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一个色农夫的导航 - 如何在全球化时代保持文化多样性与传统
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一个色农夫的导航 - 如何在全球化时代保持文化多样性与传统

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  一句《哪吒3》“剧透”,光线传媒涨超10%!

  财报还没披露,光线传媒股价先涨起来了。

  4月21日,光线传媒股价一路上扬,最终以10.93%的涨幅收盘,股价重新来到22元上方。光线传媒股价大涨,主要与《哪吒3》有关。4月21日,《哪吒3》的相关消息也登上多个平台热搜。

  4月21日,北京电影节期间,演员潘斌龙与《哪吒之魔童闹海》(下称《哪吒2》)主创团队成员之一、《哪吒2》立体效果艺术总监韩晓菲同场。

  潘斌龙现场询问韩晓菲,“现在导演(是否)已经在做《哪吒3》。”韩晓菲虽然以手势回应他不便回答,但随后韩晓菲还是表示,“结局的时候哪吒的母亲为他牺牲了,大家都在说,第三集(《哪吒3》)里面应该是要复活”。

  韩晓菲同时提到,“这不算剧透,这网上都在说。”潘斌龙则顺势表示,“那我们就期待一下,《哪吒3》母亲会不会复活。”

  这个未置可否的消息,引发了市场对《哪吒3》的高度关注。4月21日,光线传媒开盘后一路上扬,截至发稿涨幅超过10%。这是2月18日光线传媒股价显著回调以来,其录得的单日最大涨幅。

  除了韩晓菲,近期光线传媒董事长也在一场活动上,提到了《哪吒3》的相关计划。

  据复旦大学新闻学院消息,4月17日晚,王长田回到母校复旦大学,参加纪念复旦大学建校120周年系列活动。这是《哪吒2》爆火以来,王长田为数不多的公开露面。

  王长田不仅是光线传媒、猫眼娱乐两家上市公司董事长,也是复旦大学新闻学院8413校友。当天,王长田的讲座主题就是《哪吒2》与“中国版电影公司”,这次活动吸引大批学子参加。

  海报资料介绍,1998年,王长田以《中国娱乐报道》开创中国电视节目制播分离先河。他2006年率领光线进军电影行业,迄今共投资制作发行178部电影,总票房816亿元。《泰囧》《美人鱼》分别带领中国电影进入10亿元、30亿元票房时代。

  据解放日报报道,讲座上,王长田被问到《哪吒3》将于何时上映时,王长田表示,尚需5年时间,因为难度非常大,尤其在《哪吒2》的起点之上。

  对于《哪吒3》的票房,王长田表示不可预测。2023年,王长田曾公开表示,期望《哪吒2》票房带领中国电影票房进入70亿元时代。这一票房预测一度引发网友嘲笑。

  当天的讲座上,王长田也表示,“我当时说出70亿的时候,很多人嘲笑我痴人说梦;后来票房超过了70亿元,又有人说我预估低了,还是嘲笑我。所以我就不再做票房的预测了。后面多出来的这些票房,老实说是观众给你的奖赏,不要把它当成你应该得到的东西。这是观众看到了你的诚意,看到了他们期待的作品之后给你的额外奖赏”。

  据王长田在讲座上透露,目前光线传媒已经在规划一个更大的“中国神话宇宙”项目,希望用动画电影来重新构建中国的神话体系,而哪吒只是一个开始。

  4月21日,A50ETF华宝(159596)小幅放量,成交额1.2亿元,流动性位居14只同类产品第3名。

  华西证券表示,勿低估A股的韧性与政策“稳股市”的决心。中国权益资产相对全球主要股指具备估值优势,中长期配置性价比较高,伴随4月重要会议政策预期发酵,市场风险偏好存在有利支撑,A股有望在震荡中实现底部的逐步抬升。其间,若外部因素对市场情绪产生冲击,应坚定信心,不要低估政策“稳股市、稳预期”的决心。行业配置上,建议投资者以低估值与扩内需的板块为主,如中字头央企、银行、食品饮料、服务消费等。主题方面,可建议适度关注军工等。

  资料显示,A50ETF华宝(159596)及其场外联接基金(A类021216/C类021217)被动跟踪中证A50指数,该指数汇聚A股行业核心龙头,50只成份股分别来自50个中证三级行业,全面表征A股标杆型核心资产!做多中国,首选A50。

MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错!

  国产AI芯片龙头寒武纪发布2025年一季报,2025Q1公司实现营收11.11亿元,几乎相当于2024年全年的收入,同比暴增4230.22%;实现归母净利润3.55亿元,同比增长256.82%;实现扣非后归母净利润2.76亿元,同比增长205.68%。

  在细节上,更有看点。从2024年Q3到2025年Q1,寒武纪季度末存货分别为10.15亿元、17.74亿元和27.56亿元,预付款分别为8.54亿元、7.74亿元和9.73亿元,存货+预付款连续三个季度处于上升趋势,反映公司具有充足的供应链备货和下游订单需求,验证了国产AI景气度的持续性。

  【点评】

  龙头示范效应显现,国产AI或迎爆发式机遇!

  寒武纪业绩暴增,标志着国产算力或已进入逐步兑现阶段。中美贸易摩擦导致高端芯片供应紧张的大背景下,国产AI芯片迎来前所未有的机遇窗口:

  1、技术突破与国产替代的标杆效应:寒武纪思元590芯片7nm工艺、512TOPS算力接近国际先进水平,提振国产AI芯片厂商信心,激励更多企业加大研发投入,突破关键技术瓶颈。

  2、拓展应用场景,带动上下游发展:寒武纪在政务云、互联网大模型、金融等领域的商业化落地,推动AI算力从集中式数据中心向边缘计算延伸,为国产AI芯片在更多领域的应用拓展提供了借鉴,有助于挖掘更多市场需求。

  值得关注的是,科创人工智能ETF华宝(589520)标的指数重点布局国产AI产业链,截至3月底,寒武纪是科创板人工智能指数的第五大权重股,权重占比达8.64%。

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