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新兰平和快青-解析作品中隐藏的深层含义
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公众号/JianYingCaiGuan

作者/齐思

编辑/FENGLING

-1-

黄金类ETF,霸榜

今日,股市再迎抄底资金。

“国家队”午后出手,沪指尾盘翻红,四大沪深300ETF合计成交235亿元。沪深300ETF市场规模破万亿。

除了宽基ETF规模不断飙升外,被买爆的就是黄金类ETF了。

随着全球经济的不确定性增加,作为避险资产的黄金价格的不断飙涨,买黄金的情绪被拉爆了…

近日,黄金“狂暴拉升”,黄金股ETF和黄金ETF纷纷领涨。

截至4月16日收盘,黄金股ETF和黄金ETF“霸榜”(如下图),已成年内表现最好的ETF。

-2-

黄金ETF与黄金股ETF,不一样!

先来做个简单的小科普,黄金ETF和黄金股ETF。

从上面的“黄金霸榜图”来看,

1)涨得最好的黄金股ETF,年内涨幅超30%;

但是,你看,它们最近5日直接涨了16%、17%,都是最近投资黄金的情绪几近拉满时涨的…

2)四个黄金ETF,年内涨幅均在26%,近5日涨幅均在7%。

那么,我们就先从黄金股ETF说起。

黄金股ETF是股票型基金,买它等于买了与黄金有关的一揽子股票。

黄金股ETF,跟踪的是中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238.CSI),这个指数主要聚焦黄金产业链的上市公司,前十大成分股都是金矿龙头,比如山东黄金、紫金矿业、中金黄金、赤峰黄金等。

买黄金股ETF,等于买黄金产业上市公司,能不能赚钱跟黄金价格、金矿经营效率、黄金开采量等都有关系。

很明显,金价上涨(以及预期和情绪)直接带火了黄金股ETF。

再看,黄金ETF。

黄金ETF属于商品类基金,挂钩黄金现货合约,紧随金价波动。

国内黄金ETF投资于上金所黄金现货合约,主要是指AU99.99合约或上海金集中定价合约,价格深受国际金价影响。上海金价基本上与伦敦金(伦敦现货黄金)、纽约金(纽约期货黄金)涨跌同向。

一手(100份)黄金ETF对应1克黄金,黄金ETF相当于存放在上金所的实物黄金的持有凭证。

黄金ETF,可在证券市场交易(场内交易,要开通证券账户),买卖方式与股票类似。

要说它与股票最大的不同,有两方面:

(1)“T+0”交易:当日买入的份额,可当日卖出,可以短线交易赚价差。

(2) 大宗商品价格涨跌没有上下限,遇到黑天鹅或者极端事件,风险可能无限大。

而股票只能“T+1”交易,且日内有涨跌幅限制。

从这两个层面来讲,

投资黄金ETF的风险,高于投资黄金股ETF。

当然,投资黄金ETF没有证券账户也能行,可以通过「黄金ETF联接基金」来实现。

黄金ETF联接基金与黄金ETF并无本质不同,只是投资渠道、投资门槛和费率略有差异。

黄金ETF只能场内来买卖,而黄金ETF联接基金可以在银行、券商和第三方基金销售平台来买卖,不过,不支持“T+0”。

中国的绝大部分黄金ETF,都是被场外投资者买走的。

据《大马哈投资》数据显示,

2024年底的14只黄金ETF,70%规模是联接基金贡献的,而且以短期投资的C份额为主。

另,这14只场内ETF持有人户数仅20.3万出头,对应的场外ETF联接持有人有1.3亿户。

可见广大的中国人民,对黄金投资很热衷。

-3-

被买爆的黄金ETF

据数据显示,年初以来黄金ETF总回报已超25%。

目前场内14只黄金ETF合计规模已超1343亿元,较年初规模增幅已高达93%,几近翻倍。

首先来看,黄金ETF的“四大金刚”。

华安基金旗下黄金ETF,上演了「强者恒强」,绝对的市场第一,占全市场份额40%。

截止4月15日,华安黄金ETF,规模已经高达548亿元了,4月来新增金额已高达111亿元,今年新增规模已超262亿元,增幅超90%。

另外值得说道的是,国泰基金旗下的黄金ETF,今年新增规模89亿元,增幅125%。

博时黄金ETF和易方达黄金ETF,今年来新增金额都超过90亿元了。

黄金ETF,妥妥的被买爆了。

-4-

黄金ETF,我们要跟吗?

黄金价格不断飙升,黄金类产品「霸榜」,投资黄金的情绪面,太高亢了。

一片看涨声中,我们的头脑反而要冷静了。

一定、一定、一定要重视风险、重估风险。

假如黄金中短期来一波5%-10%的回调,现在冲进去的势必当韭菜。

如果你是黄金投资的老手,现在可以适当考虑落袋为安;如果您是新手,想要开始配置黄金,最好分批分期,逢低配置。

如果,想要配置黄金ETF,那么看下表。

一表看透14只黄金ETF

买黄金ETF,几点原则说在前面:

1)选规模大的、流动性好的。

2)看跟踪误差,尽量选跟踪误差小的。

3)买时注意溢价风险。

最后,通过14只黄金ETF一览表,我们可以着重看:

A.华安、博时、易方达和国泰家的黄金ETF,规模大,流动性强。

另外,这四只发行最早,追踪效果也最好。

B.华夏、工银瑞信旗下的黄金ETF。费率低,规模较大,流动性充足,最近的表现不错(看霸榜图)。

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