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  当前,美国政府的关税政策已开始在本国各个行业造成破坏性后果,引发社会各界广泛担忧。

  沃尔玛、塔吉特、家得宝等美国零售业巨头的首席执行官们日前直截了当地警告总统特朗普:反复无常的关税政策可能扰乱供应链,提高物价,并且让美国民众的货架变得空空如也。

  “低收入人群受到的影响会更大”

  “特朗普政府挑起的贸易战正在殃及美国普通消费者的衣橱!”

  美国有线电视新闻网近日刊发文章指出,关税政策对服装行业的影响尤为严重,因为美国人衣橱里98%的衣物和99%的鞋子都是进口的。

  贸易政策研究人员和经济学家们表示,关税政策将拉高大多数服装的价格,但涨幅最大的将是那些基础款,比如5美元的T恤衫、10美元的六双袜子和25美元的运动鞋。这些都是许多美国人常穿的。

  根据耶鲁大学预算实验室近期发布的研究报告,美国政府今年以来实施的关税措施在短期内已经把整体物价水平推高了3%,相当于让每个美国家庭购买力年均损失4900美元。

  报告还指出,美国消费者当前面临的平均关税税率高达28%,为1901年以来的最高水平。

  其中,关税对服装和纺织品价格的影响尤为明显,鞋类和服装的价格短期内将分别大幅上涨87%和65%。

  分析认为,服装价格上涨将给低收入消费者带来压力,因为他们将更多的收入用于生活必需品。

  有数据显示,美国最低收入家庭在服装上的支出占其收入之比是最高收入家庭的三倍多。

  耶鲁预算实验室最近的一项分析还发现,美国底层人群的短期关税负担是顶层人群的2.5倍。

  用耶鲁预算实验室主任、白宫经济顾问委员会前首席经济学家厄尼·特德斯奇的话说,“美国低收入人群受到关税的影响会更大”。

  国际信用评级机构穆迪公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪直言:“考虑到很多美国家庭面临的经济压力,他们很难支撑下去。”

  此外,对外加征关税还会让美国低收入人群的可支配收入减少。

  根据美国智库“税收与经济政策研究所”(ITEP)的报告,年收入不超过2.86万美元的美国家庭将因物价上涨多支出收入的6.2%;而年收入至少达到91.49万美元的富裕阶层仅需多支出收入的1.7%。

  此外,很多专家还担心,特朗普政府关税政策所导致的物价上涨可能会让美国民众的债务问题雪上加霜,令越来越多的人陷入“信用卡危机”。

  “关税政策后果已难以完全修复”

  与普通民众切身利益紧密相关的就业问题也受到关税的影响。

  美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒近日警告称,如果特朗普政府对众多贸易伙伴的高额“对等关税”再次生效,美国未来可能会出现更多裁员和失业。

  以物流行业为例,受关税政策影响,全美最大的集装箱港口之一——加利福尼亚州南部的长滩港近来到港货船已大幅减少。

  长滩港首席执行官科尔德罗预计,今年第二季度和第三季度到港的货物量将锐减,从而必然导致工作岗位的减少。

  最新统计数据显示,受关税政策影响,加州洛杉矶地区可能损失约5000亿美元收入,200万名相关人员的工作岗位将受到威胁。

  关税政策不仅影响普通美国人的消费和就业,还严重波及依赖全球供应链的美国小企业和农业。而这些最终也都会影响到低收入群体。

  阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克表示,美国雇员人数少于500人的小型企业占全美劳动力市场的80%,一旦这些企业遭遇困境,后果将极为严重。

  他还警告,如果高关税持续下去,美国经济连续两个季度萎缩的可能性将高达90%,今年年内“绝对”会陷入衰退。

  美国智库——世界大型企业研究会的最新调查显示,美国3月消费者信心指数跌至2021年1月以来最低水平,表明美国民众对工作和财务状况日益焦虑。

  而美联社日前公布的一项与美国全国民意研究中心联合进行的调查发现,多数美国人对美国政府当前的经济政策感到不满。

  对于特朗普政府的关税政策,近六成的受访者认为政府“做得太过了”。另外,约有一半受访者“极度”或“非常”担心美国经济会在未来几个月陷入衰退。

  美国有线电视新闻网日前发表评论文章指出,特朗普政府的一系列政策,尤其是关税政策对美国经济造成了显著破坏,包括推高通胀、扰乱供应链、加剧市场波动等,且负面影响已实实在在地显现出来。

  文章强调,当前的经济混乱已经超出了短期波动的范围,而且造成了结构性损害,可能对美国经济的长期稳定构成威胁,部分后果已难以通过后续政策完全修复。 YELLOW小说免费:让你的视频观看体验更加愉快的相关文章 何小鹏给香港首批X9车主交车的相关文章
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