转投至其他避险资产或新兴市场资产。在美元信用体系出现动摇之际,作为接受程度最高一般等价物的黄金价格存在较强支撑。在美元信用受到冲击时,黄金天然的稳定性使其成为投资者资产配置中的“稳定器”。

  展望后市,从中长期来看,美国再通胀乃至“滞涨”风险不断累积、美国经济走弱以及全球主权国家债务超发、全球地缘政治等系统性风险提升等因素都对贵金属价格起到了长期利好支撑。黄金基金ETF(518800)跟踪上海黄金交易所的AU9999价格,建议投资者关注。此外,黄金股票ETF(517400)也有望受益于黄金价格上涨,投资者亦可保持关注。

  建材板块今日表现较为亮眼,建材ETF(159745)盘中一度拉升超2%后涨幅略有回吐,最终录得1.56%的涨幅。在关税乌云笼罩下,拉动经济的“三驾马车”中出口项扰动较大,“投资+消费”的确定性较高,而建材板块同时受益于投资驱动和家装需求释放,基本面拐点或值得期待。

  短期来看,各级政府“以旧换新”等促消费政策的出台有望刺激有效需求,为建材行业近期业绩提供一定支撑。近期青岛出台12条楼市新政提到,在2025年4月1日至2026年6月30日期间在青岛市购买新建商品房的,分别为二孩、三孩家庭发放5万元、10万元购房补贴,购房补贴以货币形式发放。在24Q4以来的政策带动下,地产销售有回暖迹象,地方政府调控或持续宽松,预计一线城市或以外围区域限购放松为主,其他城市或由限制转向补贴支持。此外,据国家统计局,1-3月限额以上建筑及装潢材料企业零售额395亿元,同比持平,单月同比增速小幅回落0.2pct至-0.1%。随着政策刺激下存量房翻新和旧改需求的释放,有望进一步促进建材消费需求恢复,从而支撑企业业绩表现。

  中长期来看,一揽子房地产市场刺激政策的集中颁布有利于稳定房地产市场预期,从而利好建材行业业绩改善。在去年9月24日以来,各级各部门宣布降低按揭贷款利率、降低二套房首付比例、扩大契税等交易税费优惠范围、鼓励存量房收储等一系列措施。而年初至今19城新房+二手房成交面积同比回正,如果聚焦春节后,成交面积同比增长更加明显,其中二手房节后成交面积为过去4年同期的最好水平。一方面,系列利好政策的发布有望稳定房地产稳定向好的预期;另一方面,中央资金支持比例的提升有助于缓解地方国企资金压力,也降低了商业银行对收储项目放贷的风险,各地保障房收储节奏或有所加快。在政策面的呵护下,作为地产产业链重要一环的建材行业有望迎来业绩端的改善和估值侧的抬升。

  基本面的数据则相对滞后,受前期房地产市场表现疲软影响,建材行业24Q3收入和利润有所承压。从具体子行业来看,与地产关联度较高的玻璃行业,因竣工需求下行,24Q3浮法玻璃和光伏玻璃的利润下滑明显,部分企业净利率转负。水泥行业虽在企业积极推涨价格及煤价下行的作用下,三季度利润同环比有所改善,但整体收入仍受需求低迷的拖累。消费建材中的瓷砖、防水等品类,受地产新开工需求下行影响,收入和利润降幅也较大。不过,9月底开始利好政策频出,随着后续地产供需两端政策的落实以及中央化债政策刺激下基建投资的增加,建材行业的需求有望企稳回升,为行业的业绩修复带来积极的信号。

  估值层面,建材ETF所跟踪的建筑材料(931009)指数PB低于近十年约5%分位点,估值性价比凸显。随着房地产市场止跌回稳,建材板块有望迎来业绩和估值的“戴维斯双击”,投资者可以关注建材ETF(159745)的配置机会。

  科技板块今日表现不俗,软件ETF(515230)今日收涨1.17%,科创芯片ETF国泰(589100)今日收涨1.00%,集成电路ETF(159546)今日收涨0.90%。

  来源:Wind

  关税之争的连带影响已经扩散到科技领域,全球的芯片市场都受到波及。4月15日,英伟达宣布H20芯片对华出口需申请许可,导致第一季度计提55亿美元库存减值费用。这一举措直接切断了其在中国市场的核心收入来源——H20芯片占英伟达2025年Q1中国区营收的93%,而中国市场贡献了其全球收入的35%。大摩测算,若禁令持续,英伟达数据中心收入将下降8%-9%,相关业务损失可能达171亿美元。

  海外市场方面,政策冲击叠加财报季担忧,美股芯片股集体“跳水”:费城半导体指数跌4.1%,AMD、台积电跌幅超7%,阿斯麦、美光科技跌逾5%。市场恐慌蔓延至科技板块,纳斯达克指数收跌3.07%,英伟达领跌“科技七巨头”。美国的技术封锁反而催生了中国AI芯片的突围。本土企业推出的AI芯片能效比超H20达1.8倍,在16卡集群训练场景下可降低70%能耗。上海规划2027年建成超60万张国产AI芯片集群,对应市场规模超400亿元,相当于英伟达2025年中国区营收的23%。

  海通国际认为,若英伟达完全退出中国数据中心业务,我们预计中国数据中心AI芯片市场将重构为华为、寒武纪、昆仑芯三家公司主导格局。华为的910C芯片以及最新推出的CloudMatrix384等云服务器将会将会凭借其推理性能,在中国市场逐步取代英伟达,国产替代将迎来加速。IDC预测,2025年全球半导体市场将增长11%,晶圆代工市场增长18%,AI加速器和存储芯片成为核心驱动力。NANDFlash价格在Q2有望环比上涨10%-15%,显示行业供需改善。但地缘局势风险仍存:美国对华芯片出口限制可能进一步升级,而印尼锡出口配额制或推高半导体材料成本。

  后续特朗普政府对中国的科技制裁力度或持续加大,科技板块自主可控的重要性将进一步提升,国产替代逻辑存在持续催化。半导体产业链存在中长线的投资机会,近期科技波动较大,感兴趣的投资者可以紧密跟踪,保持关注集成电路ETF(159546)、科创芯片ETF国泰(589100)、芯片ETF(512760)和聚焦国产替代市场空间最大的半导体产业链上游的半导体设备ETF(159516)。

  风险提示:投资人应当充分了解基金定期定额投资和零存整取等储蓄方式的区别。定期定额投资是引导投资人进行长期投资、平均投资成本的一种简单易行的投资方式。但是定期定额投资并不能规避基金投资所固有的风险,不能保证投资人获得收益,也不是替代储蓄的等效理财方式。无论是股票ETF/LOF/分级基金,都是属于较高预期风险和预期收益的证券投资基金品种,其预期收益及预期风险水平高于混合型基金、债券型基金和货币市场基金。基金资产投资于科创板和创业板股票,会面临因投资标的、市场制度以及交易规则等差异带来的特有风险,提请投资者注意。板块/基金短期涨跌幅列示仅作为文章分析观点之辅助材料,仅供参考,不构成对基金业绩的保证。文中提及个股短期业绩仅供参考,不构成股票推荐,也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。以上观点仅供参考,不构成投资建议或承诺。如需购买相关基金产品,请您关注投资者适当性管理相关规定、提前做好风险测评,并根据您自身的风险承受能力购买与之相匹配的风险等级的基金产品。基金有风险,投资需谨。

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