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秦依赫谨丞-探索神秘古墓,揭开外星文明的惊天秘密!
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  中信证券:贸易战仍处僵持阶段,短期国内以试验和预防性政策为主

  在彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施前,中美贸易谈判可能进展有限;国内的政策是托底和应对式的,4月只是第一波以试验和预防为特征的政策;筹码出清相对彻底且对业绩不敏感的主题阶段性占优;市场整体情绪位置不算低,科技板块相对医药和消费更接近冰点,对风偏回升更敏感。配置上,5月关注新技术和产业题材轮动、海外科技映射链修复以及服务业扩内需政策落地。

  招商策略:四月政治局会议的要点与对A股的影响

  四月政治局会议稳定资本市场的表态结合4月中上旬一系列坚决的救市举措,明确了决策层坚决维护资本市场稳定的决心,因此后续A股整体下行风险可控,叠加后续随着业绩披露期结束,再度进入业绩真空期,以及在经济整体稳定,流动性充裕背景下,市场风险偏好有望持续提升。从政策角度来看,主要建议关注人工智能、自主可控和消费等领域。

  申万宏源策略:关键验证期后的变与不变

  A股政策预期保持稳定的三个条件:1.增量政策布局的保留空间。2.存量政策加速落地执行。3.政府债券发行加速,为三季度稳增长储备资源。4月政治局会议存量政策“用好用足”,增量政策“备足预案”,资本市场“稳定”基础上还要“活跃”,全面覆盖市场期待。政策关键验证期,A股预期将保持稳定。4月25日政治局会议召开,政策布局基本覆盖了上述三个条件,全面契合市场期待。

  中国银河策略:政治局会议定调资本市场,后市如何?

  4月中央政治局会议再次强调资本市场的重要性,提出“持续稳定和活跃资本市场”的表述,释放更积极的政策信号,有助于提振市场信心。会议提出“加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策”,“既定政策早出台早见效,根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政策”,为A股提供坚实支撑。

  广发策略:关键是“位置”

  4月对等关税开始,基本面的判断再次变得模糊。正如本周政治局会议所强调:“我国经济持续回升向好的基础还需要进一步稳固,外部冲击影响加大。要强化底线思维,充分备足预案,扎实做好经济工作”。这样的背景下,板块可能还是以轮动和主题投资为主,估值和拥挤度等形容“位置”的因素就显得非常关键。

  华西证券:多数市场对关税敏感度降低但中期压力尚在

  本周全球多数市场出现超跌反弹,多数市场对特朗普关税的消息面敏感度有所下降,但中期压力仍然在。

  中泰证券:政治局会议后市场或如何演绎?

  当前仍然建议维持“高低切换”的思路。二季度仍处于筹码消化期,尽管在资本市场政策支持下指数或保持韧性,但高估值,高杠杆的中小市值个股估值仍需时间消化。配置方面,当前建议关注防御类资产以及中美关系缓和下的科技主线

  浙商证券:反弹趋势有分化不贪胜、待时机

  本周市场继续反弹,主要指数均尝试向上突击,但反弹趋势有所分化。展望后市,考虑到中美还未开启关税谈判,前期导致市场“下翻”的主要利空因素还未得到修正,加之多数宽基指数4月7日缺口上沿成交密集区的压力依然较大,我们预计“上有压力,下有支撑,窄幅震荡”的大格局还将持续下去。

  民生证券:以我为主和底线思维

  近期关税战稍有缓和,国内一季度经济实现“开门红”,以中央汇金为代表的“国家队”资金持续支撑市场,再加上财报季即将结束,目前市场存在相对较好的投资性价比。配置方向上,可以沿增量政策的发力方向进行布局。

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