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华峰超纤4月22日晚间公告,2025年第一季度实现营业收入10.54亿元,同比下降11.61%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润6200.99万元,同比增长169.03%;基本每股收益0.0352元。

专题:聚焦2025年IMF和世行春季年会

  国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二下调了对日本的经济增长预期,并预计由于美国提高关税带来的影响,日本央行加息的速度将慢于预期。

  此次下调预期凸显了美国总统唐纳德・特朗普的大规模关税举措可能会给日本这个依赖出口的经济体造成损害,而且这一情况发生在日本央行为期两天、将于5月1日结束的政策会议之前。

  国际货币基金组织在其《世界经济展望》报告中称,鉴于日本经济在2024年仅增长了0.1%,现在预计日本经济今年将增长0.6%,较其1月份的先前预测下调了0.5个百分点。

  国际货币基金组织在报告中表示:“4月2日宣布的关税措施及其带来的不确定性,抵消了原本预计因高于通胀率的工资增长推动家庭可支配收入增加而会增强的私人消费。”

  国际货币基金组织预计日本经济在2026年将增长0.6%,较1月份的预测下调了0.2个百分点。

  报告称,预计日本央行的政策利率上调速度将“慢于2024年10月所设想的速度”,但没有详细说明下次加息可能在何时进行。

  国际货币基金组织表示,预计日本央行在中期内将逐步提高利率,“朝着约1.5%的中性利率水平调整”,这一利率水平与将通胀稳定维持在2%的目标相符。

  日本央行去年结束了长达十年的大规模刺激计划,并在今年1月将利率上调至0.5%,原因是认为日本即将持续实现2%的通胀目标。

  尽管日本央行行长植田和男已表示央行准备继续加息,但特朗普的关税决定让日本央行在何时加息以及加息幅度方面的决策变得更加复杂。

  特朗普对日本输美商品征收了24%的关税,不过与他实施的大多数关税一样,这些关税已暂停至7月初。10%的普遍税率以及对汽车征收的25%的关税仍然有效,预计后者将对日本经济造成打击。

  消息人士告诉路透社,日本央行将在4月30日至5月1日的会议上维持利率不变,但会暗示美国提高关税带来的风险不会破坏工资和通胀上升的周期,而这一周期对于继续加息至关重要。

  欧洲央行行长拉加德在接受采访时表示,欧洲央行几乎已经实现将通胀率降至2%的目标,但在当前经济形势日益动荡的背景下,仍需保持灵活机变。

  拉加德在出席国际货币基金组织(IMF)年会前表示,她和其他政策制定者在决定是否延续或暂停自2024年6月开始的降息周期时,必须“极度依赖数据”。

  拉加德称,“我们正朝着2025年达成通胀目标的方向前进,当前的通胀回落进程非常顺利,几乎接近完成阶段”。她特别提到美国关税问题,并指出“我们也面临外部冲击,通胀的净影响还将取决于欧洲采取的应对措施及其他因素。”

  在被问及近期欧元走强的问题时,拉加德承认这一走势“有些反常”,但表示这反映了欧元区的基本面状况。

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