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  周五(4月18日),地产板块再度异动走强,龙头房企普遍上涨。代表A股龙头地产行情的中证800地产指数再度收涨近1%。热门成份股方面,滨江集团涨近4%,绿地控股涨超2%,陆家嘴、衢州发展、万科A、华发股份、上海临港等多股涨超1%。

  热门ETF方面,全市场唯一跟踪中证800地产指数的地产ETF(159707)午后强势拉升翻红,场内收涨0.8%。全天成交额超5500万元,交投继续活跃。资金顺势溢价抢筹,全天净申购2950万份!周度复盘来看,地产ETF(159707)周线斩获两连阳,向上突破20周线,或表明多头力量增强。

  周度复盘来看,连跌五周后,中证800地产指数斩获两连阳,单周涨幅为2.33%,跑赢上证指数(+1.19%)等市场大盘。综合市场信息看,地产板块当前积累了多重积极因素,一方面是从当前楼市数据分析看,房地产市场或现企稳迹象;另一方面,在提振内需的大背景下,地产有望迎新一轮政策周期。

  中信证券研报指出,一季度统计局数据表现稳健,严控增量取得成效,土地市场持续热销,但房价仍然还在下降。总体来看,我们认为房地产政策已经纳入扩大内需的框架,预计稳定房价的政策箭在弦上。我们认为2025年房价将有望达到长周期的底部,看好具备好运营、好开发和好资产的地产平台。

  光大证券表示,房地产是最大的内需,建议战略性布局地产链投资机会。以“我”为主背景下,期待地产政策进一步发力,房地产是最大的内需,后续政策或围绕收购存量商品房用作保障性住房、城市更新、城中村和危旧房改造、“好房子”供应、房贷利率、政策性金融工具等开展。

  估值层面上看,以央国企、优质房企为代表的龙头地产当前仍处估值低位。以地产ETF(159707)标的指数为例,中证800地产指数最新PB估值仅为0.7倍,处近10年约12%分位点,估值低位特征明显,修复空间或较大。华泰证券也指出,行业集中度加速提升,头部房企凭借“好信用、好城市、好产品”策略展现韧性,建议持续关注。

  布局央国企及优质房企,建议重点关注地产ETF(159707)。资料显示,地产ETF(159707)跟踪中证800地产指数,汇集市场13只头部优质房企,在投资方向上具有明显的头部集中度优势,前十大成份股权重超9成,央国企含量高!在行业出清大背景下,龙头地产或更具弹性!

  数据来源:沪深交易所等。

  风险提示:地产ETF被动跟踪中证800地产指数,该指数基日为2004.12.31,发布日期为2012.12.21,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的该基金风险等级为R3-中风险,适宜平衡型(C3)及以上投资者。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资须谨慎。

MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错!

  来源:证券日报之声

  本报讯(记者冯雨瑶)

  分红超预期!

  4月18日晚间,重庆百货大楼股份有限公司(简称“重庆百货”;600729)发布的2024年度利润分配方案显示,公司拟向全体股东每10股派发现金红利约13.62元(含税),合计拟派发现金红利6亿元(含税)。本年度公司现金分红占本年度归属于上市公司股东净利润的比例45.64%。以重庆百货4月18日收盘价32.96元/股计算,公司2024年的股息率约为4.13%。

  重庆百货主要从事百货、超市、电器和汽贸等业务经营,拥有重庆百货、新世纪百货、商社电器、商社汽贸等驰名商标和商业品牌。截至2024年底,公司开设各类商场、门店273个(按业态口径计算),经营网点已布局重庆35个区县和四川等地。

  重庆百货4月18日晚间发布的2024年年报显示,公司去年实现营业收入171.39亿元,同比下降9.75%;实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润13.15亿元,同比增长0.46%。经营现金流净额为20.23亿元,同比增长35.54%,2024年度,公司整体营收下降主要系经营承压,公司百货、汽贸业态受行业下行影响等因素。

  过去一年,受经济增速放缓、消费市场低迷、行业变革加剧等多方面影响,零售企业经营发展承压。面对复杂多变的市场环境,重庆百货以“增长+效率”为主线,持续打造“两个系统性”建设,提升“六大能力”、打造“六大卖场”,聚焦商品力,打造新场景,加快数智化变革,推动组织优化升级,持续降本增效,致力于经营业绩总体保持稳定。

  例如,在打造新场景方面,公司围绕“六大卖场”,加快业态融合,推动场店差异化调改,着力提升场店竞争力。其中,百货通过空间重构、品牌换新、体验升级、增加非购等举措,推动南充商都、永川商都等调改,业态柜位调改率26.4%,新增非购面积3.37万平方米。超市探索生鲜+折扣、精致生活馆、品质超市三种模式,年内调改焕新10家门店,调改后多项经营指标双位数增长。

  展望2025年,重庆百货有关人士表示,将借力国家消费刺激政策,以消费者为中心,以“结构性增长”为目标,持续提升“六大能力”,深入“六大卖场”,稳存量、拓增量、抓创新,推进实施“1363”经营策略,确保公司高质量健康发展。

