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2025年3月,我国多数铝产品进出口环比增长,主要表现为:铝土矿进口增长;氧化铝出口增长,进口下降;原铝进出口均增长;铝合金进口下降,出口增长;废铝进口增长;铝材、铝制品和铝车轮出口均增长。

一、铝土矿进口环比增长。2025年年初以来,受自几内亚铝土矿进口大幅增长拉动,中国铝土矿进口持续保持高位。3月份铝土矿进口1647万吨,继1月后再次创下单月历史最高记录,环比增长14.2%,同比增长39.1%。其中,自几内亚进口1300万吨,突破1月的历史高点,环比增长21.2%,同比增长47.3%;自澳大利亚进口254万吨,环比增长7.3%,同比增长2.2%。铝土矿进口单价延续去年下半年以来的上涨趋势,3月份均价达到93.1美元/吨,环比增长4.8%,同比增长41.9%。

一季度,我国累计进口铝土矿4707万吨,同比增长29.9%。其中,自几内亚进口3639万吨,同比增长34.8%;自澳大利亚进口782万吨,同比下降1.9%。

二、氧化铝出口环比增长,进口下降。3月,氧化铝价格呈外强内弱格局,使得中国氧化铝净出口规模进一步扩大,净出口量28.6万吨,比上月增加72.4%。当月氧化铝进口1.1万吨,环比下降73.2%,同比下降96.3%,其中自澳大利亚进口锐减;出口29.7万吨,环比增长43.1%,同比增长105.9%,主要由于向阿联酋出口大幅增长,向俄罗斯出口保持稳定,为14.2万吨,环比下降7.7%,占当月出口量的47.9%。

一季度,我国累计进口氧化铝8.9万吨,同比下降90.6%;累计出口70.2万吨,同比增长66.4%。一季度累计净出口量为61.3万吨。

三、原铝进出口环比均增长。3月,我国进口原铝22.2万吨,环比增长10.9%,同比下降11.1%,主要是通过“海关特殊监管区域物流货物”以及“一般贸易”贸易方式下进口的普铝锭,占比分别为46.5%、22.9%;自俄罗斯进口占比自去年11月以来较快提升,3月进口20.1万吨,环比增长15.4%,占比达90.7%。原铝出口0.9万吨,环比增长153.9%,同比增长643.0%。

一季度,我国累计进口原铝58.4万吨,同比下降19.2%,其中自俄罗斯进口占比88.2%;累计出口2.1万吨,同比增长857.4%。

四、铝合金进口环比下降,出口增长。3月,我国铝合金进口9.0万吨,环比下降2.6%,同比下降7.1%,主要自马来西亚、泰国和俄罗斯进口,占比分别为46.1%、14.1%和12.3%;出口1.8万吨,环比增长4.0%,同比增长3.9%。

一季度,我国累计进口铝合金28.1万吨,同比下降2.8%;累计出口5.4万吨,同比下降8.0%。

五、废铝进口环比增长。3月我国进口废铝18.4万吨,环比增长11.6%,同比下降0.7%。其中自泰国、日本、英国分别进口5.3万吨、2.1万吨、2.0万吨,环比分别增长5.2%、30.3%、1.8%。

一季度,我国累计进口废铝50.7万吨,同比增长7.1%。

六、铝材出口环比增长。受取消铝材出口退税政策影响,年初以来我国铝材出口价增量跌。但退税政策影响在一季度持续衰减,市场逐步达成新的价格和供需平衡,使得3月份我国铝材出口环比增幅明显且同比降幅收窄。当月出口47.8万吨,环比增长38.1%,同比下降2.7%。其中,铝板带、铝箔、铝挤压材分别出口26.9万吨、11.9万吨、8.2万吨,环比分别增长36.4%、22.3%、75.7%。3月出口平均价格3532美元/吨,剔除铝价波动因素后,环比下降12.6%,较去年11月(政策实施前)上涨18.9%。从出口贸易方式上来看,以一般贸易为主,占比92.2%。

一季度,我国铝材累计出口128.6万吨,同比下降8.7%。其中,铝板带、铝箔、铝挤压材分别出口70.5万吨、33.5万吨、22.5万吨,同比分别下降8.0%、4.9%、19.4%。

七、铝制品出口环比增长。3月,我国出口铝制品28.2万吨,环比增长57.7%,同比增长30.2%,为历史同期最高水平。

一季度,我国累计出口铝制品82.7万吨,同比增长15.7%。其中,向美国累计出口11.4万吨,同比下降2.2%;向澳大利亚累计出口4.5万吨,同比增长13.1%。取消铝材出口退税对于推动出口铝材向出口铝制品转变作用明显。

八、铝车轮出口环比增长。3月,我国铝合金车轮出口8.2万吨,环比增长23.3%,同比增长3.9%。美国、日本、墨西哥作为主要进口国,三国合计占比60.8%。

一季度,我国累计出口铝合金车轮23.7万吨,同比增长2.0%。

表1 2025年3月我国铝相关产品进出口情况(万吨)

 团队 

总经理:

任柏峰  010-63971643

首席专家:

熊 慧  010-63971909

王伟东  010-63971907

总经理助理:

杨富强  010-62562931

铝事业部经理:

申凌燕  010-63970877

铝事业部副经理:

袁 嫄  010-63978092-8151

分析师:

康军伟  010-63978092-8153

霍云波  010-63978092-8058

张 琪  010-63978092-8133

闫 瑾  010-63978092-8191

黄 炜  010-63978092-8093

李 扬  010-63978092-8226

夏黾轶  010-63978092-8052

安泰科铝研究团队

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(转自:安泰科)

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