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卧龙地产集团 - 探寻内心深处的声音与解放之路
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卧龙地产集团 - 探寻内心深处的声音与解放之路

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  芝加哥联邦储备银行行长奥斯坦・古尔斯比就限制央行独立性的行为发出了警告。

  古尔斯比表示,货币政策的独立性至关重要,若缺乏这一独立性,将会导致通货膨胀率上升、经济增长放缓以及就业市场恶化。

  美国总统特朗普对美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔表示不满,尽管将鲍威尔撤职的法律依据存疑,但其团队仍在研究是否能够将鲍威尔撤职。

  芝加哥联邦储备银行行长奥斯坦・古尔斯比对限制央行独立性的行为发出警告,几天前美国总统特朗普刚刚表达了对美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔的不满。

  “经济学家们几乎一致认为,货币政策独立于政治干预——即美联储或任何一家央行能够完成其需要做的工作——这一点真的非常重要,”古尔斯比在周日美媒节目中说道。

  “我强烈希望我们不会陷入货币政策独立性受到质疑的境地,”古尔斯比说,“那将损害美联储的信誉。”

  古尔斯比表示,在那些央行没有货币政策独立性的国家,“事实上,通货膨胀率更高,经济增长更缓慢,就业市场更糟糕。”

AustanGoolsbee

  特朗普上周因美联储不像欧洲央行那样采取降息措施而感到沮丧,他在社交媒体上发文称,鲍威尔“被解职这件事越快越好!”他没有说明这是否意味着他打算想办法解雇这位美联储主席,还是仅仅急切希望鲍威尔的任期能按计划在2026年5月结束。

  美联储主席一职的设立旨在独立于政治,因此解雇美联储主席的法律依据是值得怀疑的。特朗普的言论再次表明,这位总统试图对美国政府的各个部门拥有更多控制权。

  当一名记者询问撤职鲍威尔是否是一种选择时,美国国家经济委员会主任凯文・哈塞特周五表示,特朗普及其团队“将继续研究”是否可以将鲍威尔撤职。

  鲍威尔曾表示他不会在任期结束前退休,并于4月16日在芝加哥经济俱乐部重申,央行的独立性“是一个法律问题”,而且“除非有正当理由,否则我们不能被撤职。”

  在华尔街经历了又一个下跌的交易周后,股票期货在周日晚间下跌。

  美国东部时间下午6点刚过,标准普尔500指数期货下跌了0.5%,而纳斯达克100指数期货下跌了0.5%。与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的期货下跌了201点,跌幅约为0.5%。

  此前,三大主要股指在过去四个交易周中已有三个交易周录得下跌。尽管标准普尔500指数在周四收盘时上涨,但在这个因节假日而缩短的交易周中,该大盘指数仍下跌了1.5%。此外,道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数连续第三个交易日下跌,在这四个交易日中,二者本周均下跌超过2%。美国股市于周五休市。

  周四,联合健康集团(UnitedHealth)的股价大幅下跌,拖累了道琼斯指数。这家保险公司下调了全年业绩预期,并公布了令人失望的季度业绩后,其股价暴跌超过22%。

  周四,英伟达(Nvidia)股价下跌近3%,也给市场带来了压力,而在此之前,这家芯片制造商的股价在前一交易日已下跌近7%。这家人工智能领域的宠儿周二透露,由于对其H20图形处理单元出口的管制,公司将在季度业绩中计入约55亿美元的费用。

  与此同时,围绕唐纳德・特朗普总统关税政策的担忧加剧,继续给市场带来压力。上周末,芝加哥联邦储备银行行长奥斯坦・古尔斯比在接受采访时表示,这些关税可能导致美国经济活动在夏季“下滑”。在此之前,美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔周三表达了担忧,称总统的关税政策可能会给央行控制通货膨胀和刺激经济增长带来困难。

  尽管不确定性依然存在,但一些华尔街人士认为最糟糕的时期可能已经过去。事实上,地平线投资公司(HorizonInvestments)的迈克・迪克森表示,即使市场仍存在波动,市场的“持续性”波动频率现在可能会降低。

  该公司的研究和量化策略主管表示:“在形势更加明朗之前,持续的不确定性可能会限制股市估值,并给投资者带来压力。尽管关税形势依然多变,但我们认为,最近几周市场每日和每周大约10%的波动目前已经成为过去。”

  投资者正期待着关键的财报周,未来几天将有超过100家标准普尔500指数成分股公司公布财报。其中包括“七巨头”中的Alphabet和特斯拉(Tesla),以及航空航天巨头波音(Boeing)等其他公司。

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