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  汇通财经APP讯——美元兑瑞郎在周三的亚洲交易时段吸引了新的卖家,并侵蚀了前一天小幅回升的大部分涨幅。现货价格回落至接近0.8100中位,最低触及0.8128,跌幅约1.28%,在美元普遍疲软的情况下,汇价逼近上周五触及的十年低点0.8098。

  事实上,由于对美国经济的信心减弱,跟踪美元兑一篮子货币的美元指数在2022年4月以来的最低水平附近徘徊。此外,人们押注美联储将很快恢复其降息周期,并在2025年将借贷成本降低100个基点,这继续削弱了对美元的吸引力。反过来,这被视为对美元瑞郎货币对施加下行压力的关键因素。

  与此同时,由于对美国经济衰退和贸易战升级的担忧,市场对美国总统特朗普上周决定暂停全面对等关税90天的最初反应是短暂的。此外,特朗普在贸易关税问题上的立场迅速转变加剧了不确定性,并打压了投资者的情绪。这有利于避险货币瑞郎,并有助于美元瑞郎货币对的基调。

  上述基本面背景表明,现货价格阻力最小的路径仍然是下行,并支持从1月触及的年内迄今高点延续三个月下行趋势的前景。然而,交易者可能会选择等待美联储主席鲍威尔在美市晚些时候的露面,以获取有关降息路径的线索。同时,美国零售销售数据可能会影响美元和美元瑞郎货币对。

  美元兑瑞郎日线图来源:易汇通北京时间4月16日14:47美元兑瑞郎报0.8146/48。

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