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4月16日,美国三大股指小幅收跌,道指跌0.38%报40368.96点,标普500指数跌0.17%报5396.63点,纳指跌0.05%报16823.17点。

其中,科技七巨头股票涨跌不一,其中英伟达美股盘后股价直线跳水,一度大跌超6%,最后收涨1.35%,特斯拉收涨0.7%,其他五家均有小幅下跌。

美股七巨头走势同花顺iFinD

英伟达波动引发连锁反应

据悉,英伟达警告称,公司将在本财年第一季度计入大约55亿美元的费用,这些费用与H20系列芯片相关的“库存、采购承诺及相关准备金”有关。

英伟达周二在监管文件中表示,美国政府已于周一通知公司,H20芯片未来在出口至中国时需要“无限期”申请许可证。政府方面表示,新规旨在应对芯片“可能被用于或转用于中国超级计算机”的担忧。

受英伟达盘后跳水影响,AMD盘后跌超7%,博通盘后跌4%,美光科技、ARM盘后均跌超3%,美股期指亚太盘初走低,标普股指期货跌0.90%,道指期货跌0.50%,纳指期货跌1.3%。

英伟达曾表示,进一步收紧出口限制只会强化中国摆脱美国技术依赖的决心,并将削弱美国企业的竞争力。

特朗普又开始调查进口矿物

据悉,当地时间15日,白宫表示,美国总统特朗普签署了一项行政命令,对美国依赖进口加工关键矿物及其衍生产品的国家安全风险展开调查。

相关资料显示,美国有15种关键矿产的供应仍100%依赖进口,其他29种矿产的供应超过50%依赖进口。同时,据美国戈维尼公司数据,美国在超1000种使用镓、锗、锑的武器系统中,87%的供应链依赖中国供应商。而中国目前拥有全球60%以上的稀土储量,并完成了全球90%的稀土资源加工。

此前,面对美国的“对等关税”,中国的反制“组合拳”中就包括稀土出口管制。据悉,4月4日,商务部、海关总署联合发布2025年第18号公告,根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》《中华人民共和国两用物项出口管制条例》等,对中重稀土相关物项实施列管。这是商务部2025年第二次对《中华人民共和国两用物项出口管制清单》进行修订。

大抛售仍在持续

当地时间4月15日,美国银行发布的调查报告显示,在过去两个月内,全球投资者创纪录地大幅减持美国股票。

在美国银行对基金经理进行的4月月度调查中,受访的基金经理的美股净仓位减少了36%,而2月份则增加了17%,创下了历史上两个月内最大的变动幅度。

据美国银行对管理着3860亿美元(约合人民币28000亿元)的百余名投资者的调查,42%的受访者预计,全球经济将会陷入衰退。

摩根士丹利分析师在最新发布的报告中表示,目前投资者面临的主要挑战在于理解美国政府在贸易政策上的“总体规划”以及其可能的频繁变化。

分析师认为,美国政府似乎认识到重组贸易关系将带来经济阵痛。美国总统特朗普已鼓励美联储放松货币政策,同时呼吁国会放松财政政策。这表明美国政府可能拥有一个“总体规划”:利用美国货币政策和财政政策来抵消重新平衡全球贸易带来的不利后果。

但摩根士丹利的分析称,“这一规划存在致命缺陷:货币政策和财政政策的效果滞后远远超过贸易政策变化的影响。”

据悉,摩根士丹利已连续第二天于债券市场融资,发行三种到期时间的欧元债券,融资40亿欧元。4月14日,大摩已经债务融资80亿美元,四种到期时间债券获得307.5亿美元认购。

高盛最新报告也对美国经济前景发出严峻警告:美国经济今年逼近0增长,将通胀预期大幅上调至3.5%左右。高盛还认为美元目前依然被高估约20%。

高盛指出,更重要的是,贸易保护主义转向削弱了美国增长超额表现的前景,不仅短期如此,长期也是如此。

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