  4月18日,英伟达创始人CEO黄仁勋在结束对北京的访问后又抵达上海。这是黄仁勋3个月内第二次到访中国。过去3个月,英伟达股价累计下跌近25%。

  与过往任何一次的访华都不同,这是黄仁勋首次公开与中国政府官员会面,并首次以穿西装、打领带的形象出现在中国媒体的镜头前。黄仁勋的访华释放了这样的信号——在复杂艰难的环境下,英伟达仍不愿意放弃中国市场。

  英伟达方面对第一财经记者表示:“我们定期与政府领导人会面,讨论我们公司的产品和技术。”

  4月17日,黄仁勋在北京访问时承诺,将继续不遗余力优化符合监管要求的产品体系,坚定不移地服务中国市场。

  据知情人士透露,黄仁勋还在北京会见了英伟达的客户,其中包括DeepSeek创始人梁文锋,讨论如何为中国设计下一代芯片,以满足客户需求并符合中美两国的监管要求。但英伟达方面未就此向第一财经记者予以证实。

  4月18日,黄仁勋在上海表示,上海是英伟达的重要研发基地,拥有良好的营商环境和产业环境。他还称,人工智能发展潜力巨大,各国应加强合作与共享,推动共同进步与世界繁荣。

  黄仁勋强调,中国市场对英伟达至关重要,对公司的增长尤为关键。4月15日,因H20的出口限制,英伟达宣布将不得不计提约55亿美元损失,导致该公司股价单日暴跌近7%,市值一夜蒸发近2000亿美元。

  黄仁勋此次中国之行距离他上次访华时隔仅3个月,但英伟达的股价急剧下跌。截至4月17日,英伟达市值不到2.5万亿美元。该公司不仅处于美国关税的不确定影响之中,而且就在黄仁勋访华前,美国宣布将对英伟达H20芯片的出口加以管制,要求特殊的许可。

  在这样的背景下,黄仁勋到访中国备受关注。在与中国贸促会会长任鸿斌会面时,黄仁勋表示,美国政府加强芯片出口管制已对英伟达业务产生“重大影响”。根据英伟达去年的财报,该公司在中国的销售额达170亿美元。

  英伟达预计将于5月28日公布新一季度财报。黄仁勋在上个月的英伟达GTC大会上曾表示,短期内关税不会对英伟达的业绩展望和财务产生显著影响;但长期来看,本地制造是适应当前变化的关键。英伟达今年的目标是加强供应链涉及国家和地区的本地制造能力。

  中国市场投资和消费潜力巨大,产业转型升级加快推进,是新一轮科技革命和产业变革的最佳应用场景,始终是外资企业投资和贸易的沃土。

  对此,黄仁勋表示,中国市场对英伟达十分重要,不仅因其体量巨大,更在于这里拥有优质的客户群体和良好的产业生态。

  “过去30年,正因为深耕中国市场,英伟达的业务蒸蒸日上。”黄仁勋说道,“英伟达遵从各国法律,也秉持对中国市场的承诺,并致力于以最好的方式为中国市场提供服务。”

  在针对哈佛大学不断加码的施压行动中,特朗普政府又出新招,正敦促该校交出关于从外国来源所获资金的记录,并且要追溯到10年前。

  美国大学从外国来源获得数以十亿美元计的资助、合同或捐赠,必须就此每半年向政府报告一次。在周四致哈佛大学校长AlanGarber的一封信中,美国教育部总法律顾问办公室写道,哈佛大学在2014年至2019年期间所做披露“不完整且不准确”。

  联邦法律要求大学报告来自外国来源的价值超过25万美元的捐赠。

  哈佛大学在一份书面声明中表示,该校几十年来一直提交此类报告,“作为持续遵守法律的一部分。按照要求,哈佛的报告包括与每年来自外国来源、价值超过25万美元的捐赠和合同有关的信息。这包括关于提供高管教育、其他培训以及学术出版物的合同”。

  哈佛大学与特朗普政府正处于一场备受瞩目的冲突之中。特朗普政府之前要求该校进行结构性改革,包括要求对行政员工、教职员工和学生的观点进行审查。周一,哈佛大学拒绝了这些要求,Garber称这些要求是对该校独立性的非法攻击。

  作为回应,联邦政府冻结了22.6亿美元经费。哈佛大学已表示,该校做出了真诚的努力来平息校园内的反犹主义,并实施了结构性改革以防止反犹主义再次抬头。

  在致哈佛大学的信中,特朗普政府要求该校提供一长串信息,包括哈佛大学每笔外国来源捐赠、资助和合同所涉所有已知相关方的身份,以及哈佛大学与外国政府或个人之间的所有电子邮件、短信和合同。特朗普政府还希望获得关于自2016年以来任何被哈佛大学开除的外国学生的信息,例如电子邮件用户名。

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