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2025年4月15日,市场全天探底回升,三大指数涨跌不一。上证指数涨幅0.15%,报收3267.66点,深证成指跌幅0.27%,报收9858.10点,创业板指跌幅0.13%,报收1930.40点。

板块方面:热点较为杂乱,大消费股一度走强,美容、电商、食品等方向领涨,一致魔芋30CM涨停。化工股表现活跃,中毅达4天3板。电力股持续活跃,建投能源等涨停。下跌方面,高位股集体大跌,连云港等多股跌停。美容护理、电商、食品、银行等板块涨幅居前,免税、港口、海南、轨交等板块跌幅居前。

个股方面:沪深两市全天成交额1.08万亿,较上个交易日缩量2003亿。个股跌多涨少,全市场超2800只个股下跌。

数据来源:财联社

自2月18日,融资资金近十日净买入达到流人达到峰值以来,并未再度突破,最新截止4月15日,10日净买入-1042亿,融资资金流入规模开始转负且增加,杠杆资金短期开始进入到防守阶段。

东方财富金融终端

整体板块资金流入流出情况:上个工作日电池、银行、游戏净买入规模排名前三;半导体、商业百货、软件开发证券净流出规模排名前三。

东方财富金融终端

指数分析:三大指数周二探底后回升,沪指重心继续提高,沪指目前依旧在5日线上运行,但由于增量资金不足,且板块轮动速度加快,可能回补短期跳空向上的缺口3186.81-3201.57点。市场年报、一季报接下来会密售披露,为了规避潜在风险,短期建议控制仓位,谨慎开仓。对等关税的加征影响,短期会逐步弱化,因为数据已经失去意义。预期4月市场大概率震荡为主,短期侧重防守。

今日各大指数普跌,排序依次是微盘股>上证50>中证2000>沪深300>中证1000>中证500。整体来看,市场增量不足,微盘股相对更受资金追捧,风格依旧按照既定节奏,在大盘、小盘、微盘间快速轮动,今日尾盘国家队明显维稳呵护,上证50、沪深300尾盘走高,带动沪指翻红。

板块分析:消费,食品饮料、美容护理、互联网电商等板块领涨。五一假期临近,消费复苏预期升温,叠加近期外资回流消费龙头,推动了板块估值修复。同时,国内消费刺激政策加码,如家电以旧换新、手机销售补贴等,也为消费股提供了支撑。固态电池,主要受益于钠离子电池技术突破及政策补贴加码,以及龙头企业宣布固态电池研发进展,推动了板块热度升温。整体市场轮动速度明显加快,伴随量能的持续递减,个股的短线套利难度也会增加,短期留意内需方向,但注意把握好交易节奏,注意快进快出。稳健投资者可以等待一个分歧调整的节点,再度切入主线方向。

操作策略:短期策略,当前市场成交量偏弱,市场大概率进入到震荡整固阶段,建议围绕日内发酵新启动方向切入为主(短期反制的稀土永磁、农业、内需消费等),注意快进快出。中期策略,4月份将进入一季报的验证阶段,可关注一季报业绩端具有相对确定性或股息率较高带来一定防御属性的有色金属和基础化工部分细分领域、家用电器和银行行业。长期策略,对于具有核心竞争力和长期发展潜力的行业和公司,如人形机器人、固态电池等方向逢调整企稳,可以考虑低吸布局。

配置上,海洋经济(中期):据上海市海洋局消息,上海将出台《上海市海洋产业发展规划》。此外,据证券时报报道,2025年深海技术成果在海南转化落地专项实施研讨会”将于3月27-28日在崖州湾科技城召开。深海装备技术为深海科技发展基础,高性能、智能化为发展趋势。深海装备为深海科技发展的重要基础,各国皆高度重视发展深海装备技术,研发了各类AUV、ROV等构型装备。万米级、高性能载人潜水装备,多功能、实用化、高续航高智能的无人潜水装备等已成为国际发展重点,我国近年来已开发了多款自主水下机器人平台。

固态电池(中期):固态电池技术是锂电池领域的重要技术革新,也是全球竞争中新兴的生产力焦点。自从国家从高层开始大力推动低空经济以来,由于低空飞行器对高能量密度电芯的迫切需求,全固态电芯的大规模生产变得日益重要,产业发展的趋势也在不断强化。同时,低空经济对全固态电池的成本承受能力较高,这将有助于推动全固态电池从0到1的规模化应用突破。建议关注产业链上游的锂矿资源、正极材料、负极材料以及生产设备;以及中游的电芯生产、电池管理系统和能源管理系统。

