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自4月2日特朗普宣布“对等关税”以来,ThredUp和SaversValueVillage——美国两家最大的公开交易二手商店——的股价分别上涨了31%和22%,同期标准普尔零售精选指数下跌了7%。

特朗普关税政策重创美国传统零售商的同时,二手市场可能成为意外赢家。

“二手销售是少数几个从政府全球关税政策中受益的行业,”在线寄售和二手商店ThredUp的首席战略官AlonRotem表示,“我们销售的所有商品都来自美国人的衣柜,所以我们销售的所有商品都是(对关税)免疫的。”

自4月2日特朗普宣布“对等关税”以来,ThredUp和SaversValueVillage——美国两家最大的公开交易二手商店——的股价分别上涨了31%和22%,同期标准普尔零售精选指数下跌了7%。

二手市场真能避开关税?

根据耶鲁预算实验室数据,目前已经落地的特朗普关税,预计将使美国CPI上涨2.9%,这将使普通家庭每年额外支出4700美元。分析师警告,未来几个月,服装和玩具的成本可能会大幅上涨,因为美国时尚和商品行业严重依赖进口。

这一前景下,能够避开关税的二手商迎来巨大的发展机会,BMOCapitalMarkets的零售分析师SimeonSiegel表示,二手市场已经在年轻消费者中很受欢迎,在经济衰退的情况下具有“双倍吸引力”,因为更多的潜在买家开始寻找折扣。

点对点在线二手市场OfferUp的首席创新官KenMurphy说:

根据CapitalOne汇编的数据,2024年美国二手市场价值约为500亿美元,比2023年增长了30%。

Carden表示,市场的增长主要是由于购买二手商品所附带的耻辱感减少,特别是在注重可持续性的年轻人中,而不是价格动态。然而,他指出,通胀压力的再次出现可能会扩大对二手服装的接受度,并吸引更多年长和更富裕的消费者进入市场。

风险提示及免责条款

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