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  本报记者 彭 妍

  4月13日,中国人民银行(以下简称“央行”)数据显示,2025年3月份个人住房新发放贷款(本外币)加权平均利率约为3.1%,比上年同期低约60个基点。同时,一季度住户中长期贷款增加8832亿元。鉴于住户部门中长期贷款的核心构成是个人住房贷款,其规模的增加直接表明个人住房贷款实现较快增长。

  麟评居住大数据研究院高级分析师关荣雪对《证券日报》记者表示,3月份个人住房贷款利率保持较低水平,显著降低了购房者的贷款成本,增强了购房能力,从而刺激了购房需求,推动了贷款规模的进一步增长。贷款规模的快速增长表明购房者对房地产市场的信心逐渐增强,信贷需求随之增加。

  据某国有大行工作人员向记者介绍,3月份该行个人住房贷款发放量较去年同期有所增长,提前还款的情况也有较大缓解。

  关荣雪分析认为,个人住房贷款增长的原因主要是政策的持续发力,包括房贷利率的下降、各地购房政策的放宽等,降低了购房门槛和成本,刺激了购房需求。在此背景下,重点城市房地产市场迎来“小阳春”,3月份多数城市新房和二手房的成交活跃度明显提升,成交回暖带动了个人住房贷款投放的增加。

  中指研究院数据显示,3月份重点100城新房销售面积同比小幅增长,重点20城二手房成交规模同比增长约三成,特别是核心城市市场“小阳春”行情较为明显。

  关荣雪表示,对房地产市场而言,个人住房贷款的增长有助于市场的稳定和复苏,推动房价企稳回升,提高市场的活跃度和信心。对经济增长来说,这能带动建筑、建材、家居、装修等相关行业的发展,也有助于改善房地产开发企业的资金链状况,使其能够更好地进行项目开发和建设,从而促进消费增长,拉动内需,对整体经济发展产生积极影响。

  中指研究院政策研究总监陈文静对《证券日报》记者表示,近期央行多次表态“择机降准降息”,意味着降准降息的时间窗口正在打开,个人住房贷款利率也存在下调空间。此外,今年公积金贷款利率有望迎来下调,也能为商业贷款利率的进一步调整释放空间,进一步降低购房者置业成本,促进购房需求释放,助力房地产市场修复。

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