人形机器人(中期):特斯拉更新Optimus整机下的三代22自由度灵巧手接球视频。Optimus机器人左前臂装有第三代灵巧手及集成小臂,进行了两次轨迹随机的抓球动作。以及12月23日,宇树科技更新一条UnitreeB2-W机器狗视频,可以完成托马斯全旋、侧空翻、360°跳跃转体、冲跳、极地跑酷等动作。随着机器狗在语音识别、自然语言理解、视觉认知、情感互动与仿生设计等方面的提升,应用于家庭陪伴的机器狗市场也有望持续增长。中商产业研究院发布的《2022-2027年中国机器人行业深度分析及投资风险研究报告》显示,2024年中国人形机器人市场规模将达27.6亿元,市场处于起步阶段。中商产业研究院分析师预测,2029年人形机器人市场规模将达750亿元,2035年人形机器人市场规模将达3000亿元。 

信息来源:2024年中国人形机器人市场规模及投融资情况预测分析中商情报网

1.中共中央政治局常委、国务院总理李强4月15日在北京调研。他强调,要深入贯彻习近平总书记关于全方位扩大国内需求的重要指示精神,沉着冷静应对外部冲击带来的困难挑战,以更大力度促进消费、扩大内需、做强国内大循环,进一步释放我国超大规模市场的活力潜力。

2.10家A股上市公司盘后披露一季度业绩预增或预盈公告东北证券同比预增860%。盘后包括东北证券、中集集团、瑞芯微、京东方A、捷捷微电、安利股份、安阳钢铁、硕贝德、北京科锐、和科达在内的10家A股上市公司盘后披露一季度业绩预增或预盈公告。其中,东北证券、中集集团、瑞芯微、京东方A、捷捷微电、安利股份共6家上市公司披露一季度净利润预增公告。

3.人社部:截至2024年年底全国职业年金基金投资运营规模3.11万亿元年均投资收益率4.42%。人社部公布2024年全国职业年金基金市场化投资运营情况,截至2024年年底,全国31个省(自治区、直辖市)、新疆生产建设兵团和中央单位职业年金基金投资运营规模3.11万亿元。自2019年2月启动市场化投资运营以来,全国职业年金年均投资收益率4.42%。

4.4月15日,据国家数据局官网消息,为贯彻落实党中央、国务院关于加快推进数字中国建设的决策部署,认真落实2025年全国数据工作会议精神,切实做好2025年数字社会建设工作,国家数据局印发《2025年数字社会发展工作要点》以及《2025年数字社会领域标志性任务清单》。工作要点聚焦提质增效数字公共服务、智享美好数字生活、推进精准数字社会治理等3个方面部署工作任务。

5.特朗普引发的贸易战,正令许多美国人焦虑于日用品价格大涨。而随着大量中国厂商的宣传视频在TikTok上轰炸,一家原本在普通美国人那儿可能并不算特别出名的中国跨境B2B电商平台DHgate(敦煌网),在短短数天内爆火。公开数据显示,截至北京时间周二上午,DHgate已一跃成为了美区AppStore排名第二的免费iPhone应用程序,仅次于ChatGPT。

数据来源:财联社2025年4月16日

1.创兴资源:控股股东拟转让8.15%股份给辽宁璟铖企业管理合伙企业。

2.永杉锂业:2024年净利润2542.16万元同比扭亏。

3.合合信息:2024年净利润同比增长23.93%拟10转4派20元。

4.均胜电子:控股股东均胜集团获得9000万元贷款额度用于增持公司股份。

5.欧菲光:拟购买欧菲微电子28.25%股权股票明起复牌。

6.晓鸣股份:一季度净利润9902.51万元同比扭亏为盈。

7.爱玛科技:2024年净利润同比增长5.68%拟10派5.92元。

8.黔源电力:控股股东拟通过一致行动人增持公司股份。

9.捷捷微电:2024年净利润4.73亿元同比增长115.87%。

10.卡倍亿:取得金融机构1.5亿元股票回购专项贷款承诺书。

数据来源:上市公司公告2025年4月16日

(转自:肥猫财经)

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