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朋友的家长中韩双字,后,股价能否持续上扬?
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朋友的家长中韩双字,后,股价能否持续上扬?

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金昌市(金川区、永昌县)

  王鹤静

  作为国内养老保险体系“第三支柱”的主力军,个人养老金制度于2022年11月正式落地。目前,首批个人养老金基金Y份额设立已有近两年半的时间,产品类型从最初单一的基金中基金(FOF)逐步拓宽至被动指数基金、指数增强基金。

  在2024年12月新纳入指数基金(包括被动指数基金、指数增强基金)的基础上,截至今年一季度末,288只个人养老金基金Y份额总规模首度突破百亿元大关,指数基金Y份额总规模超过10亿元。

  面对近期复杂多变的市场环境,多位知名FOF基金经理及时调整资产配置方向,适当增配了成长风格资产、减配了价值风格资产,对港股、可转债等资产采取止盈操作。此外,海外债券、黄金、REITs等资产成为部分基金经理的增持方向。

  Y份额总规模破百亿

  近期,证监会公布了最新一期(截至今年一季度末)的个人养老金基金名录。结合公募基金2025年一季报来看,名录中的288只个人养老金基金Y份额一季度末总规模首度突破百亿元大关,达到113.90亿元。相比2024年末,个人养老金基金Y份额总规模新增超20亿元。

  华夏基金、易方达基金、兴证全球基金、中欧基金是全市场仅有的四家个人养老金基金Y份额管理规模超10亿元的公募机构,华夏基金、易方达基金是全市场唯二个人养老金基金Y份额产品数量超过20只的公募机构。

  规模靠前的个人养老金基金Y份额产品主要来自上述四家公募机构。截至一季度末,规模最大的三只个人养老金基金Y份额产品分别为林国怀管理的兴全安泰积极养老目标五年Y、许利明管理的华夏养老2040三年Y、桑磊管理的中欧预见养老2050五年Y,最新规模分别为9.96亿元、7.35亿元、4.78亿元。

  此外,汪玲、张振琪共同管理的易方达汇诚养老2043三年Y、许利明管理的华夏养老2045三年Y、桑磊管理的中欧预见养老2035三年Y最新规模均在3亿元以上,位居行业前列。

  目前来看,FOF产品依然是个人养老金基金Y份额的主力军,203只FOF产品Y份额最新规模102.04亿元。然而,2024年12月新纳入个人养老金基金名录的被动指数基金、指数增强基金在Y份额设立不到半年的时间里,总规模已迅速突破10亿元。按照标的指数划分,红利类产品、宽基类产品Y份额规模占比分别约为28.50%、71.50%。

  其中,华泰柏瑞红利低波动ETF联接Y是全市场首只规模突破1亿元的指数基金Y份额产品;易方达科创板50ETF联接Y、华夏中证A500联接Y、天弘中证红利低波动100联接Y、创金合信红利低波动Y、易方达中证A500联接Y紧随其后,最新规模均在5000万元以上。

  港股止盈操作频现

  在今年一季度震荡的市场环境下,基于持仓分散的优势,个人养老金基金整体取得了较好的投资回报,Y份额平均收益率超1%。

  其中,工银养老2050Y一季度凭借8.65%的收益率拔得头筹,大幅跑赢业绩比较基准;东方红颐和积极养老目标五年持有Y、嘉实养老2040五年Y、长信颐年平衡养老(FOF)Y等产品一季度收益率均在5%以上,排名靠前。

  根据一季度持仓,工银养老2050Y在资产配置上有多处精细化操作,尤其在权益资产配置上,该基金借助ETF参与了众多板块的投资。工银养老2050Y的基金经理徐心远在一季报中回顾,一季度逢高小幅减持港股,主要减配港股科技与港股红利品种,进一步增配港股医药、非银金融及地产品种;A股方面,中小盘风格产品配置权重先上后下,价值风格产品权重小幅下行;行业方面,逢高减持食品饮料板块,增持医药及地产产业链相关板块,TMT板块权重整体稳定。可转债资产权重整体稳定,配置风格更为均衡;纯债资产久期配置中性偏低。

  该基金一季度新买入恒生医药ETF、香港证券ETF,增持了中信保诚多策略混合(LOF)C、科创芯片ETF,减持了恒生互联网ETF、港股通互联网ETF。此外,该基金增持了天弘添利债券(LOF)C、东方红收益增强债券C、工银可转债债券、中银转债增强债券B。红利低波ETF、恒生科技指数ETF、中概互联网ETF、港股通科技30ETF、通信ETF、科创ETF则集体退出工银养老2050Y的前十大重仓基金行列。

  东方红颐和积极养老目标五年持有Y一季度增加了黄金资产的配置。该基金的基金经理陈文扬表示,依然看好贵金属的走势。此外,该基金在港股大幅上涨后降低了相关ETF的持仓,新买入广发恒生消费(QDII-ETF),同时减持了易方达恒生国企(QDII-ETF)、南方恒生中国企业ETF。

  适度增配成长风格资产

  站在当前市场时点,林国怀、桑磊、汪玲等多位知名FOF基金经理对于如何配置大类资产,在一季报中给出了最新见解。

  林国怀和汪玲在大类资产配置上较有共识。对于权益资产,林国怀和汪玲都提到,降低偏价值型基金的配置比例,增加成长型基金的配置比例。随着权益市场转暖,可转债资产涨幅较大,可转债溢价率达到过去几年的高位水平,汪玲适当降低了可转债基金以及投资可转债的二级债基配置比例,林国怀同样适度降低了可转债基金的配置比例。汪玲还对折价幅度较大的场内交易基金进行了配置,旨在获取折价收敛的收益。

  固收投资方面,由于国内债券到期收益率水平进一步下降、信用利差进一步压缩,汪玲降低了国内中长久期债券基金的配置比例,增加了美元债基金、国内短债基金以及货币基金的配置比例。林国怀也表示,会继续用海外债券型互认基金、货币市场基金等替换现有组合中的纯债型基金。

  除传统的股债资产外,汪玲还配置了少量的黄金主题基金,并且关注其他商品型基金,以平滑组合的风险。

  桑磊则对于REITs资产较为青睐,以其管理的中欧预见养老2050五年Y为例,该基金在2024年末仅持有华夏中国交建REIT的基础上,今年一季度新买入中金普洛斯REIT、中金安徽交控REIT、华安张江产业园REIT等多只产品。